Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 ii Paper 2 28J a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
For , its probability generating function isThus andThe log-likelihood is, up to an additive constant,so the maximum-likelihood estimator is . The central limit theorem gives
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 ii Paper 2 28J d Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Under the null model, , which is a boundary point of the parameter space. Standard interior-point asymptotic normality of the maximum-likelihood estimator therefore need not apply.
Indeed, put . Under , . For the unconstrained estimator , the central limit theorem givesSince , the continuous mapping theorem yieldsThis distribution has probability at zero and a continuous normal half-density on the negative half-line, so it is not normal.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 ii Paper 3 28J a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Let . The log-likelihood iswith score function and second derivative . The unique maximum-likelihood estimator is thereforeFor an exponential distribution of rate ,The central limit theorem givesApplying the delta method to , for which , yields the exponential-rate maximum-likelihood estimator limit
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 ii Paper 4 28J b ii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
PutThe central limit theorem gives . Provided , the delta method applied to yieldsStrict monotonicity alone does not exclude ; in that exceptional case this root- limit need not hold and higher-order analysis is required.
One does not necessarily have for every , because need not be unbiased. The Cramer-Rao bound for an estimator with bias is insteadunder the corresponding regularity assumptions.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 ii Paper 4 28J b iv Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
The assumed maximum-likelihood estimator is the sample mean of . Its central limit theorem isFor a regular model, the regular maximum-likelihood limit isThe two asymptotic variances must agree, soConsequentlyto first asymptotic order. The estimator therefore attains the Cramer-Rao bound asymptotically: its precision, the reciprocal variance, exhausts the information in the sample.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2020 ii Paper 2 28J Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-29
PutThe log-likelihood, apart from an additive constant, isOver the full parameter space its maximum-likelihood estimates are . Under , maximizing over the nuisance parameter gives . Thus the generalized likelihood-ratio test statistic, in the convention , is
Under , the normal-sample decomposition givesWriting , the central limit theorem for a sum of squared independent standard normal variables yields . Hence Slutsky theorem givesand in particular .
For , Taylor theorem at givesConsequentlyby the continuous mapping theorem and Slutsky's theorem. Since the square of a standard normal variable has the chi-squared distribution with one degree of freedom,
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2021 ii Paper 3 28J a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
The log-likelihood is, up to constants, , so the maximum-likelihood estimator is . By the central limit theorem,Applying the delta method to gives
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 ib Paper 2 6H b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Also,The central limit theorem givesReplacing in the asymptotic standard error by the consistent estimator gives the Wald confidence intervalIt may be intersected with the parameter space .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 iii Paper 205 3 Solution 2026-09-28
Under , conditional independence givesMultiplication by the measurable sign and the law of total expectation prove the first identity.
WriteThenConditional orthogonality under and the variance bounds in (ii) giveand similarly for the term containing . The Cauchy-Schwarz inequality bounds the last term bywhich is by .
The leading summands are independent, centered, and have variance because . The central limit theorem and consistency of therefore give, by the Slutsky theorem,This is the generalized covariance measure statistic.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 iii Paper 225 4 Solution 2026-09-28
Letand define the functional principal component scoresUse empirical centered scores from the sample covariance eigenfunctions and formThe finite-dimensional statistic is
Under , is independent of . The population cross-covariances vanish, andThe multivariate central limit theorem, consistency of the empirical eigenpairs, and Slutsky theorem therefore giveRejecting above the quantile gives an asymptotic level- test.
Under a fixed alternative, is the coordinate of the cross-covariance operator , where is the Hilbert-Schmidt operator with kernel . ThusThe test is consistent whenever this retained block contains a nonzero cross-covariance; fixed truncation can miss alternatives outside the selected principal-component subspaces.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 ii Paper 1 29K b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
For observations , the log-likelihood is, up to an additive constant,Its unique maximum isNow and, using , . The central limit theorem followed by the delta method for gives
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 ii Paper 3 26G Solution Created 2026-09-23 Updated 2026-09-25
Convergence in distribution makes tight. Hence for every there is such that for all sufficiently large . Since ,Letting gives . Also, the continuous-mapping theorem gives . Sincethe Slutsky theorem yields
Now write the requested statistic asThe central limit theorem givesSince , the strong law of large numbers givesalmost surely, and therefore its reciprocal converges in probability to one. Applying the product result provesThis is a self-normalized central limit theorem with a second-moment denominator.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 ii Paper 3 28K c Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
The central limit theorem givesApplying the delta method to yieldsFor this denotes the degenerate distribution at zero, which is the correct limit at the scale.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 iii Paper 201 3 b Solution Created 2026-09-28 Updated 2026-10-03
The Poisson central limit theorem, or the ordinary central limit theorem applied to the , gives for a standard normal random variable . The negative-part map is continuous, so the continuous mapping theorem gives
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 ia Paper 2 11F ii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
The preceding representation and the central limit theorem giveSinceone may takeFor this gives the required convergence to at every real .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 207 2 a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Let , where independently, and putThe Wald statistic is . The central limit theorem and Slutsky theorem give under . When ,
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 221 4 iii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Condition on the independent external sample, and abbreviate and . Expanding the plug-in estimator around the true nuisance functions giveswhere because the two nuisance mean squared errors vanish, the evaluation sample is independent of the nuisance fits, is bounded, and has bounded support. The linear term is the empirical average of the influence function, so the central limit theorem givesThe remaining bias obeys the Cauchy-Schwarz inequalityThus the claimed conclusion follows under the standard product-rate conditionequivalently . Slutsky theorem then yields
As printed, the paper instead assumes only , which is insufficient with its stated definition of MSE. For example, deterministic nuisance errors of size have both MSEs equal to and satisfy the printed condition, while the scaled product bias is . The result therefore requires the stronger condition above, or “MSE” in the printed rate must be read as root mean squared error.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 223 1 c Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Let and suppose . A first-order expansion of the estimating equation gives the asymptotic linear representationThe central limit theorem therefore yields
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2025 ia Paper 2 11F d Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Let . If the result is immediate. Otherwise the central limit theorem applies to , while the displayed threshold is at least . Hence
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2025 iii Paper 207 3 b ii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Under ,andThe central limit theorem therefore gives an asymptotic normal distribution with this mean and variance.