Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2017 iii Paper 206 2 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
For independent random variables , the full logistic regression has linear predictorLayout A is the reference level in a regression factor. The smaller model sets , leaving the same logit link and the price predictor. In either caseThe saturated statistical model allows a separate probability per observation; its maximizing probabilities are , with log-likelihood zero under . Hence the binomial deviance for either fitted model isEquivalently, write the summands as . The fitted probabilities differ between the two models, but the definition of binomial deviance is the same. A residual deviance for individual binary data need not itself have an accurate chi-squared distribution approximation; the nested-model difference used next has a different asymptotic justification.