Equality case for conditional second moments Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-07
If is a real square-integrable random variable and , then and the displayed identity follows by expansion. Thus equality of the second moments forces as an almost sure equality. This is the equality case of the conditional Jensen inequality for the strictly convex function .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2013 iii Paper 25 1 a 1 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
Choose an orthonormal basis of the separable Hilbert space and independent standard normal random variables on a common probability space. In finite dimension the sums below are finite; in dimension zero take . In infinite dimension defineIndependence, centring and unit variance giveBy the Parseval identity for a Hilbertian basis, the coefficient sequence is square-summable. Completeness of therefore supplies a limit, and we defineEvery partial-sum map is linear, and passage to the limit preserves this identity. Thus for each fixed , as an identity, hence an almost sure equality. This constructs an isonormal Gaussian process.
The usual meaning is almost-sure linearity for each fixed choice of arguments. A version linear simultaneously for every argument can also be chosen: select a Hamel basis of , choose a measurable representative of on each basis vector, and extend each sample algebraically by finite sums. For every fixed , this extension equals the constructed variable almost surely, so all its required distributions are unchanged.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 26 2 1 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
The conditional expectation is a -measurable integrable random variable such thatIt is defined up to almost sure equality. Measurability with respect to the sub-sigma-algebra and equality of these integrals are both essential: the first expresses that only the information in is retained, and the second preserves all averages visible through that information. Existence follows from the Radon-Nikodym theorem; uniqueness is up to sets of probability zero.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 26 2 3 Solution 2026-10-06
For the real-valued variables here, take a -measurable version of . Since the variables are bounded, the conditional expectation defining identity extends to the bounded -measurable multiplier , givingThe equality case for conditional second moments now givesA nonnegative random variable with zero expectation vanishes with probability one. Thus as an almost sure equality. The same proof works for square-integrable variables; boundedness is more than is needed.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2017 iii Paper 201 6 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
Fix a deterministic . By the Strong Markov property at the finite Brownian first-passage time , the process is a standard Brownian motion started at zero. Such a process takes positive values arbitrarily soon almost surely: for every , the Brownian reflection principle makes its maximum on have the distribution of , so the probability that the maximum is zero is zero. Intersecting these events for gives an infimum of positive-crossing times equal to zero. ThereforeThe infimum defining the strict crossing time need not itself be a time when ; continuity gives . The quantifier here is fixed-level almost sure equality, not indistinguishability of stochastic processes as the level varies.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 201 1 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
Let be independent and identically distributed random variables with the fair Bernoulli distribution, and putRelative to , this fair-coin doubling martingale satisfies : while alive it doubles with probability and becomes zero otherwise. Its expected value is .
The probability of an infinite run of ones is , so is eventually zero almost surely. However,Thus the martingale lacks convergence in L1 to its limit from almost sure convergence. Nor can it have convergence in L1 to any other limit: convergence in L1 implies convergence in probability, whose limit is unique up to almost sure equality.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2021 iii Paper 201 1 b Solution 2026-09-28
Conditional expectation is unique up to almost sure equality. If and both satisfy the definition, then for every ,The events and belong to . Testing on them, or first on and , shows that both have probability zero. Hence almost surely.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 201 1 b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Uniqueness means almost sure equality. Suppose that two -measurable integrable random variables and satisfy the integral identity from part (a). The event belongs to , and henceThe integrand is nonnegative and is positive precisely on , so . Interchanging and gives , and therefore almost surely.