Let a simple symmetric random walk start from a deterministic integer , and put . Then is a martingale with . The visit count includes time if .
For every integer and step , the pathwise identityholds with . Subtract the indicator function and sum over time to obtainThe sign function of the current state is a bounded predictable process for the next increment, so the sum is a martingale transform. Alternatively, averaging the two possible next absolute values shows directly that the conditional drift is . Bounds and verify integrability at each finite time.
This is an absolute-value version of the discrete Tanaka formula. The correction records the occasions when the random walk is at the corner of the absolute-value function; away from zero that function is locally linear along a single step.
Once a nonnegative martingale hits zero, it stays zero almost surely. Conditional expectation on gives ; nonnegativity forces the next value to vanish there. A countable intersection makes these assertions simultaneous for all times, proving absorption at the first zero.
Let a nonnegative martingale start at one, let be its first zero, and let be its first hit of . Suppose and on finite hits, for thresholds . Then is a submartingale. The bounded stopped values have mean one, so their second moment is at most . Consequently . For this implies the weaker bound . The threshold restriction prevents an impossible overshoot requirement below the starting value.
For an adapted process with right-continuous paths and a stopping time , is adapted. At fixed , round upward on finite partitions of . Every approximating value is -measurable, and right continuity gives the limit. Completeness handles a null exceptional set if right continuity holds only almost surely. A martingale assumption and boundedness of are unnecessary.
For independent standard Gaussian random variables, the partial sums have characteristic functions , where . A finite almost-sure limit implies convergence of these characteristic functions to one continuous at zero; would instead give zero at every nonzero . Conversely, bounded makes the partial sums an martingale bounded in L2 space, which converges almost surely and in L2 space.
Let independent increments equal or with probabilities each, and zero otherwise. Every partial sum is integrable and is a martingale. The Borel-Cantelli lemma makes only finitely many increments nonzero almost surely, so has a finite almost-sure limit . Yet : the disjoint events that only the th increment is nonzero have probabilities at least for , and contribute at least each. This does not contradict the martingale convergence theorem, whose integrability conclusion requires a uniform first-moment bound.
// Target: markov-process.bigb
Almost sure submartingale convergence theorem Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-07
A submartingale with converges almost surely to a finite integrable random variable. The positive-part bound also bounds negative parts because . The result specializes to an -bounded martingale, and hence to every nonnegative martingale. It does not by itself give convergence in L1; uniform integrability supplies that stronger conclusion.
Azuma's inequality 2026-10-14
If a martingale has increments with almost surely for deterministic , then each one-sided deviation of magnitude from has probability at most . If all vanish, the martingale is constant. The inequality gives concentration from bounded increments without requiring independent increments.
Suppose and . The breadth-first exploration of a binomial random graph has deterministic drift up to steps. Its weighted martingale has variance . For , the Doob L2 maximal inequality makes its maximum smaller than with high probability. Then throughout , giving a graph component of order .
For the upper expectation bound, let . The dominating binomial branching process has branching survival probability by the binomial branching survival correction. Its branching process conditioned on extinction has mean and total-progeny expected value . Therefore . Since and , this yields the matching upper bound. Controlling rare large components is necessary to conclude an expected value asymptotic from a typical-size statement.
For any real separable Hilbert space , any orthonormal basis and independent standard normal random variables , the displayed series converges almost surely for each fixed and in L2 space. Indeed, the Parseval identity for a Hilbertian basis gives , so the partial sums form an L2 space-bounded martingale. The martingale convergence theorem supplies both limits. Every finite linear combination has the normal distribution with variance . Thus its finite-dimensional characteristic function is , independent of the chosen orthonormal basis. This proves equality of the finite-dimensional distributions of the resulting isonormal Gaussian processes; pathwise equality needs a coupling.
Bernoulli polarization martingale Created 2026-10-25 Updated 2026-10-31
Let , , and let be a binary random variable satisfying . Suppose is -measurable and is -measurable. The updateremains in and defines a bounded martingale. For example, take independent uniform random variables independent of the current filtration and set .
The binary identity givesand henceThe L2-bounded martingale convergence theorem gives a terminal random variable with almost sure convergence and convergence in L2. Iteration followed by the bounded convergence theorem yieldsThus takes only and , and preservation of its expected value gives a Bernoulli distribution with parameter . The terminal conditional expectation representation gives the exact mean squared errorThe finite-time paths can stay strictly inside while their limit lies entirely at the endpoints. The positive conditional variance in the interior makes permanent convergence to an interior value impossible.
Bernstein bound for bounded-jump martingales 2026-10-14
For a compensated jump martingale starting at zero, with jumps bounded in absolute value by and predictable quadratic variation at most on the interval, the displayed maximal bound holds. For , the elementary exponential boundmakes the exponential of minus that multiple of its predictable bracket a nonnegative supermartingale. Stop at the first crossing of and use its mean bound. Taking yields the one-sided bound; apply the same argument to and use the union bound for the displayed two-sided version. The elementary estimate follows from the exponential series and for . If , the compensated martingale is constant and the crossing probability is zero; the parameter choice above is needed only for .
Binary Brownian drift filter 2026-10-14
For with an independent equiprobable drift , the likelihood ratio between the two drifts is . Multiplying the normal distribution densities of successive increments proves this ratio for every observation partition; continuity then gives the full observed-path posterior. The Bayes' theorem gives . Thus the observed drift is . The process is an observed-filtration martingale with quadratic variation , so the Lévy characterization of Brownian motion makes it a Brownian motion. The observed state is a scaled diffusion with hyperbolic tangent drift.
Binomial-market probability density 2026-10-14
With independent up moves of physical probability and risk-neutral probability , the Radon-Nikodym derivative on the first periods is the displayed likelihood ratio, where counts up moves. Its conditional one-step multiplier has physical expectation one, so is a positive mean-one martingale. The terminal state-price density is for deterministic bank-account value .
Bounded-bracket criterion for a stochastic exponential Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-14
For a zero-start continuous local martingale with deterministically, its stochastic exponential is a uniformly integrable martingale. For each , . Its terminal value is strictly positive, so it defines an equivalent infinite-horizon change of measure by the Girsanov theorem.
Bounded-coefficient asset deflator 2026-10-14
For asset dynamics , let and . The Itô product rule cancels the drift of each , leaving the displayed stochastic integral. When is bounded and , is bounded and the Novikov condition makes a true martingale on every finite horizon. If is also bounded, each satisfies the Novikov condition as a stochastic exponential with bounded integrand , so it too is a true martingale.
Bounded diffusion coefficient gives square martingales Created 2026-10-14 Updated 2026-10-25
For a zero-starting solution with , the Itô isometry gives , so is a true martingale on every finite horizon. The Itô formula represents the displayed process as , whose expected squared integrand integral is at most . Thus it too is a true square-integrable martingale. No continuity or Lipschitz condition on the coefficient is needed once a solution is given.
Every bounded harmonic function on a graph is constant if the connected locally finite graph is recurrent. Along its random walk on a graph, the harmonic values form a bounded martingale and converge almost surely. Recurrence visits each vertex infinitely often, making every vertex value a subsequential limit of the same convergent sequence. Thus every value agrees.
If is a bounded harmonic function on a domain , continuous on its closure, and the Brownian exit time is almost surely finite from , then . The Itô formula and compact localization make a bounded martingale. bounded convergence theorem at the exit time proves the representation even if the domain is unbounded. Removing boundedness of can invalidate this conclusion through loss of uniform integrability.
Bounded-increment martingale convergence-or-oscillation dichotomy Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-14
A discrete-time martingale with a common deterministic bound on all increments either converges finitely or has and , almost surely. Stopping on first crossing below gives a lower bound on the overshoot. Adding produces a nonnegative martingale, so the martingale convergence theorem forces finite convergence on the event of never crossing. Apply the same argument to .