Poisson pencil 2026-10-14
Two Poisson structures are compatible when every linear combination is a Poisson structure. This family is a Poisson pencil. In terms of the Schouten-Nijenhuis bracket, compatibility means , in addition to the two individual Jacobi identities. Constant Poisson bivectors are compatible. Over a real manifold, complex parameter values refer to the complexification of its function algebra.
Poisson operator 2026-10-14
For field functionals, a Poisson operator is an operator whose displayed pairing of variational derivatives defines a Poisson bracket. It must be skew under the integral pairing and satisfy the functional Jacobi identity. A constant skew differential operator, such as with periodic or vanishing boundary conditions, gives the simplest examples. The Hamiltonian evolution is .
Poisson log-rate ratio 2026-10-14
For independent samples of observations from Poisson distributions with positive means and , the maximum-likelihood estimator of is the displayed difference when both totals are positive. Its asymptotic variance is , obtained by the delta method or by inverting the two-parameter Fisher information matrix. A zero group total makes its log-mean estimate a boundary value; finite normal intervals require nonzero totals.
Poisson working models for averaged counts 2026-10-14
If counts events over days, then the daily average has mean and variance . It is not itself a Poisson variable unless . Known observation periods allow count modelling with a log-exposure offset; otherwise Quasi-Poisson regression may be used as a working mean-variance model, with uncertainty qualified by the missing exposure information.
For a continuous predictor and a categorical factor, an additive Poisson regression with log link has . The log-mean curves are parallel and is constant in . Adding a predictor-by-factor interaction gives , so this ratio becomes . With factor levels, the common-slope restriction has independent constraints. A likelihood-ratio test compares the two deviances with an asymptotic chi-squared distribution on degrees of freedom. Evidence against common slopes establishes varying effects on the log scale; it does not by itself determine their signs or the ordering of the mean curves.
For independent aggregate Poisson distributions with means and , conditioning on the total eliminates . Independent Poisson conditioning gives the displayed binomial distribution. Its conditional likelihood is proportional to , also the profile likelihood after maximizing over the unrestricted positive baseline rate. Unequal exposures replace the binomial success probability by .
For independent Poisson distributions with log means , where is a known offset, differentiation of the log-likelihood gives the score function . An interior maximum-likelihood estimator therefore satisfies the displayed equations. An intercept and categorical indicator columns make fitted count totals equal observed count totals in each represented factor level. These equations match counts, rather than unweighted averages of rates when exposures differ.
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In Poisson regression with log means , the Fisher information matrix is , where . Inverting this matrix gives slope variance . Writing reduces it to the displayed reciprocal weighted sum of squares. Thus a common intercept consumes information about the overall rate, while slope information comes from the spread of the covariates under the mean-count weights. Constant covariates make the two parameters unidentifiable.
For a full-column-rank design and positive fitted means , the log-likelihood has Hessian , which is negative definite. Thus any finite stationary point is the unique maximum-likelihood estimator. Full rank does not guarantee existence: with an intercept and all counts zero, the supremum is approached as the intercept tends to . If every observed count is positive, a full-rank design does give a finite maximum: each function tends to in either tail and is bounded above, and as , so the negative log-likelihood is coercive.
Profile likelihood for a common Poisson rate ratio with unequal exposures Created 2026-10-14 Updated 2026-11-05
Suppose independent counts have Poisson distributions with means and , where the known exposures are positive and is a shared rate ratio. Put . Maximizing over each baseline givesZero-total strata contribute no information about ; their baseline maximum is at zero in the parameter-space closure. For every positive-total stratum its fitted second-count fraction increases with , so its contribution to the score function decreases. Explicitly,whenever some . The limiting score function values are and . If both totals are positive, there is therefore exactly one finite positive maximum-likelihood estimator. A zero total in one condition instead gives a boundary supremum at or ; two zero totals leave unidentifiable.
Conjugate Poisson kernel on the circle 2026-10-14
The geometric series gives . Its convolution multiplier is for nonzero frequencies and zero at frequency zero. Since the series is uniformly absolutely convergent for , these identities hold for every Lebesgue integrable function by termwise integration. If all negative Fourier coefficients vanish, .
The Poisson kernel on the circle is nonnegative, has normalized integral one, and its mass outside any fixed arc about zero tends to zero as . Split the convolution error into a short arc, controlled by the modulus of continuity, and its complement, controlled by the vanishing kernel mass. This proves uniform convergence for every continuous periodic function. Its Fourier multiplier is , so the convolution is the Abel sum of the Fourier series.
Annular spherical Jensen formula 2026-10-14
For a meromorphic function near , and a target off its image of the unit circle, let for the chordal metric, its normalized angular mean, and . The weighted spherical area satisfies the displayed formula, where counts -points with multiplicity and weight and . Indeed , and Green's second identity with the radial logarithmic weight proves the formula. The angular mean must include .
Log-gamma prior for a Poisson log-intercept 2026-10-14
If the positive baseline rate has a gamma distribution of shape and rate , its logarithm has this probability density function with respect to . The extra factor is the Jacobian determinant of the transformation. After a Gibbs sampler draws the conditional baseline rate, taking its logarithm is an exact update of the intercept. Omitting the Jacobian changes the prior.
Finite-exposure Poisson inconsistency 2026-10-14
Let independent counts satisfy , with positive known exposures , , and . Their likelihood is proportional to , where . If , the positive maximum-likelihood estimator is ; when , no maximum is attained on the open parameter space, while the closed-space maximizer is zero. This extended estimate converges almost surely to , where . Finiteness follows from , and the limiting Poisson distribution follows from the finite-sum laws. In particular, the probability of a zero estimate tends to , proving failure of statistical consistency. The total Fisher information tends to : infinitely many observations need not provide infinite information.
Rate ratio Created 2026-10-14 Updated 2026-10-18
A rate ratio compares event counts per unit exposure between two conditions. In a Poisson regression with a log link and binary indicator coefficient , it equals . Exponentiating an approximate Wald confidence interval for gives an interval for the rate ratio. A rate ratio is distinct from a relative risk or an odds ratio.
The Poisson equation for differential forms on a closed oriented Riemannian manifold is solvable exactly when its source is -orthogonal to every harmonic differential form of the same degree. Necessity follows from the formal adjoint identity . For sufficiency, the Green operator of the Hodge Laplacian gives , since .
Poisson size-bias identity Created 2026-10-14 Updated 2026-11-05
For with Poisson distribution of mean , the equality proves the identity by summation. For an independent random sum of independent claims with this count, exchangeability of the summands gives , where on the right is independent of and has the severity law. These identities hold for nonnegative measurable functions, and for integrable signed functions. They obtain moments without assuming that a positive exponential moment exists.
Stein-Chen method 2026-10-14
The Stein-Chen method compares an integer-valued count with a Poisson distribution by solving the Poisson Stein equation and estimating its expectation at the count. For sums of indicator random variables, dependency neighborhoods expose local overlap errors. This gives total variation distance bounds without having to compute the entire count distribution.
Poisson entropy monotonicity Created 2026-10-14 Updated 2026-11-05
The information entropy of a Poisson distribution is strictly increasing for . Given , take independent and . Their sum has Poisson distribution with mean , so entropy monotonicity under independent addition gives . All these information entropies are finite, and excludes equality.
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