Cumulative-response logistic model 2026-10-07
The accumulated number of previous successes may enter the conditional mean in a history-dependent logistic regression. Its coefficient exponentiates to the conditional success odds ratio per previous success. For a specified future path, update this cumulative predictor after each outcome before multiplying the conditional probabilities.
Forest plot 2026-10-07
A forest plot shows each study's effect estimate and confidence interval, together with a pooled estimate when appropriate. A vertical null-effect line allows comparison on a common scale. For an odds ratio the null is one and a logarithmic axis treats reciprocal ratios symmetrically; marker areas commonly encode study weights.
Log odds ratio 2026-10-05
The log odds ratio is the natural logarithm of an odds ratio. For two independent binomial groups with positive event and non-event counts and , its estimate is , with first-order variance by the delta method. Zero cells need a method that handles boundary data; the displayed normal approximation is not valid there.
For two independent binomial distributions with event and nonevent counts and , the odds ratio is . The delta method applied to , whose derivative is , gives a group variance . Substitution of the fitted proportion gives in the first group and in the second. Their independence gives the displayed sum. A normal approximation then gives a confidence interval on the log odds ratio scale; exponentiation produces an odds-ratio interval. Zero cells require another approximation or model.
Mantel–Haenszel pooled odds ratio 2026-10-07
For independent two-by-two tables with counts and total , the Mantel–Haenszel pooled odds ratio is the displayed ratio of sums. When all , it is also the weighted arithmetic mean of study odds ratios with weights . These differ from inverse estimated variance weights for log odds ratios. Both constructions can represent a fixed-effect meta-analysis, but they should not be silently interchanged when interpreting a supplied plot.