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Past exam of the graph Theory and Probabilistic Combinatorics course of the University of Oxford 2010 B 5 Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
Start the Galton-Watson process with one ancestor, , and let every individual independently have a number of offspring distributed as . With independent copies ,where an empty sum is zero. Extinction is the event that some generation is empty; zero is then absorbing. Write for its probability and for the survival probability.
Set , with . Conditional on the ancestor's number of children, extinction by generation requires independent extinction by generation in every child subtree. ThusThe events increase, so . The probability generating function is continuous on , by domination of by , giving . If is any fixed point, then and monotonicity of inductively gives . Taking limits proves the Galton-Watson extinction fixed point characterization:In particular it is the smallest nonnegative fixed point wherever the generating series is defined, since it already lies in .
Let , allowing . The probability generating function is increasing and convex, with . If , its tangent inequality gives for , so . If and , there is positive mass at both zero and some integer at least two; strict convexity gives for , again . The exceptional case almost surely has one individual forever, so despite .
If , the left derivative at gives for sufficiently close to . Since , continuity supplies a fixed point below , possibly . Thus survival has positive probability precisely when , apart from deterministic one-child reproduction.
For the random bipartite graph, early exploration of a component alternates between the two vertex classes. Before many vertices are exposed, each discovered vertex has approximately new neighbors in the other class, since tends to that distribution. The two-type mean offspring matrix iswith spectral radius ; equivalently, the mean growth over two generations is . The branching-process comparison therefore predicts a giant component exactly whenFor , the local process dies out almost surely, so no linear-sized component is expected; is the critical case, not a positive-survival exception. For , the symmetric survival probability is , where , predicting approximately vertices in the giant. This last passage from local survival to a unique giant is the usual random-graph exploration argument; the branching-process reasoning here supplies the requested threshold explanation rather than a proof of that global theorem.
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