Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2017 iii Paper 217 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
The equal-variance form of Slepian's lemma is the following. If are centered vectors with multivariate normal distributions, for every , and whenever , thenfor every threshold vector . In particular . No nonsingularity of the covariance matrices is required.
Here the pointwise variances and differ. To make the comparison rigorous, use the increment form, namely the Sudakov-Fernique inequality: if centered multivariate normal distributions satisfy for every pair, then . Unlike the preceding form of Slepian's lemma, this statement has no equal-pointwise-variance hypothesis.
For completeness, the increment form follows by Gaussian integration by parts. Make independent, define for , and letThe are softmax function weights, with and . Direct differentiation gives and . The Gaussian integration by parts identity therefore yieldsThe last summands are nonnegative because . Sinceintegration in and the limit prove the Sudakov-Fernique inequality. All derivatives needed here are bounded for a fixed . Singular covariance matrices can be handled by adding small independent centered normal noise with the same variance to both vectors, proving the identity for the nonsingular vectors, and letting the noise variance decrease to zero.
Use the printed normalization of fractional Brownian motion, which omits the conventional factor . Its increment variance isFor and , . Enumerate by increasing finite subsets whose union is , with . The Sudakov-Fernique inequality givesBoth Gaussian processes vanish at zero almost surely. Thus these maxima are nonnegative and increase with ; monotone convergence theorem givesTheir continuous modifications agree with the original Gaussian processes simultaneously on the countable set , after discarding a single null event. Continuity and density of the rational parameters make each rational supremum equal to the supremum over for these modifications.
The expected suprema are finite. Indeed, the canonical distance of is . A Euclidean grid supplies a closed-ball metric covering number bound for . The Dudley entropy integral bound for an anchored centered separable Gaussian process isThe integral is finite since its integrand grows at most like a constant times near zero. The same argument applies to .
For any real path vanishing at zero,A centered Gaussian process has the same probability law as its negative. Combining this symmetry with the increment comparison gives the stronger boundIn particular the requested comparison isThe common normalization factor affects both sides equally. The comparison is valid for every , including the equality cases or in the increment bounds.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 201 4 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
For any finite list , the random vector has a multivariate normal distribution, since it is a linear image of a vector of Brownian motion coordinates. The Brownian covariance kernel and linearity of covariance giveThe independence of uncorrelated jointly normal variables implies that is independent of . Extending from finite-coordinate cylinder events by independence extended from generating pi-systems provesThus the Brownian bridge is independent of its endpoint. Its covariance kernel is , confirming that is the standard Brownian bridge. This is the Brownian bridge independence from its endpoint property.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 216 4 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
In factor analysis, the independent multivariate normal distributions of and imply that their linear combination is also multivariate normal. Its expected value is zero and its covariance matrix isThereforeThe noise variance is assumed positive. The factor contribution is positive semidefinite and has rank at most , while the noise makes the marginal covariance nonsingular.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 218 1 c Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
Let . After integrating out the random intercepts,The fixed-effect design matrix has four independent columns, so the given has dimensions , with and . Consequently the error contrasts have a multivariate normal distribution with mean zero and covariance matrix .
The restricted likelihood from orthogonal error contrasts is their density. Equivalently, the estimates maximizeThis is restricted maximum likelihood, not maximization over individual rat effects. The unknown disappears because . Replacing by for an orthogonal rotates and conjugates , preserving the determinant and quadratic form; hence the objective is independent of the chosen orthonormal basis. The software's integrated REML log-likelihood can differ by an additive constant depending only on , which has no effect on these variance estimates.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 219 1 v Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
A valid covariance matrix must be real symmetric and a positive semidefinite matrix, with . Conversely, every such matrix is the covariance of a possibly degenerate multivariate normal distribution. The diagonal correlations are ; the printed strict inequality can only concern distinct indices. Pairwise bounds do not suffice: the by correlation matrix with diagonal and every off-diagonal entry has eigenvalue along and is invalid. Even strict pairwise inequalities allow singularity: off-diagonal entries give an eigenvalue zero.
For the inverse requested in the question, assume in addition that is a positive-definite matrix. Write , and . Up to a constant, the log-likelihood is . Its score function and second derivative areThe correlated Gaussian common-mean estimator is thereforeIts expectation is , and direct covariance propagation givesThe Fisher information is , so this variance attains the Cramer-Rao bound and the estimator is an efficient estimator.
If is singular, an ordinary Lebesgue density and are unavailable. When lies in the range of , the same formulas hold on that range with its Moore-Penrose inverse. Otherwise there is with , and determines exactly with zero variance. The usual nonsingular Cramér–Rao calculation then does not apply.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 ii Paper 3 13C e Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Forwith symmetric ,Substitution into the current from part (d) yieldsIt vanishes for all exactly whenThus the stated multivariate normal distribution is a stationary solution whenever the zero-current assumption makes symmetric positive definite. This is the Stationary Gaussian density for a linear Fokker-Planck equation.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 iii Paper 201 4 a Solution 2026-10-03
- almost surely;
- its sample paths are almost surely continuous;
- increments over disjoint time intervals are independent; and
- for , has the centered multivariate normal distribution with covariance matrix .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 iii Paper 219 3 a Solution 2026-10-03
Stack the observations as and setLet and denote matrices obtained by evaluating the two Gaussian process covariance kernels. Independence of the quasar light curve, gravitational microlensing, and Gaussian noise processes giveswhere . Thus is a multivariate normal distribution and its Gaussian-process marginal likelihood isThe off-diagonal blocks are essential: both images contain the same delayed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 iii Paper 350 1 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
Write , so the data map is . The Gaussian likelihood and prior distribution giveCompleting the square, or using Gaussian conjugacy for a normal linear model, identifies a multivariate normal distribution with precision matrix . Since , its posterior mean and covariance matrix areThe parameters areFor example, , which checks the square completion.
The orthogonal vectorsare eigenvectors of the covariance matrix. Their respective variances areThey are independent under the posterior distribution, by independence of uncorrelated jointly normal variables. Thus uncertainty is different in the two directions even for positive noise: the data constrain , whereas spans the null space of the data map.
As , the posterior distribution converges to the law ofThis is supported on , and its posterior mean is the minimum-norm least-squares solution. The prior distribution still determines the distribution along the unobserved null space; it has not disappeared. This example of a Gaussian posterior in the zero-noise limit distinguishes exact recovery of an observed component from recovery of the whole unknown.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 iii Paper 350 2 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
The conditional mean estimator is the posterior meanprovided the first moment is finite. A maximum a posteriori estimate is any maximizer of the posterior density relative to Lebesgue measure:Existence of the posterior density alone does not guarantee a finite posterior mean or existence of a maximizing point.
For the stated multivariate normal distribution and independent standard Gaussian noise, the negative log of the posterior density, up to a constant, isIts precision matrix is a positive-definite matrix, so Gaussian conjugacy for a normal linear model givesThe two forms agree becauseThe covariance matrix is , and the maximum a posteriori estimate equals the posterior mean for this multivariate normal distribution.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 ii Paper 1 27K a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-29
For and , the characteristic function isFor a multivariate normal distribution with covariance matrix , the coordinates are uncorrelated and hence independent by independence of uncorrelated jointly normal variables. ThereforeThis is the characteristic function of an isotropic Gaussian vector.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2020 ii Paper 1 30K b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-29
Because is Gaussian, the terminal wealth is normal. For constant absolute risk aversion utilitythe moment-generating function of a normal variable givesMaximizing this expected utility is equivalent to maximizingafter dropping a constant. The unique first-order condition isand strict concavity givesIt agrees with part (a) exactly whenFor the usual risk-averse convention , the asserted correspondence assumes ; under that natural target-return condition the choice is unique.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2020 ii Paper 3 5J c Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
The hat matrix is an orthogonal projection of rank , so is an orthogonal projection of rank . Because is a standard multivariate normal distribution vector, Cochran's theorem givesThus . Substituting this into the preceding formula gives the Distribution of the Akaike information criterion in a normal linear model:
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2021 ib Paper 3 18H ii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Letbe the hat matrix. Thendepends only on the orthogonal projection , whiledepends only on the orthogonal residual projection .
The random vectors and are jointly multivariate normal, and their cross-covariance isUncorrelated jointly Gaussian vectors are independent. Therefore
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2021 iii Paper 201 4 a Solution 2026-09-28
A process is Brownian motion in when , its paths are almost surely continuous, and for the increments are independent centered Gaussian vectors with covariance .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 ib Paper 3 18H b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
The estimator is an affine transformation of the multivariate normal distribution. Its mean is , and direct covariance calculation gives
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 iii Paper 202 6 d Solution 2026-09-28
Every linear combination of is a deterministic constant plus one stochastic integral of a deterministic function against . Part a makes every such combination Gaussian. By the linear-combination characterization of a multivariate normal distribution, is jointly Gaussian, so is a Gaussian process.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 iii Paper 219 1 b Solution 2026-09-28
Write the Cepheid measurement as , where , and define the calibrated absolute magnitude dataThus has a multivariate normal distribution with mean and covariance matrix
The Hubble law and the definition of distance modulus giveConsequently, withthe Hubble-flow observations are independent random variables satisfying . Apart from a factor independent of the parameters, the joint likelihood function isThe expression extends by continuity to a singular limiting covariance such as .