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An unwanted ellipse is an experimental warning: a finite-amplitude pendulum can develop additional orbit-axis precession even without Earth's rotation. A symmetrical, firm support and careful launch reduce this effect.^[ref] Distinguish that nonlinear effect from the tiny ellipse already present in the Exact linear Foucault pendulum trajectory. The linear calculation establishes a controlled approximation, not the complete motion of an arbitrary large swing.

Support anisotropy creates a second competing mechanism. As an illustrative modification, let the two horizontal restoring angular frequencies be ${\omega }_x$ and ${\omega }_y$. Even with $\alpha =0$, a diagonal release from rest givesWhen ${\omega }_x\ne {\omega }_y$, the relative phase changes on the scale $1/|{\omega }_x-{\omega }_y|$: the trace changes shape without any terrestrial Coriolis force. It need not be uniform precession of a Foucault pendulum. To cleanly resolve the terrestrial effect over times of order $1/|\alpha |$, a useful design target is $|{\omega }_x-{\omega }_y|\ll |\alpha |$. Near the equator that target becomes particularly demanding. Compare fast periods along perpendicular launch directions to look for this frequency splitting; repeat at several launch orientations to detect preferred suspension axes.

Other controls address distinct alternatives: shelter the apparatus from air currents, track the support against the building, measure both orbit axes, and compare early and late fitted directions as the amplitude decays. A sustaining drive, if used in a different apparatus, must supply mechanical energy without imposing an azimuthal bias; an undriven run provides a useful comparison. A change in swing direction alone cannot exclude these effects. Agreement of the signed rate with independently known geographical latitude and Earth's rotation, together with stable repeat launches and small competing effects, is the inference the experiment is designed to support.

Use local east, north, and up unit vectors, with $x$ eastward, $y$ northward, and positive orientation $\psi$ anticlockwise as viewed from above. Let $\phi$ be signed geographical latitude, positive north, and $\Omega >0$ the magnitude of Earth's angular velocity. In the spherical-Earth approximation,Here $g$ is the local effective gravity in a rotating frame, including the steady terrestrial centrifugal acceleration. For small horizontal displacements compared with $\ell$, the horizontal restoring acceleration from tension is $-{\omega }_0^2(x,y)$. Vertical displacement is second order in the swing amplitude, so vertical velocity can be omitted at this order. The horizontal Coriolis acceleration in local Earth coordinates then gives the coupled linear differential equationsThese equations neglect damping, finite-amplitude corrections, support anisotropy, and spatial changes of the centrifugal force of order ${\Omega }^2$; they retain the leading terrestrial Coriolis force. A related derivation uses south/east axes instead.^[ref]

Introduce the complex number $z=x+iy$. Multiplying the second equation by $i$ and adding givesSet $z=e^{-i\alpha t}u$. Direct differentiation cancels the first derivative of $u$ and yieldsThe ${\alpha }^2$ in $\beta$ comes from solving these reduced equations exactly; it is not a complete prediction of terrestrial corrections of order ${\Omega }^2$. Thus the horizontal trajectory is an ellipse in coordinates rotating at angular velocity $-\alpha$ relative to the building. When $|\alpha |\ll {\omega }_0$, each rapid swing samples an almost fixed long axis; its slow precession isThe sidereal day $T_{\mathrm{sid}}=2\pi /\Omega$ is a rotation relative to distant directions. $T_{\mathrm{p}}$ denotes a full $2\pi$ turn of a continuously followed orientation; an unlabelled swing line repeats after $T_{\mathrm{p}}/2$. At the equator there is no finite precession period in this model. The Coriolis parameter is $f=2\alpha$, so the plane's rate is $-f/2$, not $-f$.

The limiting cases check the sign and scale. At the north pole $\alpha =\Omega$: the swing direction turns clockwise once per sidereal day. At the equator $\alpha =0$: both horizontal equations reduce to independent simple harmonic motions and a line launch stays on its original line. At the south pole $\alpha =-\Omega$: the direction turns anticlockwise once per sidereal day. Vanishing horizontal precession at the equator does not mean that every component of Coriolis acceleration vanishes there.

For a stipulated $\Omega =7.292115\times 10^{-5}{\mathrm{s}}^{-1}$, the sidereal day is approximately $23.9345\mathrm{h}$. At $45^{\circ }$ north the predicted rate is $-10.6356^{\circ }/\mathrm{h}$ and $T_{\mathrm{p}}\simeq 33.8485\mathrm{h}$; at $45^{\circ }$ south the rate changes sign. At the illustrative geographical latitude $34^{\circ }$ south, the prediction is $+8.4109^{\circ }/\mathrm{h}$. These calculations are model predictions, not new observations of the UNSW apparatus.

A swing plane fixed among the stars is generally only a polar picture. A north–south swing at the equator turns with Earth in an inertial frame, while having no precession against the building.^[ref]