Past exam of the probability, measure and martingales course of the University of Oxford / 2023 / 3 / b / iii

We first establish the lower truncation identity as well. The pair $(-X,-Y)$ has the same hypotheses as $(X,Y)$, because conditional expectation is linear and negation preserves equality of probability distributions. Apply part (ii) to this pair and multiply by $-1$ to getFor every real $t$,Using this identity, part (ii), the lower truncation identity, and linearity of conditional expectation givesIn particular the argument does not assume that a function obtained by scalar clipping is a convex function or a concave function.

Write $C_a(t)=(t\wedge a)\vee (-a)$. The bounded random variables $C_a(X)$ and $C_a(Y)$ have the same probability distribution, and the displayed identity identifies the latter as the conditional expectation of the former. They are square-integrable, so part (i) gives $C_a(X)=C_a(Y)$ almost surely. Take $a=1,2,\dots$ and discard the countable union of exceptional null sets. At every remaining outcome, let $a\to \infty$ to obtainThus conditional expectation preserving a distribution forces equality even when only integrability is assumed.