Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 34 6 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let denote the time- price of a zero-coupon bond paying one at maturity , with . Information available at is the sigma-algebra in the market filtration. For a curve differentiable in maturity, the instantaneous forward rate and its diagonal short rate areThe last identity follows by integrating the maturity derivative and using . The continuous-time bank account reinvesting at the short rate is , and its reciprocal is the discount factor. Modelling forward rates means specifying a random maturity-indexed curve with an evolution consistent with the same pricing measure for every bond. The expectation below is under that money-market risk-neutral measure, not an unspecified physical measure.
For fixed maturity , if is a true martingale on , its terminal value is . ConsequentlyConversely, this representation gives , a conditional-expectation martingale by the tower property. For example, for , conditioning the right side on returns . These claims assume . A positive discounted local martingale alone need not equal the conditional expectation of its terminal value, so the word “martingale” cannot be weakened without an extra integrability argument.
In the Vasicek model, the Brownian motion and coefficients in must be understood under this pricing measure. Multiplying by and integrating gives, conditionally on ,Assume first , and put and . Integrating the explicit solution over yieldsThe interchange of the stochastic integrals is justified by their deterministic square-integrable kernels on the finite triangular domain; equivalently approximate the kernels by step functions, interchange finite sums, and pass to the limit using the Itô isometry. The last integral conditionally has a centered normal distribution independent of , with varianceA deterministic Brownian integral is Gaussian because its step approximations are sums of independent normal increments; their variances converge by the Itô isometry. Completing the square in the normal density proves for a normal variable of mean and variance . Hence the zero-coupon bond price is exponential-affine:An equivalent familiar form isAt , both coefficients are zero and the bond value is one. These formulas are valid for negative as well as positive nonzero on finite horizons, though a genuinely mean-reverting Vasicek model has . For , direct integration gives , andAll the exponential moments used above are finite, so the prices defined by the conditional expectation do give true discounted martingales.
To fit an initial bond curve, let its observed prices be positive, satisfy , and have a sufficiently smooth instantaneous forward rate . Set ; this compatibility is forced by the infinitesimal-maturity bond price. Replace by a deterministic function , with , so thatIts mean satisfies , . The variance of the integrated rate remains , since changing deterministic drift does not change the centered Gaussian process. ThereforeThe required mean is consequently . Solve its mean equation for :Combining the last two terms gives the explicit Hull-White model calibration in the question's parameter convention:With , the specified mean solves the same linear differential equation and initial condition as the model mean, so it is the actual mean. The resulting model forward curve equals ; integrating and using proves for every maturity. If the drift is instead written , its calibration parameter is , not itself.
The printed allowance of arbitrary constants needs a qualification for this final claim. If , replacing by changes no coefficient at all: regardless of . Its initial curve is fixed at . With , the compatible smooth observed curve is already a counterexample to the unconditional fitting claim. Thus arbitrary compatible smooth positive initial curves can be fitted by the stated replacement when ; it cannot fit arbitrary curves when . In that degenerate case one can instead introduce an independent deterministic drift in , choosing to recover the desired initial curve. Likewise an externally fixed is incompatible with exact fitting, and an arbitrary nonsmooth set of prices need not define the differentiable forward curve assumed in the model.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 34 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Write , and specify the physical Black-Scholes model as , with constant and bank rate . The physical drift is needed for an expected utility calculation; a pricing model specified only under a risk-neutral measure does not determine the investor's preferences over risky positions. PutHere is the market price of risk, is the density of the risk-neutral measure , and is the state-price density. The Girsanov theorem makes a Brownian motion under .
For a dollar holding in the stock and consumption rate , the portfolio wealth equation isSince , integration by parts gives the useful deflated wealth equation with consumptionFor strategies with a true deflated gain martingale, terminal wealth and consumption obey the state-price budget constraintFor nonnegative wealth and consumption, the admissibility condition can instead give a budget inequality; increasing utilities use the full budget at an optimum. Conversely, suitable integrable payoff and consumption plans with this budget are financeable in the Brownian complete market. To construct the strategy, setBy the Brownian martingale representation theorem, write . The required dollar stock holding is ; substitution in the deflated gain equation verifies financing. Remaining wealth goes into the bank account. For square-integrable data the representation holds directly, and localization handles the customary integrable admissible data.
First take no consumption. For an increasing strictly concave differentiable utility function whose marginal derivative can be inverted, let . Choose so thatThis candidate is not merely a first-order guess. The concave supporting-tangent inequality gives, pointwise,Taking expectations and using the budget proves for every feasible competitor. Finance the optimizer by its risk-neutral pricing value , using the preceding representation to find the holdings.
For a merely concave differentiable utility function, the general formulation is to select from the maximizers of over its wealth domain, and choose the multiplier to satisfy the budget. If increasing utility is not assumed, the equality-budget multiplier may have either sign; the positive-multiplier inverse formula above is for increasing utility. Flat portions allow multiple maximizers; boundaries require one-sided inequalities rather than equality of marginal derivatives. Existence of a multiplier, integrability and an admissible maximizer must be checked. Concavity alone does not guarantee a well-posed problem: with unrestricted dollar positions, linear utility and permits unbounded expected terminal wealth. The explicit utilities below satisfy the needed conditions in their stated domains.
For exponential utility on , and . ThereforeThe budget is equivalently , since . Under , , giving . HenceMatching the Brownian coefficient of with gives the finite-horizon exponential-utility portfolioHold shares and invest in the bank account. This is a dollar amount, not a fixed wealth fraction. The Gaussian exponential formula also gives the optimal expected utilityThis calculation uses unrestricted wealth and an admissibility class permitting the displayed Gaussian terminal wealth, with integrable deflated gains and the relevant exponential moment. A nonnegative-wealth constraint would change the optimizer; no such constraint is imposed on this exponential-utility example.
For both terminal and running utility function, choose and a nonnegative adapted consumption rate to maximize subject to the combined budget. Pointwise maximization of and gives, for interior strictly concave cases,Apply the concave supporting-tangent inequality to and to at every time, then integrate and take expectations. The difference in objectives is at most times the difference in budget expenditures, which is nonpositive. This proves optimality, not just the marginal conditions. The financing value isThe question's consumption rate is denoted here to keep it distinct from interest-rate notation.
For logarithmic utility with , , assume and positive wealth and consumption. The marginal conditions and budget giveEach state-price-weighted payment is deterministic, so conditional valuation immediately gives . Put . Since the Itô formula gives , this value satisfiesComparison with the wealth equation verifies the complete finite-horizon logarithmic investment and consumption strategy:Thus the optimal share holding is , and the remaining value is in the bank account; borrowing or shorting is allowed if that value or the stock holding is negative. Terminal wealth is positive and consumption is positive throughout. Finally , so the optimal objective, if desired explicitly, isFinite-horizon lognormal moments ensure the budget and expected utilities are finite, completing the feasibility and optimality checks.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 34 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Write and for the price of the unit zero-coupon bond maturing at , so . Let the stock satisfy with . Assume the value function is and the holdings have enough smoothness for the calculations below. The self-financing portfolio condition is the gain identityThe Itô formula expresses the left side asMatching the diffusion terms gives , or . Differentiating gives . Also . Matching the remaining drift terms consequently gives the two necessary conditionsThey are sufficient because substituting them into the Itô formula restores exactly the gain identity. Necessity first holds along the stock process; its positive lognormal density for every , together with continuity of the coefficient functions, gives the displayed identities for all and , and continuity extends them to the endpoints.
Equivalently, the smooth value of any self-financing portfolio satisfies the Black-Scholes equationIndeed, the gain identity after imposing has drift , which gives this equation. Conversely, if satisfies this equation, takeThe Itô formula then verifies that these holdings form a self-financing portfolio of value . This converse asserts existence of the correct holdings. It does not certify an arbitrary decomposition of into stock and bond holdings: for example, , , solves the value equation but fails . The Black-Scholes value equation needs delta-compatible holdings precisely for this reason.
For a constant-proportion portfolio, the stock value must satisfy . Since , integration of gives . Substituting into the Black-Scholes equation givesThus, for initial portfolio wealth and stock price , the complete explicit solution isHere counts shares and counts maturity- bonds; the initial cost is . Directly, the self-financing gain equation is , which also verifies the displayed value. Constant proportions concern the values of the holdings, not constant numbers of shares or bonds. The nondegenerate volatility assumption is necessary for the preceding diffusion matching; with , one only obtains a gain condition along the deterministic stock path.
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