Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 27K iii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
Expand the payoff as . The same risk-neutral measure applies. For any real , completing the square gives the truncated lognormal momentUsing and discounting by givesThe inverse-price moment explains both the extra volatility factor and the shifted normal argument in the last term.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 27K ii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
In the Black-Scholes model, absence of arbitrage and completeness give the price as the discounted expectation under the risk-neutral measure. Under that measure,The physical drift therefore does not enter the option price. PutFor the standard normal distribution function , . Completing the square in the Gaussian density also gives . Expanding the call payoff into these two truncated moments yields
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 27K i Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
A standard Brownian motion has , continuous paths almost surely, and independent increments with for . With a specified filtration, the increment is also independent of the information available at time .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 25J iii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
Put . The posterior is , andThe denominator is positive for . For , both parameters exceed one and the mode simplifies to . For this is the uniform-prior mode, exactly ; for the endpoint or symmetric cases also make the mode rule coincide with . Otherwise it is generally a different rule. The posterior mean agrees with only at .
To find the minimax estimator under quadratic loss, consider the posterior mean . Its risk function isFor , the numerator is identically , soThis constant-risk binomial proportion estimator is the unique Bayes estimator for its proper beta prior under quadratic loss. A competing rule's maximum risk is at least its risk averaged over that prior, which is at least this Bayes risk. The constant-risk rule attains the bound, so the posterior mean in (iii) is the unique minimax rule. Consequently any coincident rule is minimax too: the mean in (i) is the same rule when , and the mean in (ii) is the same rule when . No posterior mode listed here equals that mean rule for every observation, since at its value is positive whereas their endpoint modes differ from it. This accounts for the small- coincidences as well as the general answer.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 25J ii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
The Jeffreys prior is proportional to , hence is . Its posterior is , givingThe interior case is used only when . Generally neither rule equals : the mean agrees only at ; the mode agrees at the endpoints and, in the interior, at . For the small experiments , all possible observations happen to be among these cases, so the whole mode rule then coincides with the maximum-likelihood estimator.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 25J i Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
The uniform prior has , so the posterior is . Its mean and mode areThus the uniform-prior posterior mode is the maximum-likelihood estimator, including . The mean shrinks toward and equals the maximum-likelihood estimator only when .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 24K ii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
The random clock is understood to be independent of the discrete-time Markov chain; without this hypothesis its law need not be determined by alone. Conditional on , the transition matrix is , soHence for and . If , then by the series, proving that the invariant distribution is unchanged.
Let be the independent exponential interarrival times of the Poisson process. The absorption time is . By independence of the chain and clock and Tonelli theorem,This includes infinite expectations and absorption at time zero. The same argument proves the hinted random-sum identity for an independent nonnegative integer-valued count .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 24K i Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
A rate- Poisson process is a counting process starting at zero, with right-continuous nondecreasing integer-valued paths, independent stationary increments, and for . Its jumps have size one almost surely.
For independent Poisson processes , increments of on disjoint intervals are independent, because all the corresponding increments of the two processes are jointly independent. On an interval of length , multiplying their probability generating functions givesThus the increment is Poisson with mean . The path requirements hold, and independent processes almost surely have no simultaneous jumps. Therefore is a Poisson process of rate .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 23J c iii Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 23J c ii Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 23J c i Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 23J b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
Hölder's inequality states that for conjugate exponents , and imply andIt includes (and the reversed case), with the essential-supremum norm for .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 23J a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
For , consists of measurable functions with , identifying functions equal almost everywhere. Its Lp norm is . Thus membership is a condition on an almost-everywhere equivalence class, not on individual point values.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 21F iv Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
The equality is false. In , take and . Both are prime ideals, since their quotient rings are isomorphic to , so both are radical. ButThe element belongs to the latter ideal and not the former. This also shows why taking the radical of an ideal can enlarge a sum of already radical ideals.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 21F iii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
If a power of lies in , then . Conversely, if and , the power lies in both ideals. Therefore for any commutative ring.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 21F ii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
For the reverse inclusion, take vanishing on and use the Rabinowitsch trick. In form . A common zero would have , whence and , a contradiction. The assumed Weak Hilbert Nullstellensatz gives . Thus there is a finite expressionIf the conclusion is immediate. Otherwise substitute in the localized polynomial ring. The last term vanishes, and clearing a sufficiently high power of gives . Hence , proving the Strong Hilbert Nullstellensatz:
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 21F i Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
The radical of an ideal in a commutative ring is . It is an ideal: if , every term of has either at least factors or at least factors , so the sum belongs to . Also for every , and additive inverses preserve the defining condition.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 20F ii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
A surjective inverse-polynomial germ projection without even covering comes from the inverse of over . Consider , with . Since on , each defines a holomorphic inverse germ of at . This identifies with a component of the space of germs of holomorphic functions: inverse germs continue along paths in , and the holomorphic identity persists under continuation. A germ with value cannot exist, because differentiating that identity would give . Since is connected, all its inverse germs belong to one complete analytic function.
The projection is surjective. A generic value has three distinct regular preimages; the critical values each retain a simple regular preimage, respectively , even after their double critical preimages are removed. Thus fibre size drops from to at these values, making an evenly covered neighbourhood impossible. This is surjective but not a regular topological covering.
If “regular” is specifically used for deck transitivity among genuine coverings, there is also a genuine nonnormal example. Remove the critical values from the base and all their preimages from the source:This is a connected three-sheeted analytic covering. A small loop about each critical value swaps the two roots meeting there. The two swaps are distinct and generate (connectedness also forces transitive monodromy). The stabilizer of one sheet is an order- subgroup, which is not normal in . The classification of connected covering spaces therefore shows this covering is not regular in the deck-transitive sense. Either convention has a fully explicit example.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 20F i Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
Take and the complete analytic function generated by a logarithm germ. Its continuation surface identifies with via with and logarithm value . Thus . It is a universal cover; the deck transformations act transitively on each fibre, so it is also a regular covering map in the deck-transitive sense. It is not bijective, since every nonzero has infinitely many logarithm values. It also meets the alternative convention in which “regular” merely requires an evenly covered neighbourhood at each base point.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 19G b iv Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
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