Campbell's theorem 2026-10-14
For a Poisson point process with intensity measure and a square-integrable measurable function ,
The second identity follows because distinct points contribute the square of the mean, while the diagonal contribution is .
The expectation identity holds for a general point process with intensity measure whenever the sum is integrable. The stated variance identity uses the additional Poisson point process assumption.
The same intensity measure can belong to very different point processes. A Poisson point process with a locally finite intensity measure adds two requirements: each finite-intensity window count has the Poisson distribution of mean , and counts in pairwise disjoint observation windows are mutually independent. These requirements determine its probability law; they do not follow from the formula for .[ref]
A randomly shifted lattice point process, a unit-rate Poisson point process, and the shared random rate gives dependent point counts construction all satisfy on the real line. Nevertheless, their counts in have respectively variance zero, one, and two. Counts in the disjoint observation windows and have respectively covariance , zero, and . These exact calculations show why measuring mean density cannot identify a spacing or statistical dependence model.
Figure 1.
Equal intensity permits regular spacing, Poisson counts, and shared-rate dependence
. All three laws have intensity measure . Left: illustrative realizations of a randomly shifted lattice point process, a unit-rate Poisson point process, and the shared random rate gives dependent point counts construction conditional on rate two; the latter also has a completely empty outcome with probability . Right: exact probability mass functions of the count in , with the axis displayed through seven. Equal expected values of one coexist with variances zero, one, and two. Realizations illustrate spacing; the bars describe laws, not frequencies estimated from those realizations. Details.
Sampling with a homogeneous Poisson point process of mean comoving number density adds a constant to the dimensional galaxy power spectrum. Subtracting its expectation leaves sampling uncertainty. Correlated tracer populations and survey weights modify this simple formula; survey depth alone does not specify .
Independent marking theorem for Poisson point processes Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
Independently assigning a mark to each point of a Poisson point process, with mark probabilities allowed to depend measurably on the point, produces independent Poisson point processes for the different marks. If the original intensity is and mark has probability , its intensity is .
For an isotropic Poisson line process of intensity , its pair intersections form a locally finite point process. Coincident intersections and parallel pairs have probability zero. Its intensity measure is times area. Indeed the Poisson factorial moment measure and the change of variables from signed distances to intersection location give
The factor counts unordered line pairs. Shared lines create dependence between intersections; this process is not a Poisson point process.
For a finite-intensity set of mean , independent red marking with probability gives counts with
Disjoint source sets give independent pairs of these counts. Refining overlapping test sets into disjoint cells then proves independence of the two whole Poisson point processes, not only their counts on one set.
Attach conditionally independent nonnegative marks to a Poisson point process, with a measurable mark law depending only on location. If a mark at has mean and variance , and the displayed integrals are finite, their total is finite almost surely and has the displayed moments. The Campbell first-moment formula gives the first moment and finiteness. The Poisson factorial moment measure formula gives the square of that first moment for distinct pairs; the diagonal contributes . Their difference is the variance. Signed marks require absolute first-moment integrability.
Write and . Treat the nonnegative plant weights as independent marks conditional on the locations, with a measurable mark law depending only on . Its first and second moments are
This is the independent-marking interpretation appropriate for location-dependent weights.
The general results needed are the following. The Independent marking theorem for Poisson point processes says that such marks turn a Poisson point process of intensity into a Poisson point process on location-mark space with intensity . The Campbell first-moment formula says that for any nonnegative measurable , , allowing infinite values. The second Poisson factorial moment measure identity says that for nonnegative measurable ,
These statements apply to sigma-finite intensities and therefore do not require finitely many plants in the entire field. We use these general results without proving them.
Define the total as the nonnegative sum , or equivalently as the increasing limit of its finite-intensity truncations. the Campbell theorem gives
Since , the nonnegative random variable cannot be infinite on an event of positive probability. Thus is finite almost surely, even if the number of plants is infinite.
Separate the square into its diagonal and ordered distinct-pair terms. Nonnegativity allows the use of Tonelli's theorem and increasing limits, giving
The assumed second integral is finite, so is square-integrable. Subtracting yields
The term accounts for random weights at fixed locations; the term accounts for the Poisson fluctuations in the locations and count. Nonnegativity is natural for weights. For signed marks, absolute first-moment integrability, rather than just a conditionally convergent integral of the signed mean, would be needed for the ordinary sum.
The intensity function of a point process is positive and continuous inside the interval, so its measure is finite on every compact subinterval. Consequently the Poisson point process is locally finite there. Its nonatomic intensity makes it simple and gives no point at almost surely. At the endpoints,
Both half-intervals therefore have infinite intensity. More explicitly, exhaust either half by increasing compact intervals with means . For any fixed integer ,
Taking the countable union over proves infinitely many points on each side almost surely.
Local finiteness excludes accumulation in the interior, including at . Hence there is a largest negative point and a smallest positive point. For example, given any negative point, the compact interval between it and contains finitely many points and therefore a largest one. Call it ; call the smallest positive point , and enumerate consecutively in both directions. Infinite counts give every integer index, and the lack of interior accumulation implies as and as . Thus the specified two-sided labeling exists almost surely.
Use the cumulative-intensity transformation
It has , positive derivative, and limits at the two endpoints, so it is an increasing bijection onto . One explicit expression is
For any bounded interval in the target, its preimage has intensity
Disjoint target sets have disjoint preimages, so their counts are independent. This proves directly, or by the Poisson mapping theorem, that the transformed points form a unit-rate Poisson process on the real line.
Put . On the positive half-line, the successive spacings are independent exponential random variables of mean , so . The strong law of large numbers gives almost surely. On the negative half-line, independently, the reflected points satisfy , because is the first point to the left of zero. Thus , or also as . The shift by one has no effect on these limits.
From the explicit formula, or by integrating the endpoint intensity asymptotics,
Substitute and use the strong law for Poisson arrival times. At the right endpoint,
so
At the left endpoint the corresponding result is
Equivalently . The different powers of reflect the different endpoint singularity orders, an instance of power-law boundary accumulation of a Poisson point process.
Identify a line with its unique parameter pair in , using
A Poisson line process means a Poisson point process on the Borel parameter space : for each measurable of finite mean measure, the number of its parameter points is Poisson with mean , and counts in finitely many disjoint sets are independent. Infinite-measure sets are handled by a countable finite-measure exhaustion. Here is sigma-finite and nonatomic, so there are countably many distinct lines almost surely. It is not an assertion that line counts are Poisson with respect to planar area.
Fix and let . Exactly the lines with hit this disk, apart from the zero-probability tangent case. Thus the count of disk-hitting lines is
Every intersection in uses two of these lines. Writing , we have
This also proves local finiteness of the intersection point process. Initially it gives a non-strict bound .
To establish strictness, choose the two parameter boxes
Each has positive measure, and both lie among the disk-hitting lines. If one line from each box intersected at , then
But their distance parameters differ by more than , a contradiction. The event of exactly one line in each box and no other disk-hitting lines has probability
On this event but . Therefore
The following original diagram illustrates why two disk-hitting lines need not produce an intersection inside the disk.
Figure 1.
Two lines meeting a disk can have their intersection outside it
. Details.
To decide whether is Poisson, compute its intensity measure and compare its void probability. Use the equivalent signed line coordinates with and . If this is the original pair ; if it is . The measure is , with no extra factor of two. Translation by sends to , preserving this measure. Thus both the line and intersection processes are stationary.
Almost surely no two lines are parallel and no three are concurrent. In each finite-intensity parameter region, conditional line parameters have continuous joint densities. Parallel pairs and concurrent triples satisfy lower-dimensional equations and have probability zero; a countable exhaustion proves the assertion for all lines. Hence different unordered pairs have distinct intersections almost surely. For a bounded Borel set , the second Poisson factorial moment measure identity gives
For nonparallel normals, their intersection satisfies , . The absolute Jacobian determinant of this transformation is . Consequently
since the inner integral is for every . In particular .
If were a Poisson point process, the count would therefore be Poisson with that mean, giving . But the earlier necessary-two-lines argument gives
At this lower bound is , whereas the supposed Poisson void probability is . This contradiction proves is not a Poisson point process. Its points share parent lines, and the explicit void/mean comparison demonstrates the resulting dependence rather than merely asserting it.
For , let be the probability law of a seed displacement from its tree. For the literal circular support, it is normalized arclength on . The conditional mean measure of a point process is
We prove the conditional Poisson assertion directly by joint probability generating functions.
Fix disjoint bounded measurable sets . For a tree at , put and . Conditional on its seed count, the allocation among these sets and their complement is multinomial distribution. Averaging over the Poisson seed count gives
Thus this tree contributes independent Poisson counts of means to the disjoint sets. Different trees contribute independently. Only trees within distance of the bounded union of the can contribute, and there are almost surely finitely many of them. Multiplying their probability generating functions gives
This is precisely the joint probability generating function of independent Poisson counts with the displayed means. Also is locally finite, because each bounded set can receive seeds from only finitely many trees. This proves the conditional Poisson point process assertion and the Poisson offspring clusters directed by their parent process construction.
In arclength notation the directing measure is , where is arclength on the circle centered at . If “circle” is used to mean the filled disc instead, take ; then
The generating-function proof and the following unconditional conclusion hold for either reading. The circular version has a singular conditional directing measure, giving the random directing measure of a Cox process formulation.
Unconditionally this is a Cox process, specifically a Poisson-offspring Neyman-Scott process. Its mean measure of a point process is nevertheless spatially uniform. With , the Campbell first-moment formula and translation invariance give
since . Uniform mean alone does not establish a Poisson law.
For a bounded set of positive area, the conditional count has mean and variance . The law of total variance gives
A Poisson integral of a deterministic function has variance : for a simple function on disjoint sets this follows from independent Poisson counts, and square-integrable approximation gives the general formula. Here and it has bounded support, so
The strict inequality holds when , because implies . A Poisson random variable has equal mean and variance. Hence the unconditional process is not a Poisson process in the nontrivial model. If or , there are no seeds and the process is the degenerate empty Poisson process. The overdispersion of nondegenerate mixed Poisson counts quantifies the additional clustering induced by the random parents.
Equip with a sigma-algebra . A Poisson random measure with intensity measure of a point process is a random counting measure such that, for every measurable with ,
and the counts on every finite collection of pairwise disjoint measurable sets are independent. Thus . For a sigma-finite measure , sets of infinite intensity contain infinitely many points almost surely: exhaust such a set by increasing finite-intensity sets and use the Poisson count tails as their means tend to infinity. The count is a measurable random variable for every measurable , which is part of saying that is a random measure.
Under the usual point representation write , counting multiplicities. If is a non-atomic measure, this is a simple Poisson point process; if has atoms, several point occurrences can have the same location, and each occurrence is counted separately. In a topological setting, local finiteness requires that the intensity be finite on compact sets.
Sufficient existence conditions are that is a standard Borel space and is a sigma-finite measure. This gives existence of a Poisson random measure on a standard Borel space. If a simple locally finite configuration is desired, additionally take a non-atomic, locally finite intensity on a locally compact second-countable Hausdorff space. These conditions are sufficient, not claimed necessary. In particular sigma-finiteness suffices for a countable family of occurrences that can each be independently coloured.
Let and be the red and green counting measures. The marking assumption means that, conditional on , the colours of all point occurrences are independent, with the same red probability . For a measurable set of finite intensity , condition on its total count. To obtain red and green points the total must be , so direct multiplication gives the joint red and green Poisson count formula
Thus the two counts are independent Poisson variables with respective means and . This computation includes zero intensity with the usual convention for the probability of zero counts.
For disjoint finite-intensity sets , the original counts are independent. Conditional marking in different sets uses disjoint collections of independent colours. Repeating the preceding calculation therefore gives
This proves the disjoint-count definition for each coloured Poisson point process and independence of their two count vectors.
To obtain independence of the whole processes, take any finite list of red test sets and any finite list of green test sets, initially all of finite intensity. Refine their union into the disjoint cells given by their membership patterns. Every test-set count is the sum of the counts of its cells. The entire red cell vector is independent of the entire green cell vector by the product formula, hence so are the corresponding test-set count vectors. For arbitrary measurable test sets, intersect first with a finite-intensity exhaustion of and pass to the increasing count limits. The count cylinder events generate the two evaluation sigma-algebras, and independence extended from generating pi-systems gives independence of those sigma-algebras. Consequently
This is a direct count proof of the Poisson thinning theorem; no general marking or thinning result has been used to deduce it.
The mapping theorem for Poisson point processes applies provided is a measurable function and its pushforward measure
is locally finite, meaning
for every bounded Borel set . If “Poisson process” means a simple point process, one also requires to be atomless, equivalently
Under these conditions, is a Poisson point process with mean measure
Let be the number of particles of gas in a bounded Lebesgue measurable set . Because Lebesgue measure is diffuse, two independent spatial Poisson point processes have no common particle almost surely. Hence the mixture count is
Writing , independence gives the probability generating function
Thus
If are pairwise disjoint, the family
is independent: counts in disjoint sets are independent within each gas, and the two gases are independent. Therefore the sums are independent. These two facts prove directly that the mixture is a Poisson point process. By the Superposition theorem for Poisson point processes, its activity is
Let be the homogeneous Poisson point process in with intensity measure , and map each point to its radius . For an interval , the pushforward measure of the intensity is
The Mapping theorem for Poisson point processes therefore shows that the radii form a Non-homogeneous Poisson point process with intensity function
If is the distance to the closest star, the event says that the ball of radius contains no points. The zero-count probability of a Poisson distribution gives
Differentiating its cumulative distribution function yields the probability density function
Campbell's formula for a Poisson point process gives
Expanding separates equal and distinct Poisson points. The factorial-moment formula gives
Subtracting the square of the mean yields
A Poisson point process of intensity has independent counts on disjoint Borel sets, with whenever the integral is finite.
Poisson defect yield 2026-10-18
Consider a deliberately simplified model: fatal defects form a spatially uniform Poisson point process with intensity per unit area. A semiconductor die of area works exactly when it contains no fatal defect. Its defect count has a Poisson distribution with expected value , hence its probability of working, called its yield, is
The product is dimensionless. The formula concerns fatal defects, not every visible imperfection. Spatial uniformity, independent defect counts in disjoint areas, and failure from even one fatal defect are model assumptions. Clustering, shared processing failures, repairable regions and defects that affect only some functions can invalidate them. This is a chosen probability model, not historical yield data.
Choose . For semiconductor die areas , and , the model gives , and . Doubling the area squares the yield: . This follows either from the exponential function or by splitting the larger area into two disjoint parts and using independence. More functions on one semiconductor die can save assembly while making the no-defect requirement harder to satisfy.
Figure 1.
A chosen Poisson defect yield model connects die area to expected output
. Original model calculations with . Left: and three worked points. Right: expected good semiconductor dies per circular semiconductor wafer, comparing an area-only gross count with the declared approximate edge correction. No scribe lanes, packaging losses or measured yields are included. The annotation uses an assumed cost of units per wafer. Details.
For a Poisson point process with intensity measure , ordered tuples of distinct atoms have factorial moment measure . Thus for any nonnegative measurable function ,
For , separating diagonal terms from distinct pairs gives the second moment of a Poisson sum. Dividing by two instead counts unordered pairs, which is essential for geometric intersection intensities.