Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2020 ia Paper 1 12F a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
The standard normal density isIt is nonnegative, and the Gaussian integral gives , so it is a probability density function. Completing the square gives the moment-generating function of a standard normal variableThus and
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2021 ia Paper 2 4F Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2021 iii Paper 326 3 1 a Solution 2026-09-29
A Bayesian inverse problem consists of a prior distribution on the unknown , a reference measure on the data space , and a jointly measurable likelihood such that is a probability density function for -almost every . For observed data , Bayes theorem defines the posterior distribution byprovided .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2021 iii Paper 326 3 1 d Solution 2026-09-29
The following four assumptions are sufficient, with statements understood for -almost every and every :
- is a strictly positive probability density function on the data space.
- .
- There is one such that for all .
- For each relevant , the map is continuous.
The first two assumptions give . The last two allow the dominated convergence theorem to prove continuity of the normalized posterior density, which is equivalent to continuity in total variation distance.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2021 ii Paper 1 5J Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Expand the exponent in the Inverse Gaussian distribution with unit shape parameter:Consequently its probability density function can be written aswhereIndeed, . This is the canonical form of a one-parameter exponential family, and its natural parameter is therefore
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 iii Paper 320 1 c Solution 2026-09-28
At fixed intrinsic ratio , part a givesSince is uniform, the change-of-variables formula for a probability density yields the conditional probability density functionThe inverse-square-root singularity at is integrable, and direct integration gives one.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 iii Paper 320 1 d Solution 2026-09-28
For an intrinsic probability density function , the law of total probability averages the conditional density from part c. An object observed with ratio can only have , soThis is an Abel transform of . Its normalization follows by reversing the order of integration and using .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 iii Paper 320 1 f Solution 2026-09-28
Withthe factor cancels from the Abel transform:HenceThis probability density function is normalized and again favors rounder projections.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ii Paper 4 26K b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Let be independent and identically distributed random variables with the standard Cauchy distribution, whose probability density function isIts first absolute moment diverges sinceOn the other hand, its characteristic function is . The characteristic function of a sum of independent variables therefore givesThus the stability of the Cauchy distribution implies that has the standard Cauchy distribution for every . In particular,where is standard Cauchy and denotes convergence in distribution.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ii Paper 4 27J b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Let be the homogeneous Poisson point process in with intensity measure , and map each point to its radius . For an interval , the pushforward measure of the intensity isThe Mapping theorem for Poisson point processes therefore shows that the radii form a Non-homogeneous Poisson point process with intensity function
If is the distance to the closest star, the event says that the ball of radius contains no points. The zero-count probability of a Poisson distribution givesDifferentiating its cumulative distribution function yields the probability density function
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 356 2 a Solution 2026-09-28
The two-dimensional Fokker-Planck equation iswith Fokker-Planck probability currentThe point initial condition iswhere is the Dirac delta function. The reflecting boundary condition for a diffusion iswith the outward unit normal. This zero-flux condition conserves the integral of the probability density function over the square.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 210 2 Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
A kernel for density estimation is a bounded nonnegative integrable function with . Its bandwidth- rescaling is , and the kernel density estimator is
Fix and put . Since vanishes outside ,The Cauchy-Schwarz inequality and variance additivity for independent random variables giveNonnegativity also gives . Taking the better estimate at each and applying Tonelli theorem proves
For nonnegative and , . Taking yieldsFor , the Holder inequality with conjugate exponents and givesIf is uniform on and independent of , then has probability density function . Sincethe last integral is at most . Substitution proves the second displayed bound. The case is the first bound integrated using and follows directly.
Prior density 2026-10-07
A prior density is the probability density function of a continuous prior distribution with respect to a specified reference measure. A proper prior density is nonnegative and integrates to one. Prior-density factors enter Bayesian posterior and RJ-MCMC acceptance formulas along with the likelihood and model prior probabilities.
Quadratic density derivative functional 2026-10-07
The squared L2 norm of a probability density function derivative measures roughness and appears in optimal smoothing constants. For , its directional derivative along a smooth compactly supported perturbation is . When integration by parts is valid twice, this equals . Thus regular root- estimation requires substantially more regularity than merely estimating a smooth probability density function.
Quantile derivative identity 2026-10-06
If is the quantile function of an absolutely continuous probability distribution with probability density function , then for almost every . Gaps in the support may give jumps in , so the identity concerns its ordinary almost-everywhere derivative. It follows by differentiating the inverse relation to the cumulative distribution function.
Rayleigh distribution Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-07
At unit scale the probability density function is for . Its square has an exponential distribution of rate . Thus has this distribution for a uniform distribution variable on .
Reversible density-ratio propagation Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-07
For a reversible Markov chain with stationary distribution and , detailed balance givesTo prove this, integrate either side against a bounded test function and exchange the two endpoints using detailed balance. If , the output probability density function is . A reverse simulation can therefore estimate this density ratio without evaluating a transition probability density function.
Second-order pointwise bias bound for kernel density estimation Created 2026-10-05 Updated 2026-10-06
Let a nonnegative kernel for density estimation have integral one, zero first moment and finite second moment . If a probability density function has bounded second derivative, its kernel density estimator has pointwise bias at most . Apply the Taylor theorem with Lagrange remainder to and integrate: the first-order term vanishes and the remainder is bounded by . For , .