American option Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
An American option may be exercised at any time up to maturity. Its value is the Snell envelope of its discounted exercise payoff.
Optimal stopping 2026-10-06
Choosing a stopping time to maximize an expected reward. For an adapted integrable reward process over a finite discrete horizon, the Snell envelope computes the conditional optimal reward by comparing immediate exercise with continuation.
Optimal stopping time Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
An optimal stopping time attains the supremum of the expected reward over an admissible class of stopping times. For a finite-horizon Snell envelope, the first time at which its value equals the current reward is optimal.
Backward induction makes the Snell envelope integrable and adapted: . Its definition gives and , so it is a supermartingale dominating the reward.
For a stopping time taking values in , expand its stopped value as
The indicators are -measurable. Taking conditional expectations in each summand makes its expectation nonpositive by the supermartingale property. Since is trivial, is deterministic and
This proves the finite-horizon optional sampling theorem directly in the instance needed here, without assuming nonnegative rewards.
The first-contact time is a stopping time: the event is the finite union of events for . It is finite because . On we have , so the maximum defining the Snell envelope selects continuation and
The stopped process is therefore a martingale: before stopping its conditional increment is zero and after stopping its increment vanishes. Applying the stopped-sum argument with zero conditional increments gives
The upper bound from part (a) now proves that first contact is an optimal stopping time.
Let be the optimal expected value before seeing the next offer when rounds remain. With one round left the offer must be accepted, so . For , observing gives a choice between now and the continuation value . Independence of future uniform distributions makes that continuation value independent of past offers. Thus the uniform-offer stopping recursion is
It gives and . The Snell envelope rule therefore yields the explicit strategy
Only rounds actually reached are played. At a threshold the two actions have identical continuation expected value; either convention is optimal, and exact equality has probability zero. The optimal expected payout before the first offer is
Backward induction makes every adapted and integrable: the conditional expectation of an integrable random variable is integrable, and . The Snell envelope recursion directly gives , so is a supermartingale.
If is a submartingale, iterating its defining inequality gives . Starting at and applying the tower property of conditional expectation backwards shows
This last conditional expectation is a true martingale. The conclusions are
In the second case waiting until attains the optimal stopping value. It is not generally true that : that further equality holds when itself is a martingale.
For the American put option, compare exercise with continuation at time one. At , both values are zero. At , immediate exercise pays , whereas the continuation value is the European value , so exercise is optimal. At time zero, immediate exercise pays zero and continuation is
The optimal policy is therefore to continue at time zero, exercise at time one if , and otherwise continue to maturity. This nodewise maximum is the Snell envelope value.
With independent uniform distributions on as sequential offers and a finite number of rounds, the continuation value with offers remaining is . Accept the current offer when it reaches that threshold. Integrating the maximum of the offer and continuation value gives the recursion, by the Snell envelope principle.