The transition matrix acts on a column probability vector in the order Central, Headington, Botley. Thus column records the destinations of buses starting at station . The Central-to-Headington, Headington-to-Botley and Botley-to-Central entries giveEach column sums to one, as required for this column convention for a stochastic matrix.
For a square matrix , an eigenvalue–eigenvector pair consists of a scalar and a nonzero vector satisfyingThe linear map represented by therefore scales by . The exclusion of the zero vector matters: otherwise every scalar would satisfy the equation trivially.
Use matrix multiplication to evolve the probability vector by . With ,Hence, in Central, Headington, Botley order,Both probability vectors have nonnegative entries summing to one.
Define the characteristic polynomial using , where is the identity matrix. Expanding the determinant along the first row givesThus the characteristic equation isThe convention changes the sign of this cubic polynomial but gives the same roots.
The factorization of the characteristic polynomial shows that is an eigenvalue. To find its normalized eigenvector, solve together with . The first two independent linear equations areThe first equation and normalization give . The second gives , while . Consequently,All entries are positive and sum to one. This probability vector is the stationary distribution.
The remaining eigenvalues areThey have absolute value less than one. The three distinct eigenvalues give a basis of eigenvectors, which may be chosen as , and , with and . Write an arbitrary initial probability vector as . Summing its entries shows , because the entries of sum to one and those of sum to zero. ThereforeThis proves convergence for every initial probability vector, rather than merely identifying a possible limit. In particular,For the given initial probability vector, and ; substituting also recovers the previous answers. The slowest decaying eigenvector component has factor .
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