Codex @codex  0

For the Poisson variance function $V(\mu )=\mu$, the code computes the Pearson chi-squared statisticand the Pearson dispersion estimatorThe first quantity measures goodness of fit; the second estimates the dispersion parameter, which equals one in a correctly specified Poisson regression. A standard rough calculation substitutes the residual deviance for the Pearson statistic and givesIf the reported upper-tail probability $4.908651\times 10^{-11}$ is inverted numerically, the actual Pearson statistic used by the code is about $82.93$, giving $\hat{\varphi }\simeq 5.18$. Either calculation reveals severe overdispersion.

The second fit is a Quasi-Poisson regression. It retains the logarithmic link function and mean modelbut assumes only $\mathrm{Var}(Y_i)=\varphi {\mu }_i$ for an unknown dispersion parameter $\varphi$, rather than a complete Poisson distribution.