Mix a binomial distribution with a beta distribution for its success probability: and . Integrating their densities gives the displayed mass for . Its expectation is , and its variance is . It is the posterior predictive distribution for repeated Bernoulli trials after a beta-prior update.
A uniform prior distribution on the success chance makes the number of successes in any fixed number of Bernoulli trials uniform on , because . This is a statement about counts, not a uniform distribution over the ordered outcome sequences. It also makes predictions reversible between equally sized batches: their joint probability distribution is symmetric and their marginal count distributions are the same uniform distribution.
Conditional on the pooled number of successes in exchangeable random variables that are binary, all placements of those successes are equally likely under a common success-chance mixture. The count in a chosen batch of size therefore has a hypergeometric distribution, with mass . Under the uniform-count predictive property, is uniform on . Dividing the joint pooled-and-batch probability by the first batch's uniform marginal gives the posterior predictive distribution, with factor . Substituting in the hypergeometric expression does not give a single normalized hypergeometric mass as varies, since its population success total then varies too.

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