Past exam of the physics of atmospheres and oceans course of the University of Oxford / 2021 / 3 / e

A rising parcel cools, lowering the saturation pressure. Once its water vapor supply exceeds that value, atmospheric supersaturation develops. Homogeneous nucleation of pure water is strongly inhibited at the small atmospheric supersaturations typical of clouds; existing aerosol particles provide cloud condensation nuclei. Their dry sizes and composition, together with the parcel's ascent rate, determine how many cloud droplets activate.

Köhler theory combines the Kelvin equation, which raises equilibrium vapor pressure over a curved surface, with Raoult's law, which lowers it for a chemical solution. In a dilute diameter convention, with dry diameter $D_d$ and wet diameter $D$,Here $s=e_v/E(T)-1$ is atmospheric supersaturation, ${\sigma }_w$ is surface tension, and ${\kappa }_h$ measures aerosol hygroscopicity, not the dry-adiabatic process exponent. The maximum of the Köhler curve is the critical supersaturation. Larger or more hygroscopic particles generally have lower thresholds. Cloud-droplet activation requires overcoming that maximum; total aerosol number is not the activated number.

Given an observed aerosol number size distribution $n_j(D_d)=d{N}_j/d\ln D_d$ for composition classes $j$, first assign each class a hygroscopicity and compute its critical supersaturation. If the parcel reaches maximum atmospheric supersaturation $s_{\max }$, the equilibrium-threshold estimate isFor each fitted lognormal distribution, this is its upper-tail integral; it can be evaluated analytically with an error function or numerically from measured bins.

The value $s_{\max }$ must be calculated, not guessed from the aerosol distribution alone. Prescribe parcel upward velocity $w$, initial pressure, temperature and humidity, then integrate expansion cooling, latent heat release, conservation of total water, and diffusional cloud droplet growth. Schematically,where $a_s,b_s>0$, $G$ includes water vapor diffusion and thermal conduction, and $q_l$ is liquid mass fraction. Rising motion produces atmospheric supersaturation; growing particles consume it. Their competition selects the peak and which particles cross their activation barriers. Assume a well-mixed closed parcel, liquid water, soluble spherical particles, specified mixing state, and negligible collision-coalescence and fallout during activation. Slow kinetic growth, weakly soluble particles or entrainment require a more detailed treatment than the threshold integral.