Here has the binomial distribution , so, up to a factor independent of , the likelihood function is
For , differentiating the log-likelihood gives
and the boundary cases give the same formula. Thus the binomial proportion maximum-likelihood estimator is
The noise has the product Laplace distribution density
which is normalized because . By translation invariance of Lebesgue measure, the conditional law of has density
Hence an associated likelihood function is
The map is measurable because is measurable and vector subtraction is continuous. Composition with the continuous norm and exponential functions proves that is jointly measurable.
Let
Thus patients recover during month , while survive that month without recovery. The likelihood function is
The independent prior densities are proportional to . Beta-binomial conjugacy therefore leaves the coordinates posteriorly independent, with
Let
Ignoring the immaterial choice of density values at the sample points, the likelihood function is
Between consecutive order statistics, is constant while decreases with . A maximum can therefore be moved to the left endpoint of one of these intervals. With an equivalent version using , the maximum is attained at a sample order statistic. Thus the maximum-likelihood estimator coincides with one of .
Write the Cepheid measurement as , where , and define the calibrated absolute magnitude data
Thus has a multivariate normal distribution with mean and covariance matrix
The Hubble law and the definition of distance modulus give
Consequently, with
the Hubble-flow observations are independent random variables satisfying . Apart from a factor independent of the parameters, the joint likelihood function is
The expression extends by continuity to a singular limiting covariance such as .
The likelihood function and prior distribution give the posterior density
Completing the square in the quadratic form gives
Thus Gaussian conjugacy for a normal linear model yields
Let be the first team's goal count in match , let be row of the design matrix, and let be the regression coefficient vector. The fitted Poisson regression assumes that the are independent random variables with
The likelihood function maximized by glm is therefore
All three sets of statistics are independent. With , , and , their likelihood function, up to a parameter-independent factor, is
Approximate changing covariates by constant values on observation intervals. The generator matrix is then constant on each interval, with transition matrix . Multiplying the relevant entries gives a conditional likelihood function for discretely observed states.
For an Inhomogeneous Poisson process whose known positive intensity changes from to at an unknown time , the ordered arrival-time likelihood function is
Under a uniform prior, each interval between successive arrivals has an exponential posterior density with rate in the exponent . Its integrated weights allow exact interval selection followed by a truncated exponential draw; when the two rates coincide, the Bayesian posterior is uniform and the data contain no change-time information.
A pseudo-marginal Metropolis–Hastings algorithm replaces an intractable likelihood function by a nonnegative unbiased likelihood estimator and includes its auxiliary randomness in the state. If for , the extended target is proportional to . An independence proposal for new auxiliary randomness cancels the factors in the Metropolis–Hastings acceptance probability. On rejection the old estimate must be retained. Integrating the extended target gives the desired marginal posterior distribution exactly.
Random-slope linear mixed model Created 2026-10-05 Updated 2026-10-07
The Gaussian model with and independent has marginal law . Its group coefficients are integrated out of the marginal likelihood function. The special random-slope model uses predictor values in the grouping columns of .
For , independent innovations and stationary initial variance , the full likelihood function is
Conditioning on gives a different likelihood.
An unbiased likelihood estimator has expectation equal to the likelihood function at each parameter. A pseudo-marginal algorithm requires this estimator to be nonnegative. Importance sampling provides for independent random variables , provided the proposal covers the target support. Relative variance affects the mixing time even though unbiasedness guarantees the correct marginal target.
Zeros trick 2026-10-06
A zeros trick implements a positive likelihood function by adding an observed zero with Poisson distribution mean . If this mean is nonnegative throughout the parameter support, its likelihood is and yields the intended Bayesian posterior. The constant must be independent of the parameter; arbitrary clipping changes the target.