Error function and the normal distribution 2026-10-14
For a standard normal random variable , its standard normal distribution function isThe change of variables and the symmetric distribution of the standard normal random variable give the second expression. For with , standardization of a normal random variable then givesIn particular, the intervals within one, two, and three standard deviations have calculated probabilities about , , and . These values depend on a normal distribution; they are not universal coverage guarantees for an arbitrary random variable. This is the direct connection between a Gaussian function area and the familiar central intervals.
For a small upper-tail probability, use the complementary error function directly:Computing this as instead can lose the tail to catastrophic cancellation. The Gaussian tail bound gives another useful estimate without requiring an exact error function value.
Laplace distribution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-18
The Laplace distribution, also called the double exponential distribution, is a location-scale family with probability density functionThe location is its mean, median and mode; controls its spread. In the centred rate convention, the same law has and , giving . Keeping track of whether a parameter is a scale or its reciprocal prevents reversing the effect of increasing it. [ref]
1.3.6.6.12. Double Exponential Distribution. NIST and SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods; NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook, Section 1.3.6.6.12, Probability Density Function and Common Statistics; NIST denotes the scale by beta
The two halves of the probability density function are reflected exponential decay curves, each with total probability . Their meeting point has a sharp corner: the left and right derivatives are and . This finite peak is not a positive probability mass at . Indeedso , just as for any absolutely continuous probability distribution.
The figure compares a Laplace distribution with , against a normal distribution with mean zero and standard deviation : both have variance 2. The right panel uses a logarithmic scale for the two-sided tail probability . Its straight Laplace distribution curve comes from ; the normal distribution tail falls faster. Thus values far from the center can be more plausible under a Laplace distribution even after matching the variance. These are theoretical curves, not measured frequencies. The tails still have exponential decay; this is not a heavy-tailed distribution in the convention requiring every positive exponential moment to diverge.
Integrating either half of the probability density function gives the cumulative distribution functionIn particular . The basic moments areThus the scale is the expected value of the absolute distance from the center, and is not the standard deviation. [ref]
1.3.6.6.12. Double Exponential Distribution. NIST and SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods; NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook, Section 1.3.6.6.12, Cumulative Distribution Function and Common Statistics; rescale the standard form by x=mu+bz
A short way to obtain the moments is to note that has an exponential distribution with rate : for . Integrating gives and ; the symmetric distribution gives the centered first moment zero. Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 34 1 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
A sigma-algebra on is a collection containing , closed under complements relative to , and closed under countable unions. These properties also give closure under countable intersections by De Morgan laws.
Let . Every constituent sigma-algebra contains , so . If , its complement belongs to every , hence to . Likewise, if for all , then belongs to every . Thus is a sigma-algebra. For an empty indexing set, the usual intersection convention gives , which is also a sigma-algebra.
A union need not work. On takeTheir union contains and but not , so it is not a sigma-algebra. Put and let be the collection of all sigma-algebras on containing . This collection is nonempty because it contains the power set . By the preceding intersection argument,is a sigma-algebra containing every , and it is contained in every other such sigma-algebra. This proves existence and minimality.
For the independent random variables, define the tail sigma-algebra byFix a tail event . For each , it belongs to , which is independent of . To justify independence of the generated sigma-algebras, first use independence of finite collections on cylinder events, then extend twice by the pi-lambda theorem. In particular, for every and every .
The increasing union is an algebra of sets generating . The collection of satisfying this factorization is a Dynkin system: it contains , is closed under complements, and under countable disjoint unions. The pi-lambda theorem therefore extends the factorization to all . Since , taking gives . Consequently,This is the Kolmogorov zero-one law, proved here directly.
For each fixed , write for , with . The random variable is finite, so . Adding a real sequence tending to zero changes neither the extended-real limit inferior nor the extended-real limit superior. HenceThe quantities on the right are measurable with respect to : write the limit inferior as and the limit superior as , using countable operations on measurable functions. Therefore both threshold events belong to every such sigma-algebra, and hence are tail events, for every real threshold, including when either limit is infinite.
The final recurrence claim is false under the printed hypotheses. For , let be independent signs with equal probabilities for and , and set . These random variables are independent, have symmetric distributions, and obey . Nevertheless, the geometric series gives, on every sample path,Thus the proposed repeated-return event has probability zero, even though none of the increments is degenerate. The Kolmogorov zero-one law does not determine which of zero and one occurs.
An additional identical-distribution hypothesis makes the intended conclusion true. Here is a full proof of that qualified version, using the oscillation of a bounded centered iid random walk. Symmetry and integrability give , so is a martingale for its natural filtration. If the common probability distribution is concentrated at zero, every is zero and the conclusion is immediate. Otherwise choose with . The Borel-Cantelli lemmas then give infinitely often almost surely; thus cannot converge to a finite limit.
For , let . Before the sum is below , and at it is at most . The stopped martingale is therefore nonnegative. A stopped integrable martingale remains a martingale at these bounded times, and a nonnegative martingale converges finitely almost surely by the martingale convergence theorem. On this would force to converge finitely, which has just been ruled out. Hence almost surely. Apply the same argument to and take a countable intersection over positive integer . It follows thatThere are therefore arbitrarily late passages from above to below . A path with bounded increments of magnitude at most cannot make such a passage without visiting : jumping directly between its two open complementary half-lines would require an increment larger than . There are infinitely many such visits. Thus with the added identical-distribution hypothesis, the intended answer is
An expected value of a signed random variable is finite precisely when its absolute value is integrable. With the standard normal distribution probability density function,For , this integral equals . For , its integrand does not decay sufficiently and the integral diverges. ThereforeThe value is zero by the odd function and the symmetric distribution. For the other , both positive and negative parts have infinite integrals; formal cancellation would give only a Cauchy principal value, not an expected value. This distinction is the integrability threshold for exponential powers of a Gaussian.
Let have the specified probability density function . Splitting the integral into the positive and negative half-lines, and using the Gamma integral for a nonnegative integer and , givesAt or , one term becomes the divergent integral of ; beyond these endpoints it grows exponentially. Consequently, the full extended-valued moment-generating function isIn particular , checking normalization of a probability distribution. All absolute moments exist. Direct integration yieldsThe symmetric distribution makes every odd moment zero, so
Now let have probability density function . Its moment-generating function would beFor every , one summand has exponential growth, which dominates the polynomial decay. HenceThere is no finite moment-generating function on any neighborhood of zero, but some moments still exist. Specifically,ThusFor even , the moment is , so it is not a finite moment. For odd , both the positive and negative contributions have infinite integral, so the expected value is undefined. Cancellation in a Cauchy principal value does not define an expected value. In particular, when there are no finite positive-order moments.
Take a discrete probability distribution on three points:The probabilities are positive and sum to one. Direct calculation givesandNevertheless it is not a symmetric distribution, since while . Vanishing of just the first and third moments does not force all odd moments to vanish.
Let have the Pareto distribution with probability density function for , and zero otherwise. Its normalization of a probability distribution and first two moments follow fromSet . ThenThe probability distribution of is not a symmetric distribution: almost surely, whereas and . For we have , soThus has every property required.
If has a symmetric distribution, then and have the same probability distribution, so for odd ,which forces .
Conversely, suppose every odd moment vanishes. For fixed , the absolute values of the partial Taylor series for are bounded by , whose expected value is finite by the preceding inequality. The dominated convergence theorem therefore permits termwise expectation:The uniqueness theorem for moment-generating functions implies equality of the probability distributions of and . Hence
It suffices that the moment-generating function be finite on some open interval containing zero:Equivalently, some two-sided exponential moment exists: for some . For the forward implication, choose and use ; the converse follows from for .
Under this weaker hypothesis, all moments exist. For , dominated convergence justifies the Taylor series argument in (i). Vanishing odd moments gives near zero, and the local uniqueness theorem for moment-generating functions gives the symmetric distribution. The reverse implication follows directly from equality of the two probability distributions.
More generally, it suffices that all moments exist and the probability distribution have moment determinacy: and then have identical moments and hence identical probability distributions. Existence of all moments by itself does not provide that uniqueness.
Each has the same probability distribution as . By independence, the entire vector and its negative have the same joint law, so has a symmetric distribution about zero. The two disjoint tail events consequently have equal probabilities:Apply Chebyshev's inequality with the mean and variance from (i):Using only containment in the two-sided event would give ; the symmetry supplies the necessary extra factor .
Student's t-distribution Created 2026-09-29 Updated 2026-10-20
The Student's t-distribution describes a standard normal random variable divided by an independent estimate of its scale. For any real , let have the standard normal distribution and let have the chi-squared distribution, with and independent. ThenThe parameter is called the number of statistical degrees of freedom. It need not be an integer: the chi-squared distribution is a gamma distribution with shape and rate . The independence assumption is essential; specifying only the two marginal distributions does not determine the probability distribution of their ratio.
Its probability density function on the whole real line iswhere is the gamma function. Every member is a symmetric distribution about zero. At it is the Standard Cauchy distribution; as it approaches the standard normal distribution. The essential shape change is the tail: at any fixed finite , decays like a constant times , much more slowly than the standard normal density's exponential decay. Thus it is a heavy-tailed distribution. [ref]
1.3.6.6.4. t Distribution. NIST and SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods; NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook, Section 1.3.6.6.4: density, Cauchy special case and normal limit; the ratio derivation here also permits noninteger degrees of freedom
The left panel shows the centers; the right panel uses a logarithmic scale to reveal the tails that a linear plot hides. All four curves have location zero and scale one. They do not have the same variance: the curve has no finite mean or variance, whereas has variance 3 and has variance .
More generally, the absolute moment for is finite exactly when , as follows by comparing the tail integrand with . ConsequentlyFor there is no finite mean; symmetry alone cannot supply one. For the mean exists but the variance is infinite. For even the centered definition of variance is unavailable because the mean does not exist.
A shifted and scaled version , , has probability density function . The scale is not its standard deviation: for ,For example, and scale give standard deviation , rather than 2. The distinction matters when using a Student's t-distribution to model data with occasional extreme values, as well as when interpreting a Student t confidence interval.

