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The regression residual vector is $e=Y-X\hat{\beta }=(I-H)Y$, where $H=X(X^{T}X{)}^{-1}{X}^T$ is the hat matrix. Both $H$ and $I-H$ are symmetric idempotent matrices, and $(I-H)X=0$. Therefore $e=(I-H)\epsilon$ and the linear image of a multivariate normal vector givesThis multivariate normal distribution is singular, with rank $n-p$: fitted-residual orthogonality forces $X^{T}e=0$. Specifically, $\mathrm{Var}(e_i)={\sigma }^2(1-h_{ii})$ and $\mathrm{Cov}(e_i,e_j)=-{\sigma }^2{h}_{ij}$ for distinct observations. Thus regression residuals are generally neither independent nor identically distributed, even though the model errors are. Also $\mathrm{RSS}/{\sigma }^2\sim {\chi }_{n-p}^2$ and is independent of $\hat{\beta }$, which justifies the standard errors and exact Student t-tests below.

The Gaussian likelihood has log-likelihood, apart from no omitted parameter-dependent terms,For fixed ${\sigma }^2$, maximizing it is ordinary least squares. Differentiating with respect to $\beta$ gives the normal equation $X^{T}X\hat{\beta }=X^{T}Y$. Full column rank makes the quadratic strictly convex, soAt this value, differentiating with respect to $v={\sigma }^2$ gives $-n/(2v)+\mathrm{RSS}/(2v^2)=0$, soFor positive RSS this is the global likelihood maximum in $v>0$. RSS is positive almost surely under the model since $p<n$; an exactly zero observed RSS instead gives a boundary supremum as $v\downarrow 0$.

As a linear image of a multivariate normal vector, the coefficient estimate satisfiesIndeed, $\hat{\beta }-\beta =(X^{T}X{)}^{-1}{X}^T\epsilon$, and direct matrix multiplication gives its covariance matrix.

For a convex function $f$, its subdifferential at $x$ is the set of supporting slopesThe subgradient optimality condition isIndeed, the defining inequality with $g=0$ is exactly the global minimum inequality. For the subdifferential of the L1 norm, the coordinates vary independently:

Let $r=Y-X{\hat{\beta }}_{\lambda }$. The Karush-Kuhn-Tucker conditions for Lasso give a vector $z\in \partial \Vert {\hat{\beta }}_{\lambda }{\Vert }_1$ such that $X^{T}r/n=\lambda z$. If ${\hat{\sigma }}_{\lambda }=\Vert r{\Vert }_2/\sqrt{n}>0$, the unsquared residual norm is differentiable at this fit, with gradientUsing the subdifferential sum rule, choose $\gamma (\lambda )=\lambda /{\hat{\sigma }}_{\lambda }$ to obtainConvexity now proves the tuning relation between Lasso and square-root Lasso:The positive residual assumption is needed both for this gradient and for the quotient defining the tuning parameter.

For the final score calculation, use the usual fixed-design interpretation of the normal linear model: regard $X,Z$ and the tuning parameter $\gamma$ in the regression of $Z$ as fixed, and choose that regression's minimizer using only those inputs. Its nonzero residual $R=R_{\gamma }$ then has the Square-root Lasso optimality conditionExpanding the response residual givesSince $R/\Vert R{\Vert }_2$ is a fixed unit vector and $\epsilon \sim N_n(0,{\sigma }^2{I}_n)$, a linear image of a multivariate normal vector gives $W\sim N(0,{\sigma }^2)$. Finally, Holder inequality and the residual score bound yieldThis is the residual-score decomposition from square-root Lasso. The normality statement also holds conditionally on a design independent of the noise. If $\gamma$ were chosen from the response noise, for example through the preceding $\gamma (\lambda )$ formula, the direction $R$ would require a separate independence argument; the final calculation treats $\gamma$ as fixed.

Condition on the information available before time $n$. The current wealth is then fixed, while ${\xi }_n\sim N(b,\Sigma )$ is independent of that information. PutFor any portfolio $\theta$, use the inner product induced by the positive-definite matrix $\Sigma$ to writeThe linear image of a multivariate normal vector shows that the two portfolio returns are jointly normal, andThus independence of uncorrelated jointly normal variables makes the residual return ${\eta }^T{\xi }_n$ independent of the aligned return; it also has expected value zero.

The continuation value $V(n,\cdot )$ is concave by part (c). Conditional Jensen inequality therefore shows that adding the independent centered residual cannot improve the objective:where $m=(1+r)X_{n-1}$. Since the optimal portfolio is unique, its residual must be zero.

It remains to determine the sign. If $\lambda <0$, the portfolios $\lambda {\Sigma }^{-1}b$ and $-\lambda {\Sigma }^{-1}b$ have the same return variance, namely ${\lambda }^{2}B$, while their means are $\lambda B$ and $-\lambda B$. The latter return has the distribution of the former plus the positive constant $-2\lambda B$. Since $V(n,\cdot )$ is increasing, replacing $\lambda$ by $-\lambda$ cannot reduce the objective, contradicting uniqueness. Hence $\lambda \ge 0$.

Applying this conditional argument at every time gives nonnegative, past-measurable random variables ${\lambda }_n$ such thatThis is the Gaussian one-fund theorem.