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Past exam of the martingales and financial mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2011 A 2 b Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
For events , the Borel-Cantelli first lemma states that implies . Indeed,These unions decrease to , so continuity from above proves the assertion.
The Borel-Cantelli second lemma states that independent events with satisfy . For every fixed , independence and giveContinuity from above shows there is probability zero of no event after . A countable union over gives probability zero of only finitely many occurrences. Independence is needed for this second conclusion, but not for the first.
Past exam of the martingales and financial mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2010 B 6 d Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
At expiry, the difference of a European call and put with matching strike is . Linearity of pricing therefore makes their difference equal the forward-contract value from part (c):A direct put-call parity replication gives the same result. Buy one unit of the commodity and deposit in the bank. Withdraw the fixed cash storage payments from this reserve; the reserve is exhausted at expiry, leaving one commodity unit. Its initial cost is . Borrow as well, leaving terminal value . The law of one price proves the parity identity. If , replace the storage reserve by .
Past exam of the martingales and financial mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2010 B 6 c Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
The conditional mean solves with . Hence, for ,The forward contract's terminal payoff is , so discounting this expectation gives its current valueFor , the continuous limits are for the mean and for the contract value. A fair delivery price, as distinct from the current contract value, is the strike making this value zero: .
Past exam of the martingales and financial mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2010 B 6 b Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
Use the auxiliary diffusion with generator . Applying Itô's formula to makes its drift zero by part (a), leaving only . Under the usual integrability conditions, localization and expectation give the Feynman-Kac formulaFor polynomial-growth payoffs, the linear diffusion has the finite moments needed for this martingale argument. Its pricing drift includes the cash storage cost as an additive term.
Past exam of the martingales and financial mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2010 B 6 a Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
The commodity's total gain from holding one unit is , because the storage cost is a fixed cash rate, not a proportional dividend yield. Form a locally self-financing delta hedge long the derivative and short units of the commodity. Itô's formula eliminates Brownian risk and leaves driftIts value is , so absence of arbitrage makes that drift equal to . Therefore the Black-Scholes equation with constant cash storage costs isThe cash cost enters as , rather than as , because one unit costs per unit time regardless of its current price.
Past exam of the martingales and financial mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2010 B 5 d Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
Put . Conditional on present information, is independent of the past and is normal with mean zero and variance . Part (c) givesThe future drift in this auxiliary stock is precisely the risk-neutral drift. Discounting the conditional expectation and applying the normal exponential-moment formula yieldsAt expiry this reduces to ; at time zero it gives . This is a special case of conditional power moments of a continuous geometric Asian average.
Pinned article: Introduction to the OurBigBook Project
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Intro to OurBigBook
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