Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 iii Paper 219 4 b Solution 2026-09-28
Under , Bayes theorem at the nested value givesSeparability of the prior and equality of the priors implyRearranging proves the Savage-Dickey density ratiowhich is the Bayes factor in favor of the nested model.
Savage-Dickey density ratio 2026-09-28
For suitable nested models whose common nuisance parameters have matching priors, the Savage-Dickey density ratio expresses a Bayes factor as posterior density divided by prior density at the nested parameter value.