Past exam of the statistics course of the University of Oxford / 2015 / 1 / b / ii / Solution

First establish the limiting law needed by the delta method. For fixed $t$, put $u_n=1/2+t/\sqrt{n}$ and let $N_n$ count how many of the $U_i$ are at most $u_n$. Then $N_n$ has a binomial distribution with expectation $n/2+t\sqrt{n}$ and variance $n/4-t^2$. The event $M_U\le u_n$ is exactly $N_n\ge (n+1)/2$. Its standardized threshold tends to $-2t$, so the central limit theorem for these binomial counts givesHere $\Phi$ is the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal distribution. Equivalently,Use the usual local regularity for the delta method: $f$ is continuous at the population median $\theta$ and $f(\theta )>0$. The inverse function theorem, applied at $F(\theta )=1/2$, givesThereforeThe asymptotic normality gives the requested leading variance approximationHere the variance parameter for the rescaled limiting law is $1/(4f(\theta {)}^2)$, while the source states the corresponding $1/n$ approximation for the unscaled estimator. Strict increase of $F$ alone does not force $f(\theta )>0$; that local condition is needed for this form of the asymptotic distribution of a sample median.