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The logistic differential equation is the nonlinear ordinary differential equationAs a mathematical model of population dynamics, it treats abundance $N$ as a continuous nonnegative quantity. The constant $r$ has units of inverse time, while the carrying capacity $K$ has the same units as $N$. The useful idea is to combine growth resembling exponential growth at low abundance with a slowing approach to a finite abundance. The three trajectories below already show an important distinction: starting above the carrying capacity gives a decreasing curve, whereas starting below it gives an increasing one.

For $N>0$, dividing the derivative by abundance gives the instantaneous per-capita rate:It decreases linearly with $N$: it approaches $r$ at low abundance, is $r/2$ at $N=K/2$, vanishes at the carrying capacity, and is negative above it. This per-capita rate differs from the total rate $N^{\prime }$, which also counts how many individuals contribute. It is an instantaneous rate, rather than a fixed percentage increase over a whole day. The linear per-capita assumption and the resulting qualitative picture are developed in MIT 18.03SC's logistic-model notes.

Writing $f(N)=rN(1-N/K)$, the equilibrium points satisfy $f(N)=0$, so the constant solutions of a differential equation are $N(t)=0$ and $N(t)=K$. The phase line points upward for $0<N<K$ and downward for $N>K$. Also $f^{\prime }(0)=r>0$ and $f^{\prime }(K)=-r<0$: the criterion for fixed point stability for an autonomous differential equation makes zero an unstable equilibrium and $K$ an asymptotically stable equilibrium point. Every positive initial condition approaches $K$ as $t\to \infty$; $N_0=0$ stays exactly zero. Instability of zero means that a small positive population grows away from it, not that a zero population spontaneously appears.

For every $N_0>0$, the unique solution of a differential equation for all $t\ge 0$ isThe denominator is positive on this domain, including when $N_0>K$. For $0<N_0<K$, this is a translated and scaled logistic function; its extension to all real times is a sigmoid function. For $N_0>K$ the coefficient of the exponential function is negative, and the future curve instead decreases toward $K$. No nonconstant positive solution of a differential equation crosses $K$ or reaches it at finite time. A short derivation uses the dimensionless variable $z=K/N-1$: the chain rule gives $z^{\prime }=-rz$, so exponential decay yields $z(t)=(K/N_0-1)e^{-rt}$. The substitution divides by $N$, so the zero equilibrium point must be included separately.

The total growth rate is a downward-opening quadratic function of abundance. Completing the square gives its maximum without solving the differential equation:The balance is beautiful: more individuals contribute to growth, but each contributes less, and the strongest total increase occurs halfway to the carrying capacity. This is a maximum over possible abundances. A trajectory starting above $K/2$ never passes through that abundance in its future.

The chain rule connects this maximum to the shape of the time trajectory through its second derivative:For $0<N_0<K/2$, the trajectory initially has convexity and then concavity, with its one future inflection point atFor $N_0=K/2$, this point lies at the initial time, with concavity for $t>0$. For $K/2<N_0<K$, the inflection point belongs to the past extension, so the future trajectory has concavity throughout. Above $K$, the decreasing trajectory has convexity and no inflection point. The two constant solutions of a differential equation have no change of concavity. Thus an entire logistic function has an S shape, but its observed future segment need not show both bends. See also ^[ref].

For the plotted example with $K=1000$, $r=0.4{\mathrm{day}}^{-1}$ and $N_0=100$, time $t$ measured in days givesThe initial total rate is $N^{\prime }(0)=0.4\cdot 100\cdot 0.9=36$ individuals per day, and the initial per-capita rate is $0.36{\mathrm{day}}^{-1}$. The fastest total increase is $rK/4=100$ individuals per day, reached at $t_{1/2}=\ln 9/0.4\approx 5.49306$ days. At that time the per-capita rate has already fallen to $0.2{\mathrm{day}}^{-1}$.

These parameters are illustrative choices, rather than an empirical fit. The equation specifies deterministic evolution under a phenomenological assumption: it summarizes how net growth depends on abundance without separately modelling every process that affects it. The carrying capacity is a parameter for a specified setting, not a universal constant for all populations. In his 1838 paper "Notice sur la loi que la population suit dans son accroissement", Correspondance mathématique et physique 10, pp. 113–121, Pierre-François Verhulst proposed $p^{\prime }=mp-n{p}^2$, equivalent to this equation with $r=m$ and $K=m/n$. He also noted that different assumed growth-retarding terms could describe the observations similarly while giving very different limiting populations. This is an early illustration of why a good-looking curve alone does not establish a unique long-term prediction.^[ref]

The logistic differential equation describes continuous time. The logistic map instead advances in discrete steps and can exhibit a period-doubling cascade and Devaney chaos; the monotone positive trajectories here cannot. Their connection through the Forward Euler method is explained under Euler discretization of logistic growth, where a large step can introduce behaviour absent from the original differential equation.

Put $F(y)=(y^2-4)\arctan y$. Its zeros, and hence the equilibrium points, are $-2,0,2$. For a perturbation $y=y_{\ast }+\eta$, linear stability analysis gives $\dot{\eta }=F^{\prime }(y_{\ast })\eta +O({\eta }^2)$, withAt zero, $F^{\prime }(0)=-4$, so sufficiently small perturbations decay and $y=0$ is asymptotically stable. At either outer equilibrium point, $F^{\prime }(\pm 2)=4\arctan 2>0$, so $y=-2$ and $y=2$ are unstable. The phase line confirms the result: $F$ has signs $-,+,-,+$ on the intervals cut out by $-2,0,2$, respectively. Flow points toward zero on both sides and away from both outer equilibria.

Factor the right-hand side as $f(y)=y(y-2)(y+1)$. Its equilibrium points are $-1,0,2$, and $f^{\prime }(y)=3y^2-2y-2$ givesIndeed $f^{\prime }(-1)=3$, $f^{\prime }(0)=-2$ and $f^{\prime }(2)=6$. The phase line has downward motion for $y<-1$, upward motion for $-1<y<0$, downward motion for $0<y<2$, and upward motion for $y>2$. The uniqueness of a smooth autonomous differential equation prevents trajectories from crossing an equilibrium point. Consequently trajectories starting between $-1$ and $2$ approach zero as $x\to \infty$, while those outside that interval move away from the three equilibrium points. The constant trajectories and representative nonconstant trajectories are shown below.

The phase line of a scalar autonomous differential equation $y^{\prime }=f(y)$ marks the zeros of $f$ and the direction of motion between them. The sign of $f$ gives the arrows. Under local uniqueness, a nonconstant trajectory cannot cross an equilibrium point; inward arrows indicate attraction and outward arrows repulsion.