For fixed statistical parameters and , Bayes' theorem gives the mixture responsibilityIt is the conditional expectation of the mixture allocation indicator. This posterior probability concerns the hidden label, with held fixed; it does not require a prior distribution over . For a continuous , use the density ratio to define this conditional distribution, rather than dividing probabilities of the zero-probability event .[ref]
Finite Mixtures. Finite Mixtures, section Recovering posterior mixture proportions: Bayes formula for label probabilities conditional on the observation, component parameters, and mixing weights
For the Two-Gaussian mixture example, the component density ratio is , so the posterior probability ratio and the mixture responsibilities areAt the two unweighted component densities are equal, so the mixture responsibilities equal the mixture weights: , . At , the second component density is twice the first and its mixture responsibility is . Equal mixture responsibilities instead occur at : the more frequent second mixture component is favored even slightly to the left of the midpoint.
The mixture weights describe membership before learning ; mixture responsibilities describe membership after learning . The law of total expectation gives under this statistical model, although varies across individual values. In fitting by the expectation-maximization algorithm, evaluate mixture responsibilities at the current statistical parameters and recompute them after an update.
Sample mean sufficiency depends on the model 2026-10-14
For the normal sample sum with known variance, assume independent and identically distributed with fixed known variance . The joint probability density factors asThe Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem proves that the sum, and hence the sample mean, is a sufficient statistic for . Its remaining deviations have a joint Gaussian law independent of and are independent of . If both and are unknown, the sample mean alone loses information about variance; the pair is sufficient for the full statistical parameter.
A discrete counterexample shows why a sample mean is not automatically sufficient for arbitrary statistical models. Let be independent and identically distributed on withEach observation has mean one. The arrangements all give sample mean one, yetThis conditional probability is at and at . The conditional distribution therefore still depends on the unknown statistical parameter: this sample mean is not a sufficient statistic. The useful reduction depends on the family of full-data laws, even when its mean stays fixed.
Sufficient statistic Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
A statistic is sufficient for a statistical model when the conditional distribution of the full data given has a version independent of the unknown statistical parameter . Once is recorded, the remaining uncertainty about the data's arrangement can be generated without knowing . [ref]
Sufficiency (Stat 210a, Fall 2025) by Will Fithian. Sufficiency, Will Fithian, “Sufficiency”: definition
For data and statistic taking values in standard Borel spaces, express this precisely with one Markov kernel , common to every statistical parameter value:for each measurable event . Thus is a regular conditional distribution of given . Equality is only required outside a null set for the distribution of under each ; the choice of version matters on impossible conditioning events. For a continuous probability distribution, the event may have zero probability even at meaningful observations, so the definition uses a regular conditional distribution, rather than division by .
A sufficient statistic is a property of a specified statistical model, rather than of a formula for summarizing data in isolation. It need not be an unbiased estimator or even shorten the record: the full data is always sufficient. An estimator instead targets a quantity such as a mean. An ancillary statistic has a parameter-independent marginal probability distribution, whereas a sufficient statistic has a parameter-independent conditional full-data law. A minimal sufficient statistic permits the greatest reduction among sufficient statistics. A complete statistic satisfies a separate condition about zero expectations; a complete sufficient statistic must satisfy both conditions.
Test channel (information theory) 2026-10-14
A test channel is a proposed conditional distribution of a reconstruction given the source symbol. It describes a candidate joint probability distribution for evaluating mutual information and expected distortion. It need not be a physical transmission channel, or an implementable one-symbol encoder; the Shannon rate-distortion theorem relates this optimization to long block codes.
