Caplet 2026-10-14
One payment period of an interest-rate cap. For , its value at the reset date is . Thus the caplet is equivalent before reset to units of a put expiring at on the maturity- zero-coupon bond, with strike .
CIR bond pricing Created 2026-10-07 Updated 2026-10-14
For the CIR model under its money-market risk-neutral measure, the Feynman-Kac formula gives and , with , . Solving this Riccati equation gives explicit exponential-affine zero-coupon bond prices. The positive root parameter is ; the squared diffusion coefficient, not the volatility itself, enters this expression.
Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model Created 2026-10-07 Updated 2026-10-14
A nonnegative mean-reverting short-rate diffusion with positive parameters. Its mean-reversion level is and its diffusion size is proportional to . The Feller positivity condition for the CIR model controls whether zero is reachable. Its stationary law is a gamma distribution and its zero-coupon bond prices are exponential-affine.
For smooth derivative prices depending on a Markov short rate, Itô formula gives physical drift and exposure . The common short-rate market price of risk gives , yielding this equation. Under the risk-neutral measure, the rate drift is and the bank-discounted price is a martingale under suitable integrability. A unit zero-coupon bond has terminal value one and price .
For an affine autoregressive process , suppose its initial zero-coupon bond prices are positive and finite. A deterministic shift of the rate changes the bond price to . To fit any positive curve with , put , , and . Adding the deterministic drift to the rate recursion realizes precisely this shift, and telescoping gives the desired curve. No stationary autoregression assumption is needed.
European put option Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
A European put option gives its holder the right, without an obligation, to sell one unit of an underlying financial asset at the strike price only on the expiry date . For one stock share, its terminal financial payoff is the positive part
For strike price , terminal stock prices , , and give financial payoffs , , and , respectively. At , selling for rather than the market price supplies the difference ; at , the holder can let the right expire. Equality at gives zero net exercise value. The European call option example plots both financial payoffs on the same axes.
Combining a European put option with the underlying stock share produces the terminal amount . Its floor at the strike price is why a European put option can describe protection against a fall in terminal stock value. The protection has an initial cost and lasts to the specified expiry; the terminal floor alone says nothing about the financial return. Put-call parity replicates this same amount with a European call option and a zero-coupon bond.
Using the put-call parity example's price , the cost financed for one year at interest rate grows to . The terminal net amount is therefore approximately when , and when or . These computations use the unrounded price and distinguish the financial payoff from the financed gain. Unlike an American put option, a European put option supplies no right to exercise before .
Exponential-affine bond pricing Created 2026-10-05 Updated 2026-10-06
If a discrete-time martingale deflator obeys for an affine process , unit zero-coupon bonds have exponential-affine prices. For one-step coefficients , the recursion is , , .
Financial asset 2026-10-14
A traded claim or instrument carrying a current price and future payments or resale value. In a one-period financial market, its terminal payoff is a random variable and a portfolio combines payoffs linearly through its asset holdings. A stock, a zero-coupon bond and a bank account are basic examples. Dividends require treating the full gain process rather than only resale prices.
To match a prescribed initial instantaneous forward rate curve in the Gaussian short-rate model with a deterministic shift, choose
Since , its model forward rate is then . Moreover,
so the initial zero-coupon bond curve matches as well. A continuous initial forward curve gives pointwise calibration; a locally integrable curve gives the corresponding almost-everywhere interpretation of the instantaneous forward rate.
Suppose under a risk-neutral measure and . By Itô formula, the forward-rate volatility is . The Heath-Jarrow-Morton model drift restriction is equivalent to
To verify it directly for bonds, put . Integration gives . The zero-coupon bond price therefore satisfies
Its bank-account-discounted price is a positive local martingale. A common equivalent local martingale measure excludes admissible arbitrage for any finite collection of these traded maturities.
For a maturity- call on a unit maturity- zero-coupon bond, where , deterministic forward-rate volatilities make the bond-price ratio lognormal under the T-forward measure. Its integrated variance is . For , put and . Integrating the lognormal distribution above the strike gives the displayed price. At , the price is . The forward measure is essential: the raw bond price has a stochastic discount rate under the money-market measure.
Suppose the instantaneous forward rate field has mean and covariance , with deterministic initial curve and suitable integrability and maturity regularity. Its discounted zero-coupon bond prices are martingales exactly when the displayed mean identity holds. Put
The discounted bond price is , where is the integrated Gaussian forward-rate process. Its conditional Gaussian exponential expectation gives the equivalent identity . Differentiating this in maturity gives the displayed restriction. Conversely, integrating that restriction on the diagonal and along the current curve recovers the half-variance identity, by symmetry of the covariance over the maturity square. The Gaussian exponential martingale with deterministic variance then verifies the full conditional martingale property. This formulation does not require a time derivative of .
With deterministic Hilbert-space-valued volatility, a deterministic initial curve and the Heath-Jarrow-Morton model drift restriction, the instantaneous forward rate is a Gaussian random field indexed by observation time and maturity. Put . Absence of arbitrage requires . Indeed, Itô formula gives bond drift ; equating it to the short rate and differentiating in maturity yields this restriction. The field covariance is
Finite-dimensional volatility spaces give finite-factor models; an infinite-dimensional space permits much richer maturity correlations. Gaussian rates can be negative. Deterministic volatility gives explicit zero-coupon bond and bond-option formulas.
Under a risk-neutral measure , let the short rate be , with deterministic locally integrable and constant . For a zero-coupon bond paying one at , the risk-neutral pricing value is
Indeed, conditional on , the random part of the integrated future short rate is , which is Gaussian with mean zero and variance . Its exponential moment gives the formula. At points where is continuous, the instantaneous forward rate is
For merely locally integrable , the same identity holds almost everywhere. The model allows negative short rates and gives explicit bond prices and forward curves.
For under a risk-neutral measure, the instantaneous forward rate and zero-coupon bond prices are
Indeed, conditional on current information, is Gaussian with mean and variance . Its negative exponential expectation gives the bond formula, and differentiating its logarithm gives the instantaneous forward rate. Equivalently the affine forward-rate equation has , , and , . This is the constant-drift instance of the Ho-Lee Gaussian short rate model; the model permits negative short rates.
Heath-Jarrow-Morton model Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-07
A model evolving the entire instantaneous forward rate curve. In the displayed one-factor risk-neutral measure dynamics the drift restriction makes every suitably integrable discounted zero-coupon bond price a martingale. The multi-factor form replaces the product of volatilities by their dot product.
If all traded zero-coupon bonds depend on one scalar rate driven by one Brownian motion, their diffusion exposures form one vector . Their instantaneous covariance matrix is , of rank at most one. Nondegenerate maturity changes are therefore instantaneously perfectly correlated, with correlation or , though finite-horizon bond-return correlations need not be one.
The continuously compounded rate inferred for an infinitesimal investment interval at future maturity , as seen at time . For a unit-face-value zero-coupon bond, and the short rate is .
Interest-rate cap 2026-10-14
A cap limits the floating rate on a notional principal by paying the excess over a strike for successive accrual periods. It is a sum of caplets. For accrual fraction and reset at with payment at , the unit-notional payoff is at , where and is a zero-coupon bond price.
Interest rate swap Created 2026-10-07 Updated 2026-10-14
An agreement to exchange interest cash flows according to fixed and floating schedules. For unit accrual periods and unit notional, floating-minus-fixed payments are at the specified dates. Zero-coupon bonds value the fixed leg and a rolling floating leg supplies the telescoping floating-leg value.