Let be an interior target for fixed-design nonparametric regression with equally spaced sites, regression function differentiable at , and independent mean-zero errors of common variance . Use a nonnegative symmetric unit-integral compactly supported piecewise smooth regression kernel , with and . For the Nadaraya–Watson estimator,The noise variance factor is essential; alone assumes unit variance.
For the bias, expand uniformly in the shrinking window. Symmetry cancels the limiting first moment and the grid error is . For the variance, independent errors give ; the two kernel Riemann sums yield . Hence the squared bias of an estimator is . This is a pointwise differentiability argument; it does not supply a uniform remainder over an arbitrary class of functions.
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