Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2002 iii Paper 29 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let be the normal distribution density. The Brownian reflection principle gives the killed endpoint densityIndeed, reflection after the first hit of maps paths ending below that have hit the barrier to paths ending at ; symmetry gives .
By the Girsanov theorem, weighting the path law by makes the coordinate process a Brownian motion with drift . Completing the two squares yieldsIntegration up to proves the joint endpoint and maximum law for drifted Brownian motion:Here is the standard normal distribution function. Setting also gives a continuous barrier distribution, so equality at the barrier has zero probability.
For the up-and-in option, use the risk-neutral measure of the Black-Scholes model with interest rate and spot volatility . ThenAbove , the barrier has certainly been reached. Below , subtracting the killed density from the unrestricted endpoint density leaves . Thus the discounted expected value of its payoff isIn the second integral put , and defineThen , means , and . Both integrals now use the unrestricted terminal stock distribution. This proves that the reflected European payoff for an up-and-in option isTheir initial risk-neutral pricing values agree for payoffs with finite absolute expectations in these integrals. The identity concerns prices; the two terminal payoffs need not agree along individual paths.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2002 iii Paper 29 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let , , and let have the standard normal distribution. For a twice differentiable payoff with enough growth control for the following expectations and derivatives, risk-neutral pricing in the dividend-free Black-Scholes model givesThe conditional discounted payoff is a martingale under the risk-neutral measure. Applying the Itô formula to and setting its drift to zero therefore gives the Black-Scholes equationThe delta hedge holds shares; the remaining bond value is , or units of the zero-coupon bond. Substitution in the Itô formula and the displayed equation gives , proving replication and self-financing.
Differentiating the pricing expectation in the current stock price gives its option delta and option gamma:Thus a nondecreasing payoff has a nondecreasing price; a nonincreasing payoff has a nonincreasing price. A convex payoff has , and a concave payoff has . This is convexity preservation in Black-Scholes pricing.
The Black-Scholes parameter sensitivities follow directly from the same expectation. Differentiation in the interest rate gives the option rhoFor spot volatility, differentiation first givesThe Gaussian integration by parts identity , applied to , cancels the term containing and gives the option vegaConsequently increasing spot volatility increases a convex payoff's value and decreases a concave payoff's value, with weak inequalities in affine or degenerate cases. A short bond position gives positive option rho, while a long bond position gives negative option rho. The physical stock drift does not enter these prices: the risk-neutral measure replaces it by .
The option theta is the calendar-time derivative at fixed current stock price. The Black-Scholes equation givesFor , a convex payoff with therefore has , while a concave payoff with has . The signs are strict when . At , an affine payoff can give equality. Remaining-maturity sensitivity is when the payoff is independent of . All these time comparisons hold at fixed current stock price.
The stated time-monotonicity conclusion needs the nonnegative-rate condition. For example, the convex affine payoff hasThus with negative interest rates it provides an explicit counterexample even though the replica is short in bonds.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 34 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let the bank account be , where is the one-period riskless gross return. In the binomial market, is either or , with and both successors having positive physical probability. The information at time consists of the first moves. A trading strategy chooses its holdings using only this information. A self-financing portfolio funds rebalancing from its current value; there is no external contribution.
Absence of arbitrage requires . If , borrowing to buy the stock yields a nonnegative gain, strictly positive on the up branch; if , shorting the stock and investing its price yields the reverse arbitrage. When , define the risk-neutral probability in a binomial marketGiving each successive up move conditional probability defines an equivalent martingale measure , since every finite path has positive probability and .
For a contingent claim with successor values at a node of current stock value , solve the two replication equations. The number of shares and current cash value areThen and , so the replicating strategy costsHold bank-account units over that period. Starting with the terminal payoff and applying these equations backwards supplies an adapted self-financing strategy replicating every path-dependent contingent claim. This proves market completeness. A different claim price would permit an arbitrage by buying the cheaper claim or replica and selling the dearer one. Iterating the backward pricing relation gives the unique risk-neutral pricing formulaThe physical up probability affects real-world frequencies but does not enter this replication price.
For a terminal payoff , write . Its current price is the restriction to the available nodes of the functionIf is convex, each summand is convex in and each weight is positive; summing their defining convexity inequalities proves that is convex. This provides an explicit convex extension between the actual stock nodes, so “convex on the nodes” is unambiguous. If is strictly convex, each positive scaling preserves strict convexity, so is strictly convex as well.
For the replicating portfolio in a binomial market, the stock holding isFor , let . The next down and up holdings are the secant slopes of on the adjacent intervals with endpoints :For any convex function and , its defining inequality at rearranges to . The inequality is strict for a strictly convex function. Applying this to the three stock values orders the two next holdings. Meanwhile the backward pricing relation gives, by subtracting its values at and ,The coefficients are strictly positive and sum to one. Therefore the current share holding lies between the next two holdings:Both inequalities are strict for a strictly convex payoff. For an affine payoff the share holding is constant, explaining the required weak interpretation. These are numbers of shares, not the fraction of portfolio wealth invested in the stock.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 34 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
A useful finite-horizon form of the Girsanov theorem is as follows. Let be a Brownian motion and an adapted, progressively measurable process with almost surely. Suppose its stochastic exponentialis a true martingale with mean one. The Novikov condition is a sufficient condition. Under the equivalent probability measure , the process is a Brownian motion.
For the proof sketch, the Itô formula gives . Integration by parts cancels the drift in , since from cancels . After localization, the Bayes formula for conditional expectation makes a continuous local martingale under . Its quadratic variation is still , because adding a finite-variation process does not change quadratic variation. One can see the Brownian conclusion directly: for real , the Itô formula makes a local martingale. Its modulus is bounded on the fixed horizon, so it is a true martingale. ThusThis is the conditional characteristic function of a centered normal distribution with variance , independent of the past. Continuity and these independent normal increments give the defining properties of Brownian motion.
Now put and , the standard normal distribution function. At zero drift the endpoint density of paths staying below isIndeed, reflect the portion of a path after its first hitting time of . By continuity and the independent symmetric Brownian motion increments after this stopping time, reflection preserves its probability law and maps a crossing path ending at to a path ending at . This subtracts exactly from the unrestricted endpoint density; it is the Brownian reflection principle.
Taking the constant drift tilt in the Girsanov theorem makes under have the same law as under . Therefore the desired finite-horizon maximum of Brownian motion with drift has probabilityCompleting squares gives and . HenceThe maximum has no atom at a positive level, so strict and weak barrier inequalities agree. This also follows from continuity of the displayed distribution function. At the formula reduces to .
For the up-and-out power claim, write and use the risk-neutral measure for the Black-Scholes model, under whichwith . The barrier survives exactly when . Its risk-neutral pricing value isThe factor inside the expectation is a mean-one Exponential martingale for Brownian motion. Under the probability tilted by it, is a Brownian motion, so the barrier process has drift . Applying the preceding survival formula yieldsAs , the bracket tends to one and the price becomes the discounted second moment . As , it tends to zero. If , use the deterministic path instead: the price is when , and zero otherwise. At , with , the price is simply .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 34 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Write , and specify the physical Black-Scholes model as , with constant and bank rate . The physical drift is needed for an expected utility calculation; a pricing model specified only under a risk-neutral measure does not determine the investor's preferences over risky positions. PutHere is the market price of risk, is the density of the risk-neutral measure , and is the state-price density. The Girsanov theorem makes a Brownian motion under .
For a dollar holding in the stock and consumption rate , the portfolio wealth equation isSince , integration by parts gives the useful deflated wealth equation with consumptionFor strategies with a true deflated gain martingale, terminal wealth and consumption obey the state-price budget constraintFor nonnegative wealth and consumption, the admissibility condition can instead give a budget inequality; increasing utilities use the full budget at an optimum. Conversely, suitable integrable payoff and consumption plans with this budget are financeable in the Brownian complete market. To construct the strategy, setBy the Brownian martingale representation theorem, write . The required dollar stock holding is ; substitution in the deflated gain equation verifies financing. Remaining wealth goes into the bank account. For square-integrable data the representation holds directly, and localization handles the customary integrable admissible data.
First take no consumption. For an increasing strictly concave differentiable utility function whose marginal derivative can be inverted, let . Choose so thatThis candidate is not merely a first-order guess. The concave supporting-tangent inequality gives, pointwise,Taking expectations and using the budget proves for every feasible competitor. Finance the optimizer by its risk-neutral pricing value , using the preceding representation to find the holdings.
For a merely concave differentiable utility function, the general formulation is to select from the maximizers of over its wealth domain, and choose the multiplier to satisfy the budget. If increasing utility is not assumed, the equality-budget multiplier may have either sign; the positive-multiplier inverse formula above is for increasing utility. Flat portions allow multiple maximizers; boundaries require one-sided inequalities rather than equality of marginal derivatives. Existence of a multiplier, integrability and an admissible maximizer must be checked. Concavity alone does not guarantee a well-posed problem: with unrestricted dollar positions, linear utility and permits unbounded expected terminal wealth. The explicit utilities below satisfy the needed conditions in their stated domains.
For exponential utility on , and . ThereforeThe budget is equivalently , since . Under , , giving . HenceMatching the Brownian coefficient of with gives the finite-horizon exponential-utility portfolioHold shares and invest in the bank account. This is a dollar amount, not a fixed wealth fraction. The Gaussian exponential formula also gives the optimal expected utilityThis calculation uses unrestricted wealth and an admissibility class permitting the displayed Gaussian terminal wealth, with integrable deflated gains and the relevant exponential moment. A nonnegative-wealth constraint would change the optimizer; no such constraint is imposed on this exponential-utility example.
For both terminal and running utility function, choose and a nonnegative adapted consumption rate to maximize subject to the combined budget. Pointwise maximization of and gives, for interior strictly concave cases,Apply the concave supporting-tangent inequality to and to at every time, then integrate and take expectations. The difference in objectives is at most times the difference in budget expenditures, which is nonpositive. This proves optimality, not just the marginal conditions. The financing value isThe question's consumption rate is denoted here to keep it distinct from interest-rate notation.
For logarithmic utility with , , assume and positive wealth and consumption. The marginal conditions and budget giveEach state-price-weighted payment is deterministic, so conditional valuation immediately gives . Put . Since the Itô formula gives , this value satisfiesComparison with the wealth equation verifies the complete finite-horizon logarithmic investment and consumption strategy:Thus the optimal share holding is , and the remaining value is in the bank account; borrowing or shorting is allowed if that value or the stock holding is negative. Terminal wealth is positive and consumption is positive throughout. Finally , so the optimal objective, if desired explicitly, isFinite-horizon lognormal moments ensure the budget and expected utilities are finite, completing the feasibility and optimality checks.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 35 3 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
The usual replication argument needs two hypotheses implicit in the pricing conclusion: the strategy must replicate the payoff, , and its discounted gains must be integrable. Bounded predictable risky holdings suffice for the latter. Under these conditions, the equivalent martingale measure and part (c) giveThus discounted wealth is a martingale, and repeated conditioning givesFor a normalized initial bank account, , deterministic terminal bank value, and trivial initial information, this reduces to the intended risk-neutral pricing formulaIf is random it must remain inside the expectation. If a claim is not replicable, the existence of an equivalent martingale measure alone does not make its arbitrage-free price unique.
The discounted wealth martingale integrability condition cannot simply be dropped. For a concrete counterexample, set , , , and , where is uniform on and an independent fair sign. These positive bounded prices form a martingale in the natural filtration. Start with zero holdings; at time one buy shares financed by borrowing . This is previsible and self-financing, but its terminal wealth is , whose absolute expectation is infinite. It is therefore not a martingale. The stated pricing proof applies to the standard integrable replication class, rather than all unconstrained previsible strategies.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 48 4 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Since , multiplying the given bond dynamics by cancels the drift and gives . For an integrable discounted terminal payoff, the risk-neutral value process is the discounted-payoff martingaleFor an attainable claim this also follows directly from its self-financing discounted wealth being a true martingale, with terminal value . In a Brownian market, the Brownian martingale representation theorem provides ; a traded bond with nonzero diffusion exposure can hedge it by holding bond units, with the remainder in the bank account. Thus, under the usual attainability and integrability assumptions, this construction gives the replicated price as well as the risk-neutral pricing formula.
Because is -measurable,In a general Heath-Jarrow-Morton model, writing this value as requires an additional state-reduction assumption. The conditional expectation is valid without asserting that the short rate alone is the full state.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let the one-period riskless gross return be , with , and let the physical up probability be . The binomial market has risk-neutral probabilityUnder its equivalent martingale measure , successive multipliers are independent, taking with probabilities . The risk-neutral pricing function has the extensionFor every fixed positive multiplier , the function is convex when is convex. Taking a positive weighted sum preserves convexity. More explicitly, for ,Thus the pricing extension is convex, and so are its values on the attainable stock-price grid.
The replicating portfolio in a binomial market holdsshares over the next interval. If , put and . These are the secant slopes of on and , respectively. For a convex function, the slope of a secant on a later adjacent interval is no smaller than that on the earlier interval: apply the defining convexity inequality to the middle point , then rearrange. Hence . Using backward option pricing twice givesThe two coefficients are positive and sum to one. Therefore convex-payoff delta monotonicity in a binomial market yieldsIn particular an up move cannot reduce the stock holding. “Increases” here means nondecreases: an affine payoff gives equality, so strict increase cannot be claimed for every convex payoff.
For the expected utility maximization problem, let be the physical measure and on terminal paths. If a path has up moves, its binomial-market probability density isEvery terminal payoff is replicable in this complete market. Buying a positive payoff with initial wealth therefore imposes the state-price budget constraint . Since the utility function is increasing, the full budget is used. Its derivative and second derivative arePut . The first-order condition for a positive multiplier gives . The budget determines uniquely. Independence of the successive moves givesThus the optimal claim, as a function of the number of up moves, isBecause uniquely determines , this is also a terminal-stock-price payoff, attainable by backward option pricing and claim replication. It rewards states relatively more probable under the investor's physical measure than under the pricing measure. If , the optimum is the riskless payoff .
To prove global optimality rather than merely assert a stationary point, use the tangent inequality for the strictly concave function :Taking physical expectations makes the last term zero for any fully financed competing claim, and nonpositive for any claim costing less. Therefore , with equality only when almost surely. Finiteness causes no difficulty on the finite binomial tree, and in every terminal state.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Subtract the boundary slope from the Brownian motion: . Then is the first-passage time of to the fixed level . The zero-drift Brownian reflection principle givesHere is the standard normal distribution function. To change the drift to , use the Girsanov theorem on each finite horizon, with density . On , conditional expectation at the stopped time gives , because the density is a true martingale. Since , the drifted Brownian first-passage density is consequentlyThere may be additional mass at infinite hitting time; the displayed density only describes finite passage. With , apply the given zero-drift Brownian first-passage Laplace transform:The zero-discount limit is for and for , so the hitting probability is less than one precisely when the line moves away with positive slope.
For a direct verification of the linear-boundary Brownian first-passage distribution, defineBoth terms tend to zero as . Let be the standard normal density. The identityfollows by expanding the two squares. Differentiating the two normal probabilities then givesSince this is the previously derived hitting density and both distribution functions start at zero,This proof applies to every real , including the defective distribution when .
For the barrier digital put, use the dividend-free Black-Scholes model with constant interest rate and spot volatility . Under the risk-neutral measure,Set andReaching the barrier is equivalent to reaching . The contingent claim pays one only on the survival event . Risk-neutral pricing therefore givesThis is a path-survival price, not the price of a terminal digital put option. Continuity of the stock paths and the absence of an atom in the finite-horizon maximum imply that alternative touching conventions change no price. As , the value tends to ; as , it tends to zero. Both checks agree with the survival interpretation.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let , , , and . Use a dividend-free Black-Scholes model with constant interest rate . The terminal payoff is assumed independent of the parameters being varied. In addition to twice differentiability, impose enough integrability to differentiate the pricing formula; for example, of polynomial growth suffice. Twice differentiability alone is not enough: the smooth payoff has infinite expectation under every nondegenerate lognormal distribution.
Under the risk-neutral measure , future stock values conditional on have the formClaim replication, or equivalently the martingale property of discounted value in the complete market, givesThe replicating strategy holds the option delta shares and bank-account value . No physical drift parameter appears: the Girsanov theorem replaces the physical drift by under the pricing measure, and the replication argument cancels it directly. The risk-neutral pricing operator is linear in the payoff and preserves pointwise payoff inequalities.
Here is a verification of the Black-Scholes equation using the integral itself. Differentiation in spot givesDifferentiating with respect to givesFor , the Gaussian integration by parts identity yieldsSubstitution cancels the term and provesSince , this is precisely the Black-Scholes equation. As , and growth control permits passage to the limit, giving . The delta hedge then supplies the admissible replicating gains under the same regularity assumptions.
The Black-Scholes parameter sensitivities describe the dependence on the model parameters without assuming a particular payoff. If is increasing, then . If is convex, then , so its price is convex in spot. The option gamma measures the response of the option delta to spot changes.
For the interest rate, the distribution of the future stock also changes with , so looking only at discounting gives the wrong general answer. Differentiation gives the option rhoThus a short bank-account position gives positive rate sensitivity, while a positive bank-account position gives negative rate sensitivity. For a cash payoff the result is negative; for the payoff it is zero.
For spot volatility, differentiate the lognormal multiplier and then use Gaussian integration by parts:Consequently a convex payoff has nonnegative option vega. This monotonicity can also be understood by a mean-preserving increase of dispersion in the discounted stock. Strict positivity requires nonzero curvature seen with positive probability; an affine payoff has zero option vega.
Time enters through the remaining maturity . Holding spot fixed, the Black-Scholes equation givesUnder the conventional assumption , a convex payoff and a short bond position imply . The inequality is strict if , or if with positive volatility. Thus the price at fixed stock value is nonincreasing in calendar time, and nondecreasing in maturity, under these hypotheses. It is not a claim that the realized stochastic price path decreases: that path still has Brownian exposure .
The printed conclusion needs the nonnegative-rate qualification; it is false for arbitrary negative rates. For , the twice-differentiable convex payoff hasThis is an exact counterexample, not a failure of the pricing formula. Also, with and an affine payoff, “decreasing” can only mean nonincreasing. Without payoff monotonicity or the specified bond-position sign, neither the spot nor rate nor time sensitivity has a universal sign. Any additional payoff parameter, such as a strike, is differentiated through ; pointwise payoff ordering, rather than a generic parameter rule, determines its price effect.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 39 6 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
An interest rate model must describe a whole term structure of interest rates, not just one future scalar rate. Let be the time- price of a unit zero-coupon bond maturing at . For a sufficiently regular maturity curve, define the instantaneous forward rate and short rate bySince , integration givesHere is the continuous-time bank account. Thus modelling the two-parameter field determines both the bonds and the discounting account. A Gaussian random field means that every finite collection of its values is jointly Gaussian; merely making each individual forward rate normally distributed is insufficient.
A useful arbitrage-free construction works under a money-market risk-neutral measure . Take independent Brownian motions , deterministic coefficient sequences , and a deterministic initial forward curve . With the coefficients viewed as vectors in a separable Hilbert space , writeFor infinitely many factors, the last term means the limit of , not an assumption that the infinite vector of Brownian motions is itself -valued. Require and the maturity/time regularity needed for stochastic integration and exchange of integrals. Deterministic drift and volatility make this a Gaussian forward-rate field.
The field covariance is determined byFor every finite set of maturities, must be positive semidefinite. A one-factor model has rank-one instantaneous covariance, while additional or infinitely many factors permit richer correlations along the yield curve. Equivalently one can drive the curve with a maturity-correlated Brownian field satisfying . A Brownian sheet gives the exampleMultiplication by deterministic maturity-dependent amplitudes, or deterministic increasing changes of the two sheet coordinates, gives further Gaussian covariance structures. A covariance specification alone is not sufficient: the forward drift must also obey absence of arbitrage.
To derive that drift restriction, putDifferentiate the moving lower endpoint in to obtainThe Itô formula therefore givesDiscounted bond prices must be martingales under . Their drift vanishes precisely when . Differentiating in maturity gives the Heath-Jarrow-Morton model restrictionFor scalar amplitudes multiplying a field with covariance kernel , this becomes . The extra maturity correlation factor cannot in general be dropped.
The complete Gaussian specification is consequentlyIts mean and covariance follow immediately from deterministic integration and the Itô isometry. The initial yield curve is an input, so fitting initial bond prices requires choosing rather than changing a few scalar parameters. With the displayed drift, the discounted bond obeysOn finite horizons, deterministic square-integrable bond volatility gives an expectation-one stochastic exponential, hence a true discounted bond price martingale. This supplies an arbitrage-free pricing model for admissible portfolios in any finite collection of these bonds. Under a physical measure, a market price of risk vector changes the drift: if , then the physical forward drift is . Historical mean changes must therefore not be inserted in place of the risk-neutral drift restriction. Gaussianity under both measures additionally requires suitable deterministic drift changes; state-dependent risk premiums need not preserve Gaussianity under the physical measure.
There is also a useful general consistency test for a proposed Gaussian field beyond this independent-increment construction. DefineIn the filtration generated by a Gaussian field, conditional distributions of such linear functionals are Gaussian. For , the martingale requirement is therefore exactlyThis follows by taking the conditional exponential moment and equating it to . It constrains both the deterministic mean and the covariance-induced conditional mean. Matching only unconditional discounted bond expectations does not suffice. For the Brownian-field construction, the Heath-Jarrow-Morton model restriction realizes this consistency condition through local drift cancellation.
Gaussian structure makes risk-neutral pricing particularly tractable. As a finite-factor example, take the Vasicek model under :Solving this Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process gives, for ,Hence, with and , the conditional Gaussian integral hasThe exponential moment identity for a normal variable now gives the zero-coupon bond price , whereThis outlines the derivation of the familiar exponential-affine form without assuming a deterministic future discount rate. More general forward-field models need not reduce to a finite-dimensional Markov short-rate process.
For another application, a call at time on a unit maturity- bond, with and strike , is priced under the T-forward measure, using as numéraire. The bond-price ratio is a martingale under that measure and has deterministic volatility . It is consequently lognormal, with integrated log-varianceIntegrating the lognormal payoff gives the Gaussian bond-option formulaAt use . The same idea prices other suitable Gaussian-rate derivatives through forward measures and normal exponential moments.
The attractions are exact initial-curve fitting, explicit covariance control across maturities, and tractable bond and option prices. The limitations are also structural: Gaussian short rates and instantaneous forward rates generally can be negative; finite-factor specifications restrict maturity correlations; and deterministic volatilities cannot reproduce arbitrary stochastic changes in rate dispersion. An infinite-factor model allows richer covariance but typically leaves risks that cannot be spanned by finitely many traded bonds. Thus Gaussianity is a useful modelling choice, not by itself a guarantee of positivity, market completeness, or absence of arbitrage.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 41 2 iv Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
For the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein diffusion approximation, fix calendar maturity , take , and choose , , and the one-step bank factor . For sufficiently fine mesh, . The risk-neutral probability expands asEach stock log-increment is . Its mean under is and its variance is . Independent increments, their vanishing maximum size, and the Donsker invariance principle for this triangular array give the path limitExponentiation gives the geometric Brownian motion of the Black-Scholes model, and the bank account tends to .
The physical model is matched by taking . Its corresponding limit has log drift , so . The likelihood ratios from part (ii) have the matching continuous-time limit. With , a Taylor expansion of their two possible log-multipliers giveswhere is or . Thus the limiting Radon-Nikodym derivative is the Girsanov theorem density , turning the physical stock drift into .
The binomial risk-neutral pricing formula converges to for bounded continuous terminal payoffs by convergence in distribution. For ordinary call and put payoffs, uniform stock second-moment bounds give the required uniform integrability and hence convergence despite unboundedness. Bounded payoffs with discontinuities only at events of zero limiting probability are handled by the same weak-convergence criterion. Corresponding continuous path functionals can be treated at the process level. Arbitrary discontinuous path claims do not follow from weak convergence without further conditions. In the smooth limiting model, the discrete hedging difference quotient becomes the delta hedge , and its value satisfies the Black-Scholes equation.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 39 2 iii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let be the unique equivalent martingale measure. The risk-neutral pricing formula isFor the usual nonnegative strike and maturities , the monotonic bank account gives . ThereforeThe second inequality follows directly since the conditional expectation of a positive part is at least both zero and the conditional expectation of its argument; it is also conditional Jensen's inequality. Taking expectations proves , the maturity monotonicity of calls with nonnegative strikes.
If , then pointwise; positive discounting and expectation prove monotonicity of a European call price in strike. For , the pointwise inequalitygives convexity of a European call price in strike after the same operations. HenceThe maturity assertion uses ; it need not hold for a negative strike. For example, in the deterministic complete market with , a negative-strike call has price , which decreases with . The monotonicity assertions are non-strict, as equality can occur.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 39 4 ii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let denote the standard normal distribution cumulative distribution function, and its density. Put . For and , defineUnder the risk-neutral measure, conditional on ,Thus . The identity for the standard Gaussian distribution probability density function givesSplit the payout according to whether the stock exceeds the floor and discount. The risk-neutral pricing process isIts discounted value is , a true martingale. Thus adding this asset preserves the equivalent martingale measure and gives no arbitrage. This is the guaranteed terminal stock floor in the Black-Scholes model. For , positivity of the stock makes the claim simply , and the price is .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 39 5 iii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
The diffusion coefficient becomes , so the stock is a driftless square-root diffusion, with zero taken as an absorbing boundary. Substitution of into the pricing equation for a local volatility model givesEquating the constant and linear terms and imposing the terminal payoff givesThus and , and the price isThis is the exponential claim in a driftless square-root model. At the absorbing boundary its value is , matching the payoff at zero.
The payoff in this part is unbounded, unlike the payoff assumed in part (i), so it is useful to verify that the proposed price is a finite conditional expectation. For , starting from stock value , defineThen , , and . By Itô formula, is a bounded local martingale, hence a true martingale. It follows thatThis is also the Laplace transform of a sum of independent variables with exponential distribution of rate , where has Poisson distribution of mean and is independent of the summands: its transform is . Uniqueness of the Laplace transform therefore gives the compound Poisson transition law of a driftless square-root diffusion. The exponential distribution jump has exponential moment whenever . Summing over the Poisson distribution yieldsFor the remaining horizon , this is finite and, by the Markov property, is precisely . Thus the displayed process is indeed the risk-neutral pricing value and a true martingale. The replicating strategy from part (ii) has and .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 39 6 i Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let denote the given unique equivalent martingale measure. A zero-coupon bond paying one at has risk-neutral pricing valueWrite . Split the integrated short rate into its known and future parts:By integrating the future Brownian motion increments in the opposite order, the last integral equals . It is independent of and is a Gaussian random variable of mean zero and varianceThe Gaussian exponential moment formula for centered therefore gives the bond price in this Gaussian short-rate model with a deterministic shift:The instantaneous forward rate is the negative maturity derivative of the logarithm of the bond price. ConsequentlyIn particular, and , as required. The derivative formula is pointwise for continuous and almost everywhere for locally integrable .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2011 ii Paper 3 29J i Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
A standard Brownian motion starts at zero, has continuous sample paths and independent increments, with for .
Assume and ; changing the sign of just changes the sign of Brownian motion. Itô formula gives . In the complete Black-Scholes model, the risk-neutral pricing theorem prices an integrable payoff by , where the discounted asset is a martingale. Girsanov theorem therefore replaces the logarithmic drift by :Let and . The exercise event is . Completing the square in the Gaussian integral yieldsConsequently and . Thus the European call option price isThe physical drift disappears because the price is obtained under the martingale measure. If in an arbitrage-free deterministic model, and the formula is interpreted by its zero-volatility limit.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 ii Paper 3 29K a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
PutThe call payoff is , and it is positive whenWriting for the standard normal density, the given risk-neutral pricing formula becomesCompleting the square givesso the two tail integrals are and , where is the standard normal distribution function. Therefore the Black-Scholes formula is
The payoff identityreplicates the call-minus-put position by one stock and borrowing the present value of . Hence put-call parity givesand therefore
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 ii Paper 3 29K b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
For , set andUnder the equivalent martingale measure, conditional log-normality givesThe risk-neutral pricing value of the digital call option is consequentlyAt this converges to the stated payoff away from , with the payoff convention specifying the boundary value.
The delta hedge holds the derivative of the claim value with respect to the current stock price. Sincethe number of risky-asset units for isThis is the Black-Scholes digital option formula. The hedge becomes singular close to maturity near the strike, reflecting the discontinuity of the payoff.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2020 ii Paper 4 29K iii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-29