Write . Since and the geometric random variable have the same expected value ,
This is also the entropy deficit relative to the maximum entropy distribution on the nonnegative integers.
The random variables and are independent, so part a gives . Consequently
which is the required bound in terms of the Entropic Ruzsa distance.
Superpose the two independent Poisson processes. The combined process has rate , and each arrival is independently a Number 1 bus with probability and a Number 8 bus with probability . Therefore the number of Number 8 buses before the first Number 1 has the geometric distribution on , and
This is number of one Poisson type before another with rates and .
Using the mean of a geometric distribution and the decomposition in part (ii),
First suppose . Run the RP algorithm for and the RP algorithm for its complement with fresh random bits. If the first accepts, output one; if the second accepts, output zero; otherwise repeat. Neither output can be wrong, and on every input the appropriate algorithm accepts in each round with probability at least . The number of rounds is dominated by a geometric distribution of mean two, so this is an always-correct algorithm with polynomial expected running time.
Conversely, let be always correct when it halts and have expected running time at most . Run it for steps. Markov inequality gives
Accept exactly when halts and outputs one; this is an RP algorithm for . Accepting exactly when it halts and outputs zero is an RP algorithm for the complement. Therefore
is equivalent to zero-error expected polynomial time.
Each completed visit to radius begins a new radial excursion. By part (a), the conditional probability that the following excursion reaches radius before radius is
The Strong Markov property at the successive stopping times makes these trials independent with the same success probability. Consequently has a geometric distribution on with parameter :
As , and
Slutsky theorem now gives
For , let be the geometric distribution
If is the law of , Gibbs inequality gives
Therefore
For , the nonnegative random variable is zero almost surely and both sides vanish. This proves that the maximum entropy distribution on the nonnegative integers with fixed expected value is geometric.
Let have the positive-integer geometric distribution with success parameter , and conditionally toss independent coins with head probability . Exactly one head has conditional probability . Combining this with the prior by Bayes theorem gives the displayed posterior with ; its normalization uses . For , the posterior is . It is also a shifted negative binomial distribution, with equal in law to the number of failures before two successes of probability .
Return period 2026-10-06
For independent repeated time blocks, an event with exceedance probability has mean waiting time blocks by the geometric distribution. The return period is a long-run average waiting time, not a deterministic recurrence interval. For annual exceedance events, it is measured in years.
When the random intensity is with having an exponential distribution of rate , the mixed count is the sum of independent Poisson distribution and support-zero geometric distribution counts. The Poisson parameter is and the geometric success probability is . At the law is geometric.