Precision matrix 2026-09-24
The precision matrix is the inverse of a nonsingular covariance matrix. For a multivariate normal distribution, a zero off-diagonal precision entry encodes conditional independence of the corresponding coordinates given all remaining coordinates.
Quadratic discriminant analysis Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Quadratic discriminant analysis uses class-conditional Gaussian distributions with class-dependent covariance matrices. Their log density ratio is a quadratic polynomial in the observation.
Let be a real symmetric matrix with a positive-definite matrix. Its quadratic form satisfies the completing the square identityFor each fixed vector , the unique minimizing vector is , so the minimized value is . Also, is a positive-definite matrix exactly when is a positive-definite matrix, under the stated assumption on .[ref]
An original scalar example isHere , , , and the Schur complement is . Holding would give , but letting relax to reduces the quadratic form to . At the respective values are and . Eliminating a variable therefore changes the effective cost of the retained variable.
This interpretation supports quadratic optimization and the positive-definite symmetric matrix tests used in Cholesky decomposition. In a multivariate normal distribution, a covariance matrix also gives a conditional covariance through a Schur complement; the required probabilistic hypotheses are supplied by conditional multivariate normal distribution, rather than by the algebra alone.
Simple kriging Created 2026-10-05 Updated 2026-10-18
Simple kriging assumes a known mean function. If and are known, center the observations, predict the residual, and add back the target mean:For known zero mean, these reduce to and . Completing the covariance quadratic form giveswhich proves minimum error variance among predictors of the form . No sum-to-one constraint is needed: the known mean already supplies the offset. In the exponential example from ordinary kriging, imposing known zero mean gives weights , prediction , and error variance . The smaller error variance uses additional knowledge of the mean; it is not a free improvement when the mean is unknown.
If has a joint multivariate normal distribution, the displayed prediction is exactly , and is its conditional variance. A conditional expectation minimizes mean squared error among all square-integrable functions of the observations. Without a joint multivariate normal distribution, simple kriging remains the best predictor in the specified affine class, but the conditional expectation may be nonlinear and its conditional variance may depend on . Thus Gaussian process regression and the second-moment kriging construction agree under these assumptions, while having different starting points.[ref]
Slepian's lemma 2026-10-06
For centered multivariate normal distributions represented by vectors with equal corresponding variances and for all distinct indices, for every threshold vector. In particular the supremum of is stochastically smaller than the supremum of . Equal corresponding variances are essential to this formulation. The related Sudakov-Fernique inequality compares expected values of maxima using variances of increments and does not require equal pointwise variances.
Sudakov-Fernique inequality 2026-10-06
For centered multivariate normal distributions, if for every pair, then the displayed comparison holds. For a quick proof, make independent and set . Apply Gaussian integration by parts to . With softmax function weights and , the derivative of is . Since , let . Singular covariance matrices follow by adding identical small independent normal noise to both vectors and taking a limit.
Wishart distribution Created 2026-10-14 Updated 2026-10-25
For integer , the sum of independent vectors has a Wishart distribution. Its positive-definite density extends to real and is proportional to . It is a conjugate prior for the precision matrix of a multivariate normal distribution. Its mean is .
The WinBUGS declaration
dwish(R, nu) uses ; the density convention is documented in the NIMBLE BUGS-language manual. For it is proper, while the expected inverse matrix does not exist: that expectation requires . Specifying a Wishart prior on precision is therefore a substantive covariance assumption.