P-star approximation 2026-10-14
For a regular model with a suitable ancillary statistic , the displayed expression approximates the conditional density of the maximum-likelihood estimator. The normalizing factor includes for a -dimensional estimator, depending on convention. The observed information is evaluated at the sample's own fitted value. In a pure scale model the factor is proportional to ; this Jacobian determinant can make the normalized approximation coincide with the exact conditional density.
Range-conditioned uniform location inference 2026-10-14
For independent observations uniform on , let and be the sample minimum and maximum, , and . For their joint density in is on , . Integrating over gives , independent of , so is an ancillary statistic. Moreover is uniform on . Consequentlyis an exact conditional confidence interval for . The realized range determines the appropriate precision, although the range is not itself evidence about the value of .
Sufficient statistic Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
A statistic is sufficient for a statistical model when the conditional distribution of the full data given has a version independent of the unknown statistical parameter . Once is recorded, the remaining uncertainty about the data's arrangement can be generated without knowing . [ref]
Sufficiency (Stat 210a, Fall 2025) by Will Fithian. Sufficiency, Will Fithian, “Sufficiency”: definition
For data and statistic taking values in standard Borel spaces, express this precisely with one Markov kernel , common to every statistical parameter value:for each measurable event . Thus is a regular conditional distribution of given . Equality is only required outside a null set for the distribution of under each ; the choice of version matters on impossible conditioning events. For a continuous probability distribution, the event may have zero probability even at meaningful observations, so the definition uses a regular conditional distribution, rather than division by .
A sufficient statistic is a property of a specified statistical model, rather than of a formula for summarizing data in isolation. It need not be an unbiased estimator or even shorten the record: the full data is always sufficient. An estimator instead targets a quantity such as a mean. An ancillary statistic has a parameter-independent marginal probability distribution, whereas a sufficient statistic has a parameter-independent conditional full-data law. A minimal sufficient statistic permits the greatest reduction among sufficient statistics. A complete statistic satisfies a separate condition about zero expectations; a complete sufficient statistic must satisfy both conditions.