Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 215 1 b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
In the diamond coordinates, the horizontal line through has points and the vertical line has points. There is a numerical constant , independent of and of the starting point, such that the walk enters the middle diamond within two steps with probability at least . To see this, suppose , so . With probability at least the first move uses the longer horizontal line, and a fixed positive fraction of its choices have . From , the vertical line has length at least , is chosen with probability bounded below, and a fixed positive fraction of its points satisfy . The case is symmetric.
Now couple two copies. Independently use the preceding construction until both lie in , an event having probability at least in two steps. From and in that diamond, their horizontal line ranges overlap in at least values. A maximal coupling of the next moves can therefore, with probability bounded below, send them to and for the same . Their vertical lines are then identical, and another maximal coupling makes the two states equal with probability bounded below. Thus there are constants and , independent of , for which the two copies coalesce during every block of steps with conditional probability at least .