Expectation-maximization algorithm Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
The expectation-maximization algorithm fits a latent-variable model by alternating a conditional expectation over the latent variables with a maximization over the statistical parameters. Its target is the observed-data likelihood function, although its updates use the simpler complete-data log-likelihood.[ref]
Write for the observations, for the latent variables, and for their joint probability density function or probability mass function. The observed-data log-likelihood is
where the integral becomes a sum for discrete . Directly maximizing a logarithm of this sum can be awkward. The E-step instead computes a conditional distribution at the current statistical parameters ; the M-step uses it to construct a new fit. The attractive idea is to retain uncertainty about the hidden labels while recovering simple weighted means and other complete-data updates. The Known-variance Gaussian mixture EM example shows the mechanism without estimating a variance or mixture weight.
Arthur Pentland Dempster, Nan M. Laird, and Donald B. Rubin gave the general framework its name in their 1977 paper, which also discusses earlier special-case algorithms.[ref]
Writing for the density, the conditional-independence structure of the latent-variable model gives