The log-likelihood has derivative
Differentiating the normalizing identity for the family gives
Hence an interior maximum satisfies, and under nondegeneracy uniquely satisfies,
The log density is
Its kink occurs at the unknown location , so its parameter dependence cannot be separated into a fixed finite-dimensional statistic of and the smooth canonical form required of an exponential dispersion family. Thus the two-parameter location-scale Laplace distribution is not such a family.
For independent observations, the log-likelihood is
For every fixed , maximizing this expression in is equivalent to minimizing . Hence
the least absolute deviations estimator. At this value,
so, in the nondegenerate case ,
Ignoring terms independent of , the log-likelihood is
Its score function is
Since , the interior critical point is the maximum, giving
The sum of independent Poisson distributions is Poisson with mean , so
Thus the maximum-likelihood estimator is also unbiased.
After integrating out the multivariate normal distribution , the marginal distribution is
Up to terms independent of , the log-likelihood is
Differentiating and setting the result to zero gives the maximum marginal likelihood estimator
This is an Empirical Bayes method because the estimated hyperparameter is then inserted into the prior and posterior distributions.
For individual , let be the reported count, the gender indicator, and the minority indicator. The fitted Poisson regression is
Its log-likelihood is
The maximum-likelihood estimator is
Holding minority status fixed, changing the gender indicator from zero to one multiplies the fitted conditional expected value by . Thus the fitted mean count for men is about lower than that for women with the same minority status.
Write for the colony count and for the dose on plate . The first fit is the Poisson regression
Thus its log-likelihood is
The Poisson deviance relative to the saturated model is
where a summand with uses .
At dose zero the fitted expected value is eradicated colonies. Increasing dose by one unit multiplies the fitted mean by ; for example, an increase of units multiplies it by about . The positive fitted effect is small and its displayed two-sided -value, , gives little evidence against a zero dose coefficient.
Under independent right censoring, observation contributes
where indicates an event. Multiply these contributions, take the log-likelihood, and maximize it over the parametric survival-model parameter , numerically if the score equations have no closed form.
With constant hazard , observation contributes
Writing and , the log-likelihood is , whose derivative is . Hence
the number of events divided by total person-time.
Ignoring terms independent of , the log-likelihood is
Its score vanishes at
The expected Fisher information is
Because a shape-three gamma variable has mean and variance ,
The estimator is unbiased and attains the Cramér-Rao lower bound .
Poisson observation 2026-10-07
A Poisson observation is an integer-valued count modeled by a Poisson distribution of specified intensity, possibly conditionally on a latent field. Independent Poisson observations motivate Poisson data fidelity through their log-likelihood.
Residual deviance 2026-10-06
The unscaled residual deviance of an exponential dispersion family compares its fitted mean with the saturated statistical model at a common dispersion parameter. Its normalization removes the factor in the log-likelihood. In Poisson regression and binomial regression, , so it is twice the saturated-minus-fitted log-likelihood. Under suitable regularity, has approximately a chi-squared distribution with the residual degrees of freedom; this is not an automatic accurate approximation for sparse responses. Nested deviance reductions with estimated dispersion lead to approximate F-tests after scaling by the dispersion estimate.
A saturated model has enough independently varying mean parameters to match every observed response or response cell. In individual Bernoulli distribution data its fitted probabilities are , and its maximum log-likelihood is zero under . It defines the reference in a binomial deviance.
Score equation Created 2026-09-28 Updated 2026-10-07
A score equation sets the score function equal to zero. Its solutions are stationary points of the log-likelihood, and a negative-definite likelihood Hessian identifies an interior local maximum.
For and a positivity-preserving operator, this is the negative log-likelihood for independent Poisson observations with intensity , up to constants depending only on the data and the unit background. For bounded , its scalar derivatives are and on . It is convex, and strictly convex in the predicted intensity when almost everywhere. On a unit-area domain, the Jensen inequality gives . The shift makes integrable whenever ; no integrability of is needed.
For hidden activations and class probabilities , a one-hot label has log-likelihood . Put and . Then
These follow from the chain rule and give single-observation stochastic gradient descent updates for the negative log-likelihood.