Pareto distribution Created 2026-10-07 Updated 2026-10-18
The Pareto distribution describes a positive random variable whose tail probability falls as a power law. In the shape–minimum convention used here, has shape parameter and minimum , with probability support . Its probability density function isThe minimum has the same units as ; the shape parameter is dimensionless. At fixed , changing gives a scale family, since . This convention is also used in uniform-Pareto conjugacy.[ref]
Pareto Probability Density Function. NIST Dataplot Reference Manual; Description: standard Pareto density and lower bound; source gamma,a correspond to alpha,beta here
The survival function and cumulative distribution function areFor , solving gives the quantile functionIts right-hand limit at is ; it tends to infinity as .[ref]
The Pareto Distribution. Random: Probability, Mathematical Statistics, Stochastic Processes by Kyle Siegrist; The General Pareto Distribution, Distribution Functions: density, CDF and quantiles; source a,b correspond to alpha,beta here
There is no probability mass at : changing a probability density function's value at that single point changes no probabilities.Choose and as an original theoretical example. Then , , the median is , and the 0.99 quantile is . These chosen values and all figures below describe mathematical probability distributions, not actual wealth observations.
On this log-log plot, write to obtain . The slope is , whereas the probability density function has power exponent . Multiplying a threshold by ten divides its tail probability by . A larger therefore concentrates the Pareto distribution nearer ; a smaller makes extreme values more plausible. This exact scaling is useful when modelling large positive losses or sizes over several orders of magnitude.
The Pareto distribution is a heavy-tailed distribution: for every , the exponential moment diverges because eventually grows without bound. In contrast, the Laplace distribution has exponentially decreasing tails and some finite positive exponential moments. The Student's t-distribution also has power tails, but on both sides of the real line, with a smooth central region rather than a positive minimum.
Pareto moment threshold 2026-10-18
A Pareto distribution is a proper probability distribution for every , even when its mean is infinite. To see both facts, integrate the probability density function against . For real ,The improper integral converges exactly when . At it diverges logarithmically; above that it diverges as a positive power of the upper endpoint. Setting gives one, proving normalization regardless of whether higher moments exist.
Taking and using when both terms are finite givesFor , the nonnegative random variable has expected value ; a centered variance about a finite mean is unavailable. For , the mean is finite and the variance is infinite.[ref]
The Pareto Distribution. Random: Probability, Mathematical Statistics, Stochastic Processes by Kyle Siegrist; The General Pareto Distribution, Moments: existence threshold, mean and variance
A finite total probability and a finite expected value answer different questions.At the chosen minimum , gives , and variance , but an infinite third moment. At , the mean is 30 and the variance is infinite; at , even the mean is infinite, while the median remains the finite number . At the boundary , the earlier example has mean 20 but infinite variance. A finite sample contains finite values almost surely; that fact cannot establish that the underlying mean or variance is finite.
Pareto tail conditional scaling 2026-10-18
Conditioning a Pareto distribution on exceeding a threshold changes its minimum while preserving its shape parameter. For and , the definition of conditional probability givesEquivalently, for ,The ratio to the threshold has the same Pareto distribution at every admissible threshold.[ref]
The Pareto Distribution. Random: Probability, Mathematical Statistics, Stochastic Processes by Kyle Siegrist; The General Pareto Distribution, Related Distributions: closure under right-tail conditioning
For the chosen , , only of outcomes exceed 20, but among those outcomes the probability of exceeding 40 is again . When , the same identity gives conditional expectation .This multiplicative scaling differs from the additive memoryless property of an exponential distribution. Indeed has exponential distribution of rate , because for . Thus logarithms turn multiplication into addition and explain the scaling property. Conversely, if has uniform distribution on , inverse transform sampling gives .
The excess conditional on has survival function for . In the generalized Pareto distribution convention , this means and . Here the excess starts at zero; the original Pareto distribution starts at .
