Past exam of the chemistry course of the year 4 of the natural sciences course of the University of Cambridge / 2021 / Interdisciplinary paper IDP1 / 3 / a

Absorption depends on an allowed transition with a nonzero transition dipole moment and appreciable line strength at wavelengths carrying terrestrial thermal radiation. Molecular vibration and molecular rotation, level populations and pressure/temperature-dependent line shapes determine the spectrum. A band in an atmospheric window can be more effective incrementally than one already strongly absorbed by water or carbon dioxide. Symmetry can make a vibration infrared inactive even when the molecule has many normal modes. Atmospheric lifetime affects the persistence of a released gas, not the intrinsic absorption strength of one molecule.

The size parameter $x=2\pi r/\lambda$, complex refractive index and particle shape determine scattering strength and direction. In the small-sphere Rayleigh scattering regime, scattering cross-section scales as $r^6{\lambda }^{-4}|(m^2-1)/(m^2+2){|}^2$; the Mie scattering regime is needed when particle size approaches the wavelength. Particle number density and particle size distribution, aerosol hygroscopicity and the angular fraction returned to space control an ensemble's radiative effect. High scattering does not imply strong cooling if most light is scattered forward or the particle also absorbs strongly; single-scattering albedo distinguishes scattering from absorption.

Carbon dioxide is relatively well mixed, its abundance is measured accurately, and its spectroscopy and large-scale radiative effect are well constrained. Aerosols are short lived and spatially heterogeneous; uncertain emissions, removal, size, composition, water uptake and height change both scattering and absorption. Their aerosol-cloud interaction effects and subsequent cloud adjustments add uncertainty, and the unobserved preindustrial aerosol baseline complicates anthropogenic attribution. Thus total aerosol forcing combines poorly constrained physical pathways and a less certain counterfactual, rather than simply an uncertain molecular absorption coefficient.^[ref]