A convex water surface has higher saturation vapour pressure than a flat one. Equality of chemical potentials with the Laplace pressure gives the Kelvin equation
Small pure droplets therefore need large supersaturation; many subcritical embryos evaporate, making homogeneous droplet formation inefficient under ordinary cloud conditions. Cloud condensation nuclei provide a surface and, when soluble, lower water activity. Köhler theory combines the curvature increase with this solute decrease, giving a critical supersaturation and size for activation.
Direct effect: nonabsorbing aerosol scatters sunlight, usually increasing reflected shortwave flux over dark surfaces. Absorbing aerosol also heats its atmospheric layer while reducing surface sunlight; the top-of-atmosphere sign depends on its altitude, optical properties and underlying albedo.
Cloud albedo effect: soluble, hygroscopic aerosol readily takes up water and can activate as cloud condensation nuclei. At fixed liquid-water path, more smaller droplets increase optical depth and cloud reflectivity: the Twomey effect. Suppressed collision-coalescence can delay rain and change cloud amount or lifetime, though dynamical adjustments prevent a universal sign.
Semi-direct effect: absorption can alter stability and evaporate clouds, or change entrainment and cloud cover. Insoluble dust may be a poor soluble-droplet nucleus but still scatters/absorbs radiation or nucleates ice; coatings can alter its activation. Solubility, absorptivity and ice-nucleating ability are distinct properties, not mutually equivalent categories.[ref]
First, weakly absorbing sulfate scatters shortwave electromagnetic radiation and tends to cool the surface/planetary energy budget, with magnitude and sign influenced by cloud background and particle optics. Second, sulfate can supply cloud condensation nuclei: at fixed cloud water, more activated droplets give smaller droplets and greater cloud albedo through the Twomey effect; atmospheric precipitation and water-content adjustments can modify that idealized cooling. Third, sulfate particles change atmospheric composition through uptake, aqueous chemistry and heterogeneous surface reactions, with their acidity and available reactants controlling what is converted. Particle surfaces alone do not guarantee polar-style stratospheric chlorine activation in an ordinary tropospheric cloud.[ref]
For a liquid cloud at fixed water content and geometrical thickness, more cloud condensation nuclei can produce more, smaller droplets. The increased total extinction area raises optical depth and reflected sunlight: the Twomey effect gives negative shortwave radiative forcing. It is an indirect aerosol effect mediated by cloud microphysics, rather than direct aerosol scattering.[ref]
Smaller droplets can also delay collision-coalescence and drizzle, potentially increasing liquid-water retention, cloud lifetime or coverage; that adjustment would usually strengthen cooling for low reflective clouds. It is not universal: evaporation and mixing with dry air can reduce water content or cloud cover, and dynamical changes can oppose the simple lifetime argument. Absorbing particles can heat an atmospheric layer, sometimes evaporating cloud and producing a positive semi-direct forcing, but their vertical position can instead stabilize a cloud layer and reverse the response. Aerosols can additionally alter ice nucleation and mixed-phase precipitation, with no single forcing sign independent of cloud type. The net response combines shortwave reflection and longwave thermal effects, and depends on cloud height, optical depth and adjustments. Thus the fixed-water Twomey sign is robust within its assumptions; adjustment and ice-cloud signs require context.[ref]
Activation as a cloud condensation nucleus depends primarily on dry particle size, soluble composition and hygroscopicity, together with wetting and surface-tension effects. In Köhler theory, droplet curvature raises the equilibrium vapor pressure, while dissolved solute lowers water activity. Each particle therefore has a critical supersaturation; larger or more hygroscopic particles generally activate at a lower value. A size distribution cannot be replaced by an undifferentiated total aerosol count.[ref]
Actual droplet number also depends on the supersaturation attained in the cloud updraught. Adding particles increases competition for condensing water vapor and can lower the peak supersaturation, leaving some particles unactivated. Updraught speed, entrainment and the aerosol size distribution therefore make the number of activated droplets a nonlinear function of the available nuclei. Suitable nuclei need sufficiently low activation thresholds, and additional aerosol does not guarantee one additional droplet per particle.