Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 ia Paper 2 12F Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 ia Paper 2 9F Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2010 ia Paper 2 10F d Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 201 2 c Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
Pointwise, an integer-valued nonnegative random variable has the representationwhen , exactly the terms equal one. Applying the Tonelli theorem, or the monotone convergence theorem to the finite sums of indicator random variables, gives the tail-sum formula for expectationBoth sides may be infinite; no integrability assumption is necessary.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 201 2 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
Write and . Since is a stopping time, . The Tonelli theorem, conditional expectation, and (c)'s tail-sum formula for expectation yieldThus is an integrable random variable. Since , telescoping gives and . The dominated convergence theorem gives , so (b) gives uniform integrability of the stopped martingale.
The optional stopping theorem at the bounded stopping time gives . Passing to the limit using the convergence in L1 proved in (b),One can also pass directly by the dominated convergence theorem, since .
If is future time to dementia from age 50, its survival function isThe tail-sum formula for expectation gives the expected future time alive without dementia:
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 iii Paper 207 6 b iv Solution Created 2026-09-28 Updated 2026-10-03
With administrative censoring at , one patient is observed to experience with probabilitysoThe observed time is , whose mean follows from the tail-sum formula for expectation:Hence
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ii Paper 4 26K a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Write for the partial sum. Fix an integer . The tail-sum formula for expectation, applied to the nonnegative random variable , givesbecause . The events are independent, so the second Borel--Cantelli lemma shows that infinitely often with probability one. Taking the countable intersection over yieldsalmost surely.
Now , and the triangle inequality givesIf the limit superior of were finite, the right-hand side would have finite limit superior, contradicting the preceding conclusion. Thereforealmost surely.