An increasing real sequence converges exactly when it is bounded above. For a bounded sequence, its limit is the supremum of its set of terms.
The Cesàro mean of the first terms of a sequence is their arithmetic mean. It is a cumulative average: increasing includes the whole initial segment, rather than a fixed-length sliding window. For , the even-length averages are zero and the odd-length averages are , so they tend to zero even though the sequence does not converge.
For a periodic sequence with period and one-cycle arithmetic mean , split an initial segment into full cycles and a remainder of fewer than terms. The full cycles contribute exactly per term; the remainder contributes a fixed bounded error divided by . Thus the Cesàro means tend to . The cycle in the bounded partial sums need not be Cesàro summable illustration has arithmetic mean one. Treating it as a sequence of partial sums gives a series with first-order Cesàro sum one; averaging a sequence and summing its terms remain different operations.
Independent rare-event counterexample to almost-sure convergence by
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Independent indicators with success probabilities converge to zero in probability, but successes occur infinitely often almost surely by the second Borel--Cantelli lemma.
Almost-sure subsequence from convergence in probability by
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Bounded-metric characterization of convergence in probability by
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Convergence in probability is equivalent toThe forward implication splits at a fixed error threshold; the reverse implication is Markov's inequality.
If converges in probability to both and , then almost surely. Indeed, the triangle inequality and a union bound show that for every .
Let be real independent and identically distributed random variables with and expected value . The weak law of large numbers states that their sample mean has convergence in probability to : for every fixed ,Thus a large sample is unlikely to give an average with a specified fixed-size error. The strong law of large numbers makes the stronger statement of almost sure convergence along an entire sequence. Under the displayed assumptions both laws apply; their names distinguish the conclusions, not two competing predictions.
When the variance is finite, variance additivity for independent random variables gives . The Chebyshev inequality immediately supplies a useful quantitative form and a brief proof:For independent trials with a Bernoulli distribution of parameter , the expected value is and the variance is . At , the chance of an error of at least is therefore at most . The exact binomial distribution gives a much smaller probability, as the figure under the strong law of large numbers shows. The bound is conservative, but it is valid for every sample size under these assumptions and does not require a normal approximation.
The weak law of large numbers addresses a fixed tolerance . The central limit theorem instead resolves errors on the shrinking scale and gives their approximate normal distribution. In particular, the weak law of large numbers alone supplies neither a bell-shaped error law nor a universal rate of approach. For example, a Pareto distribution with minimum one and shape has expected value three but infinite variance: both the weak law of large numbers and strong law of large numbers apply, while the finite-variance statement of the central limit theorem does not.
If and a measurable function is continuous at almost surely, then . The same principle holds for random elements of metric spaces.
The Einstein tensor isThe contracted Bianchi identity and metric compatibility give
, ensuring compatibility of the Einstein equations with covariant stress-energy conservation.
, ensuring compatibility of the Einstein equations with covariant stress-energy conservation.
An adapted process is a local martingale when there are stopping times almost surely such that each stopped process is a martingale. Every martingale is local, while a positive local martingale is a supermartingale.
A birth-death process moves only between neighbouring nonnegative integer states, with state-dependent birth and death rates.
Invariant distribution of a continuous-time Markov chain by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Explosion is determined by whether the successive holding times of the continuous-time Markov chain have a finite sum.
The jump chain records the successive states visited by a continuous-time Markov chain while discarding its holding times.
Recurrence equivalence for a CTMC and its fixed-time skeleton by
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