Topics (292k) Articles (302k) Users (368) Discussions (237) Comments (383) Files (8k) New article
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 215 4 a ii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Let and let be the invariant distribution. Iterating the assumed Wasserstein contraction givesSince , the coupling characterization of total variation distance impliesThe right side is at most whenwhich proves the claimed mixing bound.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 215 4 a i Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
For a path , its -length is . The corresponding path metric isBecause every edge length is at least one, whenever .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 215 3 a ii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
For a finite reversible lazy chain, the relaxation time is , where is the spectral gap. Its spectral profile isThe variational characterization of the spectral gap isEvery class is contained in the class over which this last infimum is taken, so and . Therefore
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 215 3 a i Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 212 2 c ii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Let the energy of a flow be , with each unoriented edge counted once. Expanding as in part (i), dropping orientation signs, and summing over common edges givesuniformly in .
Part (i), , and the Paley-Zygmund inequality give a constant such that for every . The preceding uniform expectation bound and Markov inequality allow a constant such thatOn this event, is a unit open flow from to with energy at most .
The events that there is such a bounded-energy unit flow from out of are decreasing in . Their intersection still has probability at least . A diagonal compactness argument produces on this intersection a unit flow from to infinity, supported on its open cluster, with finite energy. The finite-energy flow criterion for transience makes that open cluster transient.
Thus a transient open cluster exists with positive probability. This existence event is a tail event: changing finitely many edges cannot destroy transience in every infinite component, because transience is invariant under finite graph modifications. The Kolmogorov zero-one law upgrades its probability to one.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 212 2 c i Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Expanding the square and using the independence of the percolation edges givesThe ratio equals , where is the number of common edges in the two truncated paths. It is at most for , under the convention in the hypothesis; in particular because both paths contain . For every integer ,The tail-sum formula and the assumed exponential intersection tail therefore yield
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 6 c ii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Under the two-rate alternative, maximize the piecewise-exponential survival model likelihood separately to obtain the estimates in part (i). Under , there are 15 deaths and 2200 days of exposure, so . Twice the maximized log-likelihood difference isUnder the null this likelihood-ratio test statistic is asymptotically .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 6 c i Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 6 b iv Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
For period survival analysis over a calendar window, patients diagnosed earlier enter at the window's start only if still alive. Their survival times are left-truncated at the elapsed duration from diagnosis to that date, while follow-up is censored at the window's end. This estimates survival using mortality experience in the chosen recent period without pretending that earlier survivors were under observation from diagnosis.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 6 b iii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Conditioning on survival to changes the constant-hazard likelihood contribution toThereforeusing only person-time accumulated after entry.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 6 b ii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
In the Kaplan–Meier estimator, replace the ordinary risk set at event time byThe product-limit factor remains , but only individuals who have entered and not yet exited contribute to its denominator.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 6 b i Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Left truncation means that an individual enters observation only after a delayed entry time and is included only if the event time exceeds . Earlier failures are absent from the dataset, so analysis must condition on survival to entry.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 5 b iii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Among the nine informative pairs, the active patient fails first once and the placebo patient fails first eight times. The conditional partial likelihood is proportional tosoUnder , the number of active-first failures is . The exact two-sided sign test hasso the data reject at the 5% level and favor lower hazard under active treatment.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 5 b ii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
A pair is informative only when its first observed exit is an event while both members remain at risk; later events after one member has left contribute a factor one. The uninformative pairs are therefore pair 5, with tied events at , and pairs 10, 11, and 13, whose earlier observations are censorings: , , and . At both are in the risk set immediately before time 140, so pair 12 is informative.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 5 b i Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Use each matched pair as a separate stratum with its own baseline hazard and fit one common treatment coefficient . The Stratified Cox model partial likelihood multiplies the within-pair risk-set contributions, eliminating all pair-specific baselines. Test by the corresponding conditional score, likelihood-ratio, or Wald test.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 4 c iii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Independent relabelling gives , , and leaves with mean . Its ratio is therefore rather than . To retain event hazard , simulate the common occurrence time with rateand label it as the target event with probability . This is equivalent to independent competing clocks with target-event rate and censoring-cause rate ; their minimum has rate .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 4 c ii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 4 c i Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 3 b ii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Neyman allocation optimizes information and may allocate more patients to the arm whose Bernoulli variance is nearer its maximum at . The ethical allocation instead favors the arm with higher response probability. They coincide only for special parameter values; in general ethical gain is purchased with some loss of precision relative to Neyman allocation.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 3 b i Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Minimizing the expected failures at a fixed variance gives the ethically optimal ratioIt allocates more patients to the dose with the larger response probability.
Pinned article: Introduction to the OurBigBook Project
Welcome to the OurBigBook Project! Our goal is to create the perfect publishing platform for STEM subjects, and get university-level students to write the best free STEM tutorials ever.
Everyone is welcome to create an account and play with the site: ourbigbook.com/go/register. We belive that students themselves can write amazing tutorials, but teachers are welcome too. You can write about anything you want, it doesn't have to be STEM or even educational. Silly test content is very welcome and you won't be penalized in any way. Just keep it legal!
Intro to OurBigBook
. Source. We have two killer features:
- topics: topics group articles by different users with the same title, e.g. here is the topic for the "Fundamental Theorem of Calculus" ourbigbook.com/go/topic/fundamental-theorem-of-calculusArticles of different users are sorted by upvote within each article page. This feature is a bit like:
- a Wikipedia where each user can have their own version of each article
- a Q&A website like Stack Overflow, where multiple people can give their views on a given topic, and the best ones are sorted by upvote. Except you don't need to wait for someone to ask first, and any topic goes, no matter how narrow or broad
This feature makes it possible for readers to find better explanations of any topic created by other writers. And it allows writers to create an explanation in a place that readers might actually find it.Figure 1. Screenshot of the "Derivative" topic page. View it live at: ourbigbook.com/go/topic/derivativeVideo 2. OurBigBook Web topics demo. Source. - local editing: you can store all your personal knowledge base content locally in a plaintext markup format that can be edited locally and published either:This way you can be sure that even if OurBigBook.com were to go down one day (which we have no plans to do as it is quite cheap to host!), your content will still be perfectly readable as a static site.
- to OurBigBook.com to get awesome multi-user features like topics and likes
- as HTML files to a static website, which you can host yourself for free on many external providers like GitHub Pages, and remain in full control
Figure 2. You can publish local OurBigBook lightweight markup files to either OurBigBook.com or as a static website.Figure 3. Visual Studio Code extension installation.Figure 5. . You can also edit articles on the Web editor without installing anything locally. Video 3. Edit locally and publish demo. Source. This shows editing OurBigBook Markup and publishing it using the Visual Studio Code extension. - Infinitely deep tables of contents:
All our software is open source and hosted at: github.com/ourbigbook/ourbigbook
Further documentation can be found at: docs.ourbigbook.com
Feel free to reach our to us for any help or suggestions: docs.ourbigbook.com/#contact





