For high-risk group fraction , fixed total contact rates and reciprocal cross-group contacts, let . The displayed SIS model describes within-group infectious fractions. In fractions the transmission matrix is ; in infected-person counts it is . A common recovery rate gives basic reproduction number . The mean population susceptible fraction does not generally equal its reciprocal.
A microparasite typically multiplies within an infected host on a much shorter time scale than between-host transmission. A useful first model classifies hosts by infection status. A macroparasite, such as an adult parasitic worm, instead requires a count of parasites per host: two infected hosts can carry very different within-host parasite burdens. These are modelling distinctions rather than a rule determined only by an organism's physical size.
For a microparasite with no lasting immunity, a homogeneous SIS model is
The basic reproduction number is , and the prevalence describes the infected-host fraction. A SIR model adds an immune class, and a SEIR model adds a latent class. Contact structure, age, susceptibility, recovery rate and infectiousness can require several such classes. Then a next-generation matrix or operator, rather than a single averaged contact rate, sets the invasion threshold. Stochastic epidemic models are relevant to early extinction and finite populations; network or spatial models represent nonuniform contact opportunities.
For a simple macroparasite burden model, let be the fraction of hosts carrying adult worms. Assume acquisitions at rate , independent adult-worm losses at rate , and a number of infective stages in a well-mixed environmental reservoir. The immigration-death worm-burden model has
This birth-death process needs the burden distribution or its probability generating function, not just an infected/not-infected partition. Its mean satisfies . With host number fixed and each adult producing infective stages at rate , one possible environmental closure is
For this asexual, unsaturated transmission approximation, one worm's basic reproduction number is . Growth above the invasion threshold requires additional density regulation if a finite endemic burden is sought. Sex-dependent mating would change this closure.
With constant external exposure , the equilibrium burden follows a Poisson distribution with mean , giving infected-host prevalence . If exposure rates vary across hosts as a gamma distribution, the Poisson-gamma mixture gives a negative binomial distribution with mean and aggregation parameter :
The same mean burden can therefore coexist with very different prevalence and highly infected subgroups. Aggregation of macroparasite burdens affects treatment coverage, burden-dependent host mortality, immunity and parasite fecundity. For sexually reproducing worms, hosts need both sexes for fertile output; a mean alone may not determine it. With independent equally likely sexes and Poisson burden, the probability of both sexes is , illustrating mating-limited macroparasite transmission and its low-burden bottleneck.
Both microparasite and macroparasite models need heterogeneous exposure and host responses. The special extra difficulty for macroparasites is translating a distributed worm burden, and possibly worm sex or developmental stage, into transmission and host harm. Conversely, complicated within-host microparasite processes can also require more than a binary host state when the simple fast-within-host approximation fails.
Let be the infectious proportion in a closed population. With homogeneous frequency-dependent transmission rate and recovery rate , the SIS model is
The basic reproduction number is the expected number of secondary infections produced by a typical newly infected individual in an otherwise susceptible population under the specified contact conditions. Here the infectious duration has mean , so .
For the attracting endemic equilibrium has . The homogeneous SIS susceptible fraction is therefore
For the physical equilibrium is disease-free, , . At equality approach to zero is algebraic. Thus is an endemic relation, not a formula demanding more than one susceptible person per person below the invasion threshold.
Use an assortatively mixed two-risk-group SIS model with equal per-person recovery rate . Let be infectious proportions in groups of sizes . Let be their fixed contact rates and the transmission probability per contact. Suppose a small fixed fraction of high-risk contacts is with the low-risk group. Contact reciprocity in a two-group epidemic requires
For sufficiently small , both groups make most contacts within their own group, and the total cross-group contacts are of order . Define , , and . The forces of infection give
Here and hold in the small- regime. High-risk per-person cross contact is order one but its group size is order ; low-risk per-person cross contact is order . These distinctions are needed to count each cross-group partnership consistently.
Linearize about the disease-free state. In infectious fractions the transmission matrix is
In infected-individual counts the next-generation matrix is instead
The count and fraction formulations are related by a diagonal change of coordinates, so their eigenvalues coincide. The basic reproduction number is the spectral radius , not an average of the two group reproduction numbers. The larger real eigenvalue is
This model makes a particular reciprocal mixing convention explicit; different defensible contact laws can change the first-order coefficients.
Recovery rate 2026-10-14
In a continuous-time epidemic model, a constant recovery rate gives an exponential distribution of infectious duration with mean . Other duration distributions require additional stages or infection-age structure.
SIR model equations 2026-10-14
For frequency-dependent transmission, the closed SIR model is a system of ordinary differential equations for the fractions :
Here is the coefficient of frequency-dependent transmission, and is the recovery rate, interpreted more generally as the removal rate. Both have units of inverse time. With a constant recovery rate, the associated individual time in the infectious compartment has an exponential distribution with mean ; the SIR model does not require every person to spend exactly that long there. The fractions themselves have no units.[ref]
For counts , , , the same SIR model equations read
The factor keeps the same in both descriptions. Dropping it while keeping these units would fail dimensional analysis. Some existing SIR model variants use the unnormalized mass-action infection convention instead, including the SIR susceptible-recovered identity; their coefficient is in the notation used here.
Adding the SIR model equations gives , a short proof of conservation of population. Nonnegative starting fractions stay nonnegative: the outflow from either the susceptible compartment or the infectious compartment vanishes when that group is empty, while . Thus the susceptible compartment can only shrink and the removed compartment can only grow.
For a concrete initial value problem, stipulate
At the start, the flow into the infectious compartment is of the total per day, and the flow into the removed compartment is of the total per day. Hence per day. If , these correspond to model rates of and people per day, and net growth people per day. A rate need not be an integer count of events on any particular day.
For this SIR model, the basic reproduction number is
It describes one introduced member of the infectious compartment in an otherwise wholly susceptible compartment. The instantaneous reproduction number at the actual starting state is , obtained by freezing the current conditions and the current susceptible compartment's fraction. More generally it is in this SIR model. The basic reproduction number is a ratio of two rates, so it has no units; is a different quantity, the initial removed compartment's fraction.
While , its instantaneous relative growth is
Initially this equals . Freezing gives the early exponential growth approximation with measured in days. It must fail as the susceptible compartment shrinks. An epidemic invasion threshold occurs at ; if , the deterministic SIR model stays at even above that threshold.
For a heterogeneous SIS model with common recovery rate and a positive endemic equilibrium , force balance gives . When the transmission matrix is irreducible and nonnegative, the positive equilibrium vector and the Perron–Frobenius theorem imply the displayed spectral radius identity. It replaces the homogeneous scalar relation : different recipient types generally have different susceptible fractions.