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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 32 7 Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-06
For mutually exclusive event types, let be the first event time and its type. The cause-specific hazard for cause isIt is a rate conditional on having had no event of any cause. The cumulative incidence function, also called the cumulative risk function, is the actual probability .
The total hazard function is , giving . Surviving every cause to time and then experiencing cause givesIn competing risks, is generally not , because competing events remove individuals before they can experience cause . This formula does not require assuming independent latent failure times for the different causes.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 32 6 Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-06
For an event at from subject , with covariate vector , define the Schoenfeld functionThe second term is the hazard-weighted mean covariate in the risk set just before the event. The Schoenfeld residual is this function evaluated at the fitted coefficient, . Calculate one residual vector per event, using every at-risk subject, including those who will subsequently be censored. There is no ordinary event residual assigned at a right censoring time.
The Cox partial likelihood score function is . At the true constant coefficient in a Cox proportional-hazards model, the conditional event subject is selected with weights proportional to , so each Schoenfeld function has conditional mean zero. If the coefficient varies with time, that centering changes. Plot residuals against event time or a transformation of it, smooth them, and investigate departures from zero. Scaled Schoenfeld residuals account for the risk-set covariate variance and can display departures in coefficient units; score function tests based on residual-time association provide a formal check. Risk-set composition affects unscaled residual variance, and the total residual score function can be zero by fitting even when a time trend is present.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 31 4 Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-06
Write the year- count as a sum of its individual counts, with . The specified conditional independence within that year givesDividing by and scaling the conditional variance by therefore givesThis is the Bühlmann–Straub model: larger exposures reduce the process noise in a year's average.
Define the population parameters and total observed exposure byHere is the expected process variance and the variance of hypothetical means. Assume finite second moments. The law of total variance gives , and conditional independence between years gives for : their only shared variation is the latent conditional mean.
To derive the Bühlmann–Straub credibility estimate, minimize mean squared error among affine estimates of . For coefficients and , the optimal intercept is . Centering at and conditioning on shows that the resulting error isThe cross term vanishes because has conditional mean zero; the conditional noise cross terms vanish by the between-year independence assumption.
For fixed , the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality giveswith equality when . Minimize the remaining quadratic . Its minimizing value is the Bühlmann–Straub credibility factorThe experience term is exposure-weighted:Since the future conditional mean count is , multiplying the optimal estimate by the known future exposure givesIt is the best affine linear least-squares projection, not a claim that the exact conditional expectation given all data is always affine. If , the conditional mean is a known constant almost surely and one takes ; if , the observations reveal it without process noise and . The ordinary case has .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 12 3 Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-06
The complex tautological line bundle over Complex projective space isOn the standard chart , the vector is independent of the chosen representative and gives a continuous nonzero frame. The mapis a local trivialization; its inverse takes the th coordinate of the vector in the fibre. Hence is a locally trivial complex line bundle.
Its unit sphere bundle is : a unit vector corresponds to . The projection is the Hopf fibration. Regard as an oriented real rank-two vector bundle using its complex orientation, and put . The Gysin sequence of a sphere bundle gives, for ,as an isomorphism, since the intervening cohomology groups of vanish. It also gives . The CW complex structure has one cell in dimensions and none above , so these groups and products giveThe Euler class of is the negative of the usual hyperplane generator; replacing by gives the same ring presentation. For the formula reads .
Now let generate and let be its pullback from the th factor of . The Künneth theorem gives . If a map were invariant under all factor permutations, write ; naturality under a transposition forces every to have the same integer value . Let be the diagonal. ThenThe second condition is , so this must equal , giving . For this is impossible in , and This is the diagonal-degree obstruction to a symmetric sphere retraction.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 ib Paper 4 13E Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-06
A metric space is complete if every Cauchy sequence in it converges to a point of that space. The stated shrinking-set characterization is the Cantor intersection theorem together with its converse.
First assume completeness, and choose . If , then both points belong to , so . The vanishing diameters imply that is a Cauchy sequence, hence it converges to some . For every fixed , its tail belongs to the closed set , so . Thus . In fact the intersection contains only one point, since any two of its points have distance at most every diameter.
Conversely assume the stated intersection property and let be a Cauchy sequence. PutThese closures are nonempty, closed and nested. Taking a closure does not increase the diameter: approximate two points of the closure by points of the set and use continuity of distance. The Cauchy sequence therefore makes . Choose in the intersection. For , both and belong to , and . Every Cauchy sequence converges in , proving completeness.
Replace the autocovariance in the finite-lag linear prediction equations by the sample autocovariance function. The last regression coefficient at order estimates the lag- partial autocorrelation function.
For and , with alternating between and for intervals of length , the monodromy matrix of a periodic linear system has determinant one and trace . Its reciprocal Floquet multipliers give positive dominant Floquet growth rate for , despite the zero mean of . An exceptional initial state in the stable eigenspace decays.
A parallel frame along a curve consists of a basis of vector fields satisfying for its covariant derivative along a curve. Transporting a basis at the initial point constructs the frame. If the connection preserves the metric, an initially orthonormal basis stays orthonormal. In this frame the Jacobi equation becomes a linear matrix ordinary differential equation.
Along a smooth curve , a horizontal lift of a linear connection on a vector bundle has fibre equation . On each compact time interval the coefficient matrix is bounded, and the Gronwall inequality prevents finite-time blowup. A finite cover by vector bundle trivializations and ODE uniqueness patch local solutions. Exhausting the open interval gives a unique lift on all of . Its endpoint map is linear, and reversal of the path gives its inverse; no completeness of the base manifold is needed.
Jointly time-change the radial and area martingales by the inverse of . The bracket matrix becomes , so the Lévy characterization of multidimensional Brownian motion gives two independent Brownian coordinates. The clock is strictly increasing; if it were finite at infinity, the radial martingale would converge and would force its integral to diverge. Thus and with independent.
Let be continuous local martingales starting at zero, with for and almost surely. The individual Dambis-Dubins-Schwarz theorem time changes produce independent standard Brownian motions with . Independence is between the Brownian motions; each may still depend on its own clock.
Equating the optically thin cooling time to the uniform-sphere free-fall time gives a critical gas density proportional to . With hydrogen mass fraction , particle ratio and gravitating gas fraction , it is . At fixed temperature, gas above this density cools faster than free fall. A smaller gravitating gas fraction moves the boundary upward because gravity is faster at a fixed gas density.
The one-triangle adjunction idempotent splits if and only if has a left adjoint. From a splitting , define the new unit and counit ; the absorption identities imply both triangle identities for an adjunction. Conversely, for with unit and counit , the splitting maps are and . Their composites are and .
For a planar nematic director and constant amplitude , the nematic order parameter isDifferentiation gives . The coefficient matrix is orthogonal, proving the identity. Hence is the angle-gradient energy with effective modulus . The full tensor-gradient norm instead obeys in this normalization; the two local densities must not be confused.
Pinned article: Introduction to the OurBigBook Project
Welcome to the OurBigBook Project! Our goal is to create the perfect publishing platform for STEM subjects, and get university-level students to write the best free STEM tutorials ever.
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Intro to OurBigBook
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- a Wikipedia where each user can have their own version of each article
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This feature makes it possible for readers to find better explanations of any topic created by other writers. And it allows writers to create an explanation in a place that readers might actually find it.Figure 1. Screenshot of the "Derivative" topic page. View it live at: ourbigbook.com/go/topic/derivativeVideo 2. OurBigBook Web topics demo. Source. - local editing: you can store all your personal knowledge base content locally in a plaintext markup format that can be edited locally and published either:This way you can be sure that even if OurBigBook.com were to go down one day (which we have no plans to do as it is quite cheap to host!), your content will still be perfectly readable as a static site.
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Figure 2. You can publish local OurBigBook lightweight markup files to either OurBigBook.com or as a static website.Figure 3. Visual Studio Code extension installation.Figure 5. . You can also edit articles on the Web editor without installing anything locally. Video 3. Edit locally and publish demo. Source. This shows editing OurBigBook Markup and publishing it using the Visual Studio Code extension. - Infinitely deep tables of contents:
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