Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2010 iii Paper 32 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
In a linear regression model, a large number of predictors or nearly dependent columns of the design matrix can make some eigenvalues of small. The ordinary least squares estimate has covariance matrix , so these directions have large variance, even though the estimator is unbiased. Ridge regression reduces this variance by shrinking the estimate towards zero, at the cost of introducing bias. This bias-variance tradeoff can improve the mean squared error when the signal is not too large in the shrunken directions.
For the usual preprocessing with a regression intercept, separate the constant column from the predictors and leave the intercept unpenalized. Subtract the sample mean from the response and from each nonconstant predictor, then divide each centered predictor column by its positive scale, for example its Euclidean norm. Thus all predictor columns have squared norm one; using squared norm instead simply changes the convention for the penalty. Centering is performed on the slope columns, not on the constant column. A full-rank design containing an intercept retains full rank on its centered slope columns. A model without an intercept should retain its specified mean structure unless an intercept is deliberately introduced.
Let be the resulting scaled, centered slope design matrix, let be the centered response, and let denote the coefficients in these standardized coordinates. The ridge regression problem isHere is the number of slopes; it is one less than the original number of columns when a constant column was present. The gradient of this objective is . Its Hessian matrix is a positive-definite matrix, giving the unique closed-form ridge regression estimatorThe regression intercept in the original coordinates is recovered as , and the original slopes are , where is the scale used for column . This is the unpenalized intercept in ridge regression convention. For a fixed full-rank coefficient design written simply as , with response and coefficient , the same formula readsThe risk comparison below first uses the fixed coefficient coordinates in which this quadratic penalty is imposed, and then addresses reversal of the scaling.
Assume at least one penalized coefficient, zero-mean errors with covariance matrix , and . No normal distribution assumption is needed for this mean squared error calculation. Put and . The covariance and bias of a ridge regression estimator follow directly from its linear expression:For the centered slope model, the response errors have covariance matrix , where . Since , the same coefficient covariance matrix formula still holds with .
By the spectral theorem for real symmetric matrices, write , with orthogonal and every , and put . The bias-variance decomposition of mean squared error now givesThe expression at is the ordinary least squares mean squared error. Its right derivative isTherefore, for every fixed coefficient vector, all sufficiently small positive penalties strictly improve mean squared error.
An explicit sufficient choice follows by subtracting the ordinary least squares risk term by term:Since , every summand is negative wheneverWhen , every positive penalty works. This is a pointwise result: the permitted penalty may depend on the true coefficient vector. A fixed positive penalty cannot improve risk for all arbitrarily large signals, because its squared bias grows quadratically with the signal. The same distinction appears in uniform directional risk improvement by ridge regression and unbounded directional risk of fixed ridge shrinkage. In centered coordinates the unpenalized intercept contributes the same to both coefficient risks, so it does not affect the improvement. Reversing a fixed predictor scaling measures coefficient error with a fixed positive-definite matrix instead of the identity matrix. For this weighted loss the squared bias still has derivative zero at , while the variance term has derivativeThe inequality follows because . Thus sufficiently small penalties also improve the original-coordinate mean squared error, though the explicit sufficient bound above was for the unweighted coordinates. Recovering an uncentered intercept adds a fixed nonnegative quadratic form to the slope loss, and its sample-mean error is uncorrelated with the centered slope errors, so the same weighted argument applies. A model with only an unpenalized intercept gives identical estimators. If the noise variance were zero, the strict improvement assertion would fail; positive noise variance is essential.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2013 iii Paper 31 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
With the same squared-error normalization as in Question 2, the ridge estimator solvesThe unpenalized intercept in ridge regression is because the columns of are centered. Differentiating the remaining quadratic objective gives . Since , the left matrix is positive definite even when is rank-deficient. Thus the closed-form ridge regression estimator isThe second equality again uses centering. If the penalty convention is with an unnormalized squared-error term , replace by throughout; the limiting assertion is unchanged.
For the full-column-rank case, take a singular value decomposition with positive singular values . The ordinary least squares estimator, which is the slope maximum-likelihood estimator in this normal linear model, and the ridge regression estimator are respectivelyConsequently principal-component shrinkage by ridge regression multiplies the least-squares coordinate in direction by . Ridge shrinks most strongly in directions with the smallest singular values. These are combinations of predictors that the data distinguish least well.
Near multicollinearity creates small singular values, and the factor in ordinary least squares greatly amplifies noise in those directions. Its coefficient variance there is , while the ridge variance iswhich is smaller. The price is bias: the expectation of the ridge coordinate is times the corresponding true coefficient. This bias-variance tradeoff can substantially reduce estimation and prediction error when the poorly identified directions do not contain an excessively large signal. It is not a guarantee of improvement for every coefficient vector. Adding to every eigenvalue also improves the condition number of the normal matrix and makes numerical inversion more stable.
To handle every rank and every relation between and , put and use its spectral theorem for real symmetric matrices. Choose an orthonormal eigenbasis with eigenvalues , and put . ThenIf , then , so and . Thus these terms are exactly zero for every positive ; there is no divergent component in the null space. Each remaining term converges to . By the definition of the Moore-Penrose pseudoinverse,and thereforeThis proves the vanishing-penalty ridge limit without an invertibility assumption. The limit is the minimum-norm least-squares solution: every other least-squares solution differs by a vector in , orthogonal to the displayed solution, and therefore has at least as large a Euclidean norm.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 iii Paper 33 4 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
Use an unpenalized intercept in ridge regression. For centered predictor columns, the ridge regression optimization isDifferentiating with respect to gives . Put . Differentiation with respect to gives the ridge normal equationConsequently the closed-form ridge regression estimator isBecause , the numerator may also be written . For the inverse exists even with multicollinearity or deficient column rank; at a unique ordinary least squares coefficient vector requires full rank. The quadratic penalty stabilizes nearly singular directions but generally does not set individual coefficients exactly to zero.
For uncentered original predictors, use , apply the displayed estimator to , and recover . Any internal scaling used by
lm.ridge must be undone to report coefficients on the original predictor scale. Multiplying the objective by a constant changes the numerical penalty convention unless is rescaled as well. Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 iii Paper 205 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use the normalizationThis is ridge regression; the penalty is the squared Euclidean norm. The centering removes the need for an intercept. Differentiating gives the normal equationFor every nonzero , . The coefficient matrix is therefore a positive-definite matrix, even if the design matrix has deficient matrix rank. The objective is a strictly convex function, so the unique minimizer is the closed-form ridge regression estimator, with fitted values
For the primal-dual identity for ridge regression, put and observeBoth parenthesized matrices are positive-definite matrices. Multiplying by their inverses givesThus the same fitted vector has the dual expressionNo inverse of or alone was needed. This is also the kernel-ridge hat matrix for the linear kernel.
Here a positive-definite kernel means a symmetric real-valued function whose every finite kernel matrix is positive semidefinite: for all , and ,This is the usual positive-semidefinite kernel convention; strict positivity for distinct points is not required. In particular . Write , and . Positivity of the two-point kernel matrix impliesIf , substitute to obtain . If , the affine expression can be nonnegative for every only if . Both cases give the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality for positive-semidefinite kernels:The zero-diagonal case is essential when the positive-definite kernel is not strictly positive.
To construct a feature map, let be the real vector space of finite formal linear combinations of symbols , one for each . Define a symmetric bilinear form byThe positive-definite kernel property makes this a positive semidefinite bilinear form. It need not yet be an inner product: distinct formal vectors can have zero squared length. The same quadratic-polynomial argument, now applied to , provesTherefore implies for every . The setis the radical of a bilinear form, hence a linear subspace. SetThe quotient vector space has a well-defined inner product: changing representatives by elements of changes no pairing, and a zero-length class is exactly the zero class. It is therefore an inner product space.
Define . By construction,Every positive-definite kernel thus has a feature representation, including degenerate kernels and the zero kernel. This is its canonical feature space of a positive-semidefinite kernel. The construction already gives the requested inner product space.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 205 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
Use the convention that ridge regression minimizes . Its closed-form ridge regression estimator isThe factors and here specify the tuning convention. No intercept is needed for the centred responses and predictors.
For the two-component procedure, fix and put . Differentiating the objective with respect to its dense coefficient givesThus, with ,The inverse exists because , even for a rank-deficient design. The sum of the fitted sparse and dense components is the Lava estimator.
Multiplying by and completing the square gives the exact profile calculationLet . A singular value decomposition of shows that its eigenvalues are in nonzero singular directions and one in the orthogonal complement. Hence is a positive-definite matrix. Take its symmetric principal square root of a positive semidefinite matrix, . Profiling out therefore yields the Lasso reduction for the Lava estimator:No restandardization of is needed: this is the exact transformed objective with its original penalty.
Write , , and . Then . Comparing the transformed Lasso objective at and gives the Basic inequality for the LassoOn , Holder inequality bounds the score by . Using cancels the fitted penalty and yields the slow-rate prediction bound for the Lasso:Finally, if , then , soConsequentlyPositive actually guarantees for every finite design; the factor measures how much prediction norm the profiling transformation can remove.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 218 6 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
Let denote the effective penalty in the Gaussian squared-error objective. With the loss normalization used in the glmnet documentation, alpha zero gives ridge regression:The intercept is fitted separately and unpenalized. The constant column supplied by model.matrix is not an additional penalized slope; glmnet excludes zero-variance predictor columns. Centering and the stated predictor norms make the two slope columns already standardized under the divisor- convention.
Let consist of those two columns, , and . Minimizing over the intercept gives , and the closed-form ridge regression estimator under this normalization isThus the right-hand limit in the plotted log- coordinate is , givingThe left-hand limit is , giving the unpenalized full-model slopesThe plotted curves are these two slopes. If the objective is instead written as unnormalized RSS plus a quadratic penalty, its penalty coefficient is , not .
There is also a software response-scale convention to distinguish from this mathematical parameterization. The Gaussian fitting engine divides a supplied penalty by the response standard deviation while fitting a standardized response, then rescales the coefficients. For pure ridge with these already standardized predictors, this corresponds to effective in the displayed objective. Such a fixed positive rescaling of the horizontal parameter for the observed dataset does not change either asymptote. The fixed-penalty variance formulas below refer to in the displayed mathematical objective.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 ii Paper 1 29J b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-29
Differentiating the ridge regression objective givesFor every nonzero ,so is positive definite and hence invertible. The strictly convex objective therefore has the unique closed-form ridge regression estimator
Ridge regression Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
Ridge regression fits a linear regression model while penalizing the size of its slope regression coefficients. For a fixed design matrix containing the slope predictors, observed responses , and an unpenalized regression intercept , the objective isHere is the all-ones vector, and is the squared Euclidean norm of the slopes alone. The first term is the residual sum of squares; the second implements regularization. No random-error assumption is needed to define this fit. The convention is a summed squared-error loss: writing the objective as gives the same fit when .[ref]
Modern regression 1: Ridge regression. slides 5 and 7: summed squared-error objective and unpenalized intercept
For an exact example, reuse the constructed pairs from linear regression. Their sample means are and , and the centered cross-products are and . ThusThe ordinary least squares line has slope and residual sum of squares . At , ridge regression has slope , regression intercept , and residual sum of squares ; at these become , , and . Every line passes through : the penalty reduces the slope while retaining the response sample mean.
The computational benefit is visible after predictor centering. Write for the design matrix with each column's sample mean subtracted, and . The unpenalized intercept in ridge regression gives , and the closed-form ridge regression estimator solvesFor any nonzero vector and , . This positive-definite matrix is therefore invertible even when lacks full column rank, including repeated columns or . The unique penalized slopes resolve the ambiguity of rank-deficient ordinary least squares; they do not supply evidence about slope directions absent from the data. This makes ridge regression useful for multicollinearity.[ref]
High-Dimensional Regression: Ridge. p. 1, equations (1)–(2): uniqueness for positive penalty regardless of design rank
Predictor centering and scaling serve different purposes. Centering handles the free regression intercept. Scaling determines what counts as a large slope: replacing by changes its coefficient to for the same predictions, changing its contribution to an unweighted penalty. A common convention forms standard scores using each nonconstant predictor's sample standard deviation , then penalizes slopes in those coordinates. Since , this is the weighted penalty in the original units. Constant columns have and must be removed before this scaling. Scaling is a modelling choice; equal penalties in original units and in standardized units define different fits.[ref]
Modern regression 1: Ridge regression. slide 7: center predictors, leave the intercept free and scale predictors to sample variance one
The singular value decomposition explains the shrinkage. If is the compact decomposition using the positive singular values , with columns of , thenThe principal-component shrinkage by ridge regression factors are between and : directions with small singular values are damped most. As , the fitted values approach ; the vanishing-penalty ridge limit recovers the ordinary least squares fitted vector as , even if the slope estimates at zero penalty are nonunique. The covariance and bias of a ridge regression estimator describes the resulting bias-variance tradeoff. A penalty can reduce variance of an estimator while introducing bias of an estimator; the unbounded directional risk of fixed ridge shrinkage rules out a uniform improvement for a fixed positive penalty over all possible signals.[ref]
For a second exact construction, choose a centered orthonormal set of three vectors,and set and . The squared singular values are and . At , the fitted coordinates along are , retaining and of their ordinary least squares values . At they become , retaining and . The unfittable component contributes to every residual sum of squares, giving total values , , and at penalties . These are constructed fits, not measured prediction results.
Exact synthetic ridge shrinkage retains the strong singular direction longer than the weak one
. Details. The penalty is a hyperparameter, so fitting slopes at a fixed value and selecting that value are separate tasks. Use a validation set or K-fold cross-validation to compare candidate penalties by held-out squared-error loss. In each split, compute predictor sample means and scales from that split's training data, apply the same transformation to its validation set, and refit the slopes; using held-out information in preprocessing introduces data leakage. Minimum training residual sum of squares cannot select useful shrinkage: ordinary least squares already attains the smallest possible value.[ref]
Model selection and validation 1: Cross-validation. slides 5–8 and 11–14: tuning for prediction, training error and refitting on each training fold
After model selection, refit on all training data with the selected penalty. A separate test set or nested cross-validation assesses the entire selection procedure; a low selected validation score alone is no performance guarantee.[ref]On Over-fitting in Model Selection and Subsequent Selection Bias in Performance Evaluation by Gavin C. Cawley and others. pp. 2079–2080: selection as part of fitting and nested assessment

