Conditional concentration at a large-deviation threshold Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-14
For independent identically distributed real variables with everywhere finite cumulant-generating function, let be the mean. If and , then for each . The Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function is finite at , and a positive exponential parameter gives strictly greater cost at . A Chernoff bound for the farther tail divided by the Cramér theorem lower estimate at decays exponentially. The support condition both ensures positive conditioning probabilities and avoids a vacuous conditioning event.
Exponential martingale of a biased simple random walk Created 2026-09-28 Updated 2026-10-14
For a walk with increments with probability and with probability , put
Then is a martingale. Optional stopping at the first linear-boundary crossing and optimization over gives exponential maximal-deviation bounds governed by the Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function.
Exponential sample-mean upper-tail rate Created 2026-10-07 Updated 2026-10-14
For independent unit-rate exponential random variables, the cumulant-generating function is for . Its Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function is for and infinite otherwise. The Cramér theorem gives the upper-tail logarithmic rate for , and zero for . At the mean threshold the infima on both the open and closed upper half-lines are zero; below the mean the strong law of large numbers applies.
Let be independent and identically distributed random variables with moment-generating function finite on an open interval about . Put
allowing outside its finite domain. The Cramér theorem states that satisfies a large deviation principle with speed and good rate function , the Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function. Explicitly, for every closed set and open set ,
Here and . The rate function is lower semicontinuous and its finite sublevel sets are compact. The exponential-moment hypothesis is essential for this form of the Cramér theorem.
An effective bandwidth measures how much capacity a random traffic source requires when unusually large demands matter. A mean-rate description loses burstiness; a peak-rate description can waste capacity when peaks are rare. The parameter in an effective bandwidth controls the emphasis placed on such bursts through the moment-generating function:
Here is the traffic in a chosen time unit. If instead measures traffic over length , the corresponding rate is . With independent stationary increments, this is independent of whenever the moment-generating function exists. More generally both the time scale and dependence structure matter.
The Chernoff bound follows directly from the Markov inequality, since is nonnegative and implies :
Optimize over the admissible positive values of to obtain
For independent sources , moment-generating functions multiply and their effective bandwidths add. Thus a total capacity has the one-time overflow bound . In particular, for independent and identically distributed random variables,
This is the positive-parameter part of the Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function. The size of its exponent describes how a service margin reduces the chance of a large aggregate demand. A buffer-overflow event involves traffic over many intervals; a one-time Chernoff bound alone is not automatically a bound on that event. A time-dependent model and, for example, bounds on the union of relevant interval events are then needed.
Assume a finite moment-generating function in a neighborhood of zero. Differentiating the cumulant-generating function gives , and . Therefore the small-parameter limit is the mean traffic rate:
The variance term shows how an effective bandwidth charges extra capacity for burstiness. Also is a convex function with , so is nondecreasing for in its domain.
For the other limit, let , the essential supremum. If , almost surely gives . For every , , and
Taking a lower limit and then proves the large-parameter limit is peak traffic:
If has no finite upper bound and all positive exponential moments exist, the same lower bound for arbitrarily large makes the limit infinite. If positive exponential moments cease to exist at a finite parameter, the effective bandwidth is infinite beyond that domain, and the infinite limit is understood in this extended sense. For example, a normal distribution with mean and variance has : its unbounded upper tail has no finite peak. Thus effective bandwidth interpolates between mean and peak demand while permitting independent sources to be aggregated by addition.
Since is uniform on ,
For , the supremum in the Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function is attained where
Substitution gives the Rademacher large-deviation rate function
for , with ; it is for .
Let
On , one has , , and convexity of gives . Hence for ,
The optional stopping theorem applies because is bounded, so . Therefore
Optimize over for the upper deviation and apply the same argument with to the lower deviation. Since the supremum of the linearly interpolated centered walk is attained at grid points, the Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function
and the union bound give
Put and . Apply the assumed Poisson log-Sobolev inequality to . Since and for ,
After division by , the entropy bound becomes
Because and , integration from to gives
The Chernoff bound and optimization over therefore yield
where is the Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function, also called the Chernoff-Cramér transform.
For an integrable real random variable , its cumulant-generating function is the extended-real convex function
where if the exponential moment diverges. Its Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function is