Conditional concentration at a large-deviation threshold Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-11-05
For independent identically distributed real variables with everywhere finite cumulant-generating function, let be the mean. If and , then for each . The Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function is finite at , and a positive exponential parameter gives strictly greater cost at . A Chernoff bound for the farther tail divided by the Cramér theorem lower estimate at decays exponentially. The support condition both ensures positive conditioning probabilities and avoids a vacuous conditioning event.
Cramér's theorem Created 2026-10-14 Updated 2026-11-05
For independent and identically distributed random variables with a moment-generating function finite on an open interval containing zero, the empirical mean satisfies a large deviation principle with Rate function given by the Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function. The exponential-moment hypothesis is part of this theorem; mere integrability does not guarantee this full large-deviation principle.
Exponential martingale of a biased simple random walk Created 2026-09-28 Updated 2026-11-05
For a walk with increments with probability and with probability , putThen is a martingale. Optional stopping at the first linear-boundary crossing and optimization over gives exponential maximal-deviation bounds governed by the Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function.
Exponential sample-mean upper-tail rate Created 2026-10-07 Updated 2026-11-05
For independent unit-rate exponential random variables, the cumulant-generating function is for . Its Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function is for and infinite otherwise. The Cramér theorem gives the upper-tail logarithmic rate for , and zero for . At the mean threshold the infima on both the open and closed upper half-lines are zero; below the mean the strong law of large numbers applies.
Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-11-05
The Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function iswhere parameters with contribute nothing to the supremum. More generally this is the Legendre-Fenchel transform. It is convex because it is a supremum of affine functions of , and is nonnegative because allows the choice .
If is differentiable and the supremum is attained at an interior parameter, its maximizer solves . For a Normal distribution with mean and variance , , so and . The zero cost occurs at the mean and the cost grows quadratically away from it.
For iid sample means, Cramér's theorem identifies this transform as the large-deviation Rate function when the Moment-generating function is finite on a neighbourhood of zero. The optimization also appears directly in a Chernoff bound: optimize the exponential Markov inequality over nonnegative parameters to bound an upper-tail probability. The transform converts exponential growth of a generating function into exponential decay of a rare-event probability.
Write for the cumulant-generating function, and let . This set is nonempty. In fact, finiteness of the moment-generating function at some and givesso is an integrable random variable. Put .
For the upper tail, use the following one-sided convex conjugate and its strict generalized inverse of a nondecreasing function:Here , and is nondecreasing because every slope in its defining supremum is nonnegative. For , negative cannot increase the conjugate: gives , and already gives zero. Thus agrees with the full Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function on its upper-tail branch. Using a strict generalized inverse of a nondecreasing function handles constant random variables and bounded supports without assuming a strictly increasing, everywhere finite conjugate. Directly from the definition,This threshold is finite: any fixed gives a finite upper bound, while gives and hence , providing the lower bound .
We now derive the needed Chernoff bound. For and any real , the pointwise inequality impliesLet . For every , the infimum formula supplies an such that . Thus . As , these events increase to ; continuity from below of a measure provesThe strict event and the strict generalized inverse of a nondecreasing function avoid any assumption that the optimizing exists. For example, if almost surely, the threshold is for every , and the probability is zero.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 33 2 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
Let be independent and identically distributed random variables with moment-generating function finite on an open interval about . Putallowing outside its finite domain. The Cramér theorem states that satisfies a large deviation principle with speed and good rate function , the Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function. Explicitly, for every closed set and open set ,Here and . The rate function is lower semicontinuous and its finite sublevel sets are compact. The exponential-moment hypothesis is essential for this form of the Cramér theorem.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 iii Paper 213 1 ii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
An effective bandwidth measures how much capacity a random traffic source requires when unusually large demands matter. A mean-rate description loses burstiness; a peak-rate description can waste capacity when peaks are rare. The parameter in an effective bandwidth controls the emphasis placed on such bursts through the moment-generating function:Here is the traffic in a chosen time unit. If instead measures traffic over length , the corresponding rate is . With independent stationary increments, this is independent of whenever the moment-generating function exists. More generally both the time scale and dependence structure matter.
The Chernoff bound follows directly from the Markov inequality, since is nonnegative and implies :Optimize over the admissible positive values of to obtainFor independent sources , moment-generating functions multiply and their effective bandwidths add. Thus a total capacity has the one-time overflow bound . In particular, for independent and identically distributed random variables,This is the positive-parameter part of the Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function. The size of its exponent describes how a service margin reduces the chance of a large aggregate demand. A buffer-overflow event involves traffic over many intervals; a one-time Chernoff bound alone is not automatically a bound on that event. A time-dependent model and, for example, bounds on the union of relevant interval events are then needed.
Assume a finite moment-generating function in a neighborhood of zero. Differentiating the cumulant-generating function gives , and . Therefore the small-parameter limit is the mean traffic rate:The variance term shows how an effective bandwidth charges extra capacity for burstiness. Also is a convex function with , so is nondecreasing for in its domain.
For the other limit, let , the essential supremum. If , almost surely gives . For every , , andTaking a lower limit and then proves the large-parameter limit is peak traffic:If has no finite upper bound and all positive exponential moments exist, the same lower bound for arbitrarily large makes the limit infinite. If positive exponential moments cease to exist at a finite parameter, the effective bandwidth is infinite beyond that domain, and the infinite limit is understood in this extended sense. For example, a normal distribution with mean and variance has : its unbounded upper tail has no finite peak. Thus effective bandwidth interpolates between mean and peak demand while permitting independent sources to be aggregated by addition.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 iii Paper 201 3 a Solution 2026-10-03
Since is uniform on ,For , the supremum in the Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function is attained whereSubstitution gives the Rademacher large-deviation rate functionfor , with ; it is for .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2021 iii Paper 201 3 d Solution 2026-09-28
LetOn , one has , , and convexity of gives . Hence for ,The optional stopping theorem applies because is bounded, so . Therefore
Optimize over for the upper deviation and apply the same argument with to the lower deviation. Since the supremum of the linearly interpolated centered walk is attained at grid points, the Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating functionand the union bound give
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 208 3 d Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Put and . Apply the assumed Poisson log-Sobolev inequality to . Since and for ,After division by , the entropy bound becomesBecause and , integration from to givesThe Chernoff bound and optimization over therefore yieldwhere is the Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function, also called the Chernoff-Cramér transform.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 201 2 a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
For an integrable real random variable , its cumulant-generating function is the extended-real convex functionwhere if the exponential moment diverges. Its Legendre transform of a cumulant-generating function is