Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2008/iii/paper-42/4/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 42 4 Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let the summands be independent and identically distributed random variables with mean , variance , and standardized third cumulant . DefineAn Edgeworth expansion refines the central limit theorem using the higher cumulants of one summand. Some smoothness and moment assumptions are essential: finite variance alone does not supply a density expansion. A convenient sufficient set for the expansions here is a smooth density whose derivatives decay faster than every inverse power, together with for some . These assumptions give all required moments, Fourier smoothing and the nonlattice characteristic-function condition. Less restrictive sufficient conditions are possible, but this set covers the logistic model below.
Write and for the standard normal density and standard normal distribution function. The first-order density Edgeworth expansion isThe remainder is uniform on every fixed compact interval under the stated assumptions. To see the origin of the correction, for the cumulant expansion of its characteristic function givesExponentiating and using Fourier inversion yields the displayed correction, since the inverse transform of is . The Probabilists' Hermite polynomial convention is being used: and .
The corresponding distribution function expansion isuniformly on fixed compact intervals. The sign follows from . These are expansions of both the density and distribution function; a uniform density error alone would not justify integrating an error bound over the entire real line without the accompanying tail control.
For a fixed , write . At leading order the proposed quantile expansion gives , and strict monotonicity gives . Substitute into the distribution function expansion. A Taylor expansion at givesSince , the coefficient of must vanish. Thus the first Cornish-Fisher expansion coefficients are
For the logistic distribution, set . Its density satisfies and has exponentially decreasing tails. Symmetry and integrability give , and the supplied integral givesTherefore , , and the central limit theorem givesWriting and , the condition is equivalent toConsequently the confidence intervalhas limiting coverage . Whether the finite endpoints are included makes no probability difference because the sample mean has a density.
The centered logistic distribution is symmetric, so . Its smooth density and exponentially decreasing derivatives satisfy the conditions stated above; in particular all moments exist and Fourier smoothing is available. The first correction in the Edgeworth expansion vanishes, leaving at each of the two fixed quantiles. Subtracting gives the stronger conclusionThe standardized law is independent of , so this coverage-error conclusion holds with the same bound for every location parameter.
New to topics? Read the docs here!