Past exam of the mathematics course of the year 1 of the natural sciences course of the University of Cambridge 2006 Paper 2 8 b iii Solution Created 2026-10-18 Updated 2026-10-20
Past exam of the mathematics course of the year 1 of the natural sciences course of the University of Cambridge 2006 Paper 2 8 b ii Solution Created 2026-10-18 Updated 2026-10-20
Past exam of the mathematics course of the year 1 of the natural sciences course of the University of Cambridge 2006 Paper 2 8 c ii Solution Created 2026-10-18 Updated 2026-10-20
The density is symmetric about , giving expected value . Its second moment is . ThereforeEquivalently, each equally weighted interval has variance and its centre is from the overall mean, giving by the law of total variance.
Write . The probability density function normalizes when , so . Its survival function is for ; hence, for ,Differentiating this conditional tail givesThe value assigned at the single endpoint does not affect any probability. The memorylessness of the exponential distribution says that , conditional on , is again an exponential distribution of rate . Its first two moments are and , found by integration by parts, so translation leaves the variance unchanged:
The three preceding probabilities satisfyTheir expected value and second moment areSubtracting the squared mean givesThe value also follows from linearity of expectation. The variance includes the finite-population reduction caused by sampling without replacement.
The second moment isSubtracting the squared expected value gives the variance and standard deviation:The variance is nonnegative because . Both and have units of time. At the result reduces to , the standard deviation of a uniform distribution over one full cycle.
The expected value is not defined: the integral of over the positive half-line diverges logarithmically to , and the negative half-line gives . In particular, symmetry alone does not supply a mean. More explicitly,The second moment also diverges because as . ThusThe symmetric Cauchy principal value of the first-moment integral is zero, but it is not an expected value and does not define a variance.
For attractive nearest-neighbour interactions, , the transformed model is a ferromagnetic Ising model. In three dimensions and at , its infinite-volume spontaneous magnetization has two branches. As the effective field crosses zero, the equilibrium mean spin changes discontinuously from a negative value to a positive value. Since , varying the physical chemical potential crosses this same first-order phase transition.
The particle-hole-symmetric coexistence line isThe mean Ising spin is a rescaled occupation density. Writing for the physical number density,The negative-spin phase is a dilute gas and the positive-spin phase is a dense, liquid-like phase. If the spontaneous spin magnitude at coexistence is , their number densities areThus the physical order parameter is a density or occupation imbalance, not an actual magnetic moment of these particles. In a closed system with an intermediate mean density, the same transition appears as phase coexistence between the two densities. At the density contrast vanishes continuously; above , sweeping the chemical potential gives no coexistence jump. A true discontinuity requires the thermodynamic limit; a finite sum over finitely many cells remains analytic.
Let each step have length , and let be the number of right steps among independent steps. Then has a binomial distribution and the physical displacement is . Therefore , and the position probability mass isThis is zero unless is an integer, , and is even. The parity condition matters because the walk alternates between the two sublattices. If distance is measured in lattice spacings, replace by .
Normalization follows from the binomial theorem. Its first two moments provide useful checks:These are exact discrete-time statements; a smooth continuum probability density requires coarse-graining over the lattice and its parity oscillation.
Poisson size-bias identity 2026-10-14
For with Poisson distribution of mean , the equality proves the identity by summation. For an independent random sum of independent claims with this count, exchangeability of the summands gives , where on the right is independent of and has the severity law. These identities hold for nonnegative measurable functions, and for integrable signed functions. They obtain moments without assuming that a positive exponential moment exists.
For positive claims with a finite positive moment-generating function neighbourhood, use and for in the defining adjustment coefficient equation. They imply the displayed strict upper bounds, where is the positive quadratic root. Its defining polynomial is negative at zero and positive at , proving . Higher exponential-series truncations similarly yield upper bounds from more raw moments.
Posterior moment 2026-10-20
A posterior moment is a moment computed under a posterior distribution. Its first raw moment is the posterior mean; its second central moment is the posterior variance.
Power option 2026-10-05
A power option is a European contingent claim whose payoff is a fixed power of the terminal underlying price. In the Black-Scholes model, its value is when the required moments are finite.
Probabilistic use of Hölder's inequality 2026-10-18
On a probability space, the same inequality readsIf the displayed moments are finite, the product is an integrable random variable. The random variables can be dependent: the estimate controls their possible overlap without assuming a factorization of the expected value. This is useful when a calculation needs the product to be integrable but the joint probability distribution is complicated.