With unknown independent covariate and centered error distributions, take the regular mean-preserving error tangent space, let , and . Under , and finite second moments, orthogonal projection removes from . Thus the efficient score and efficient information are and . The reduction to is valid for a normal distribution of errors or for constant , but need not hold otherwise. Centered covariates and logistic distribution errors give the counterexample .
For a real location parameter and positive scale parameter , the logistic distribution has probability density function and cumulative distribution functionDifferentiating recovers , and its limits at infinity show normalization of a probability distribution. The density is symmetric about with exponentially decaying tails, so its expected value exists and equals . Allowing in the displayed expression makes negative and its integral ; a signed scale must instead be replaced by in the prefactor to define the same valid density.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 42 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let the summands be independent and identically distributed random variables with mean , variance , and standardized third cumulant . DefineAn Edgeworth expansion refines the central limit theorem using the higher cumulants of one summand. Some smoothness and moment assumptions are essential: finite variance alone does not supply a density expansion. A convenient sufficient set for the expansions here is a smooth density whose derivatives decay faster than every inverse power, together with for some . These assumptions give all required moments, Fourier smoothing and the nonlattice characteristic-function condition. Less restrictive sufficient conditions are possible, but this set covers the logistic model below.
Write and for the standard normal density and standard normal distribution function. The first-order density Edgeworth expansion isThe remainder is uniform on every fixed compact interval under the stated assumptions. To see the origin of the correction, for the cumulant expansion of its characteristic function givesExponentiating and using Fourier inversion yields the displayed correction, since the inverse transform of is . The Probabilists' Hermite polynomial convention is being used: and .
The corresponding distribution function expansion isuniformly on fixed compact intervals. The sign follows from . These are expansions of both the density and distribution function; a uniform density error alone would not justify integrating an error bound over the entire real line without the accompanying tail control.
For a fixed , write . At leading order the proposed quantile expansion gives , and strict monotonicity gives . Substitute into the distribution function expansion. A Taylor expansion at givesSince , the coefficient of must vanish. Thus the first Cornish-Fisher expansion coefficients are
For the logistic distribution, set . Its density satisfies and has exponentially decreasing tails. Symmetry and integrability give , and the supplied integral givesTherefore , , and the central limit theorem givesWriting and , the condition is equivalent toConsequently the confidence intervalhas limiting coverage . Whether the finite endpoints are included makes no probability difference because the sample mean has a density.
The centered logistic distribution is symmetric, so . Its smooth density and exponentially decreasing derivatives satisfy the conditions stated above; in particular all moments exist and Fourier smoothing is available. The first correction in the Edgeworth expansion vanishes, leaving at each of the two fixed quantiles. Subtracting gives the stronger conclusionThe standardized law is independent of , so this coverage-error conclusion holds with the same bound for every location parameter.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 36 4 c Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
Now . With and the location score , differentiation of the log-likelihood givesTake the usual regularity conditions and so that this score function belongs to L2 space.
For the specified nuisance statistical path, differentiating at zero gives the score function . Normalization requires . There is a second constraint: the statistical path must preserve the model's zero error expected value. ThusThis constraint follows from being a path through the model, rather than from normalization alone. For a centered symmetric logistic distribution, for example, is bounded and has zero expected value, but ; it would not preserve the mean.
For any , independence impliesAll these products are integrable by the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality, since is square-integrable. Thus every such error-density score function is orthogonal to every . Covariate-density nuisance score functions are also orthogonal to these functions, since . This is the mean-preserving error tangent space orthogonality used in the final calculation.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 36 4 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
First use the additional admitted form of the efficient score. Write and let . The difference is the orthogonal projection onto the nuisance tangent space. Part (c) makes every orthogonal to that space. Therefore, for all ,The function in braces belongs to L2 space; choosing it as shows it vanishes -almost everywhere. Hence the required conditional deduction isUnder the regular tail condition at both infinities, integration by parts gives , and the formula becomes . This also confirms the sign.
The admitted product form is an extra restriction; it does not follow for every independent-error regression model. To locate the restriction precisely, suppose the error-density nuisance statistical paths preserve both normalization and mean to first order. Their closed mean-preserving error tangent space is . The full nuisance tangent space is the orthogonal sum of this space and the centered functions of .
For completeness, bounded functions satisfying the two constraints are dense in the error space. Truncate an arbitrary element, subtract its expected value, and then subtract a multiple of a fixed bounded centered function with . Such a exists by truncating , since . The correction coefficients tend to zero by the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality, so the corrected truncations converge in L2 space.
Let . With and , the orthogonal projection of onto the error nuisance space is ; its projection onto the covariate nuisance space is zero. Thus the general efficient score in independent-error regression isThe orthogonality of the two terms gives the displayed efficient information. For a normal distribution of the error, , so this reduces to the admitted formula. It also does so when is constant.
A concrete counterexample to the generality of the admission is , with uniform on and independent standard logistic distribution error. Here and , so the actual efficient score is . It cannot equal because is not constant. This score function is already orthogonal to every nuisance score function: its factor is centered against error-only directions, and its factor is centered against covariate-only directions. The requested formula is valid under its stated additional admission, with the general independent-error formula above explaining its limits.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2020 ii Paper 2 5J c Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-29
Let be independent standard logistic random variables and define the latent variableSet exactly when . If is the logistic cumulative distribution function, its symmetry and the identity givewhich is precisely the fitted logistic regression.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ib Paper 3 18H b ii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
For , the likelihood ratio iswhich is increasing in . Thus the logistic location family has a monotone likelihood ratio in .
The upper-tail rejection probability is increasing in the location parameter, since with having the standard logistic distribution. Hence for the critical value from part (i),The test has size for the composite null.
Now fix any alternative . The Neyman-Pearson lemma applied to the simple hypotheses and says that this same upper-tail test is most powerful among all tests whose rejection probability at is at most . Every test of size at most for the composite null satisfies that restriction. The upper-tail test is therefore most powerful at every , so it is the uniformly most powerful upper-tail test for a logistic location.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ib Paper 3 18H b i Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
The likelihood ratio of the simple alternative to the simple null isThis is a strictly increasing function of . By the Neyman-Pearson lemma, the most powerful test therefore rejects for . The logistic distribution hasThe size condition givesBecause the distribution is continuous, no boundary randomization is needed. The most powerful size- test is therefore
The same integration by substitution gives the expected valueThe remaining integrand is an odd function. Its integral is absolutely convergent, since and is integrable. Thus cancellation under symmetry in integration is legitimate, rather than merely a principal-value calculation. ConsequentlyEquivalently, the logistic distribution is symmetric about , and its exponentially decaying tails ensure that its expected value exists.
Uniformly most powerful upper-tail test for a logistic location Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24