Arbitrage Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
An arbitrage is an allowed self-financing portfolio with zero initial wealth, nonnegative terminal portfolio wealth almost surely under the physical probability measure , and strictly positive terminal wealth with positive probability. In a finite model where every state has positive probability, nonnegativity means no loss in any state. Positive expected return alone does not establish arbitrage: losses may still occur.
For the binomial market example, suppose the European call option sells for 13 while its replicating portfolio costs . Sell the call, buy its replicating portfolio, and lend the surplus in the bank account. The initial net cost is zero. At maturity the call obligation and portfolio cancel in either state, leaving . A price below permits the reversed construction, using short selling and borrowing. This is the law of one price made operational; the assumed trading permissions are essential.
Constant-proportion portfolio 2026-10-14
A constant-proportion portfolio holds a fixed fraction of its portfolio wealth in the stock. In the Black-Scholes model with bank rate , initial wealth , and no consumption, its value isThe stock holding is and the remaining value is invested in the bank account. The Itô formula verifies when the physical stock drift is .
If satisfies the pricing equation for a local volatility model, hold stocks and units of the bank account. Their value is . The pricing equation for a local volatility model and Itô formula giveThus this is a self-financing strategy, with terminal value . It is a delta hedge, and nonnegative makes its wealth an admissible trading strategy. The stock and bank wealth amounts are and , rather than the asset-unit holdings.
Discrete-time binomial market Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
At each node a positive stock price moves to or , with , while a bank account grows by a fixed gross factor . Assume both successors have positive physical probability, no dividends, a frictionless market with no trading costs, divisible holdings, unrestricted short selling, and borrowing and lending at the same fixed . A self-financing portfolio receives no outside cash after its initial funding; subsequent rebalancing uses its own proceeds.
This binomial market excludes arbitrage exactly when . If , borrowing to buy one share gives terminal gains or ; these are nonnegative and one is positive. If , short selling one share and lending its proceeds gives the analogous arbitrage. Strict inequalities allow a positive risk-neutral probability for each state. The two traded payoffs also span both successor states, giving market completeness relative to the information generated by this tree.
Financial asset 2026-10-14
A traded claim or instrument carrying a current price and future payments or resale value. In a one-period financial market, its terminal payoff is a random variable and a portfolio combines payoffs linearly through its asset holdings. A stock, a zero-coupon bond and a bank account are basic examples. Dividends require treating the full gain process rather than only resale prices.
Mathematical finance Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-18
Mathematical finance uses probability theory, linear algebra and mathematical optimization to study financial markets, portfolio decisions and contingent claim prices. One question asks which portfolio best serves a specified objective; another asks what price a contingent claim must have to exclude arbitrage. The latter can have an exact answer even when future stock prices are uncertain.
The central idea is claim replication: construct a self-financing portfolio delivering the same financial payoff as a contract in every possible state. The law of one price then identifies the contract's price with the portfolio's initial cost. The binomial market makes this beautiful connection between uncertainty and linear algebra visible using just two equations. Risk-neutral pricing expresses the same cost as a discounted expectation.
The one-step example below fixes today's stock price at 100, terminal prices at 120 or 80, and the bank account's gross growth factor at 1.05. A European call option with strike price 100 pays 20 or zero. Its replicating portfolio in a binomial market costs , independently of the physical up probability, provided both states remain possible. These are conclusions within the specified financial market model.
If the bank account is positive and nondecreasing and is a martingale under an equivalent martingale measure , then for the European call price is nondecreasing in . Put . For , and hence . Conditional convexity gives . Taking expectations and multiplying by proves the claim. The result is not generally true for negative strikes: with and , a negative-strike call costs , decreasing in maturity.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 22 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Fix a finite horizon , a filtration , a positive bank account with predictable one-step growth, ex-dividend risky prices , and asset dividends paid at date . Put and . An equivalent martingale measure makes the discounted cum-dividend gainsmartingales; equivalently . It is these gains, not necessarily the discounted ex-dividend prices alone, which enter the definition.
Let be risky holdings chosen at date and carried to date . Let be the portfolio's net cash distribution to its owner at date , and its remaining value after that distribution and rebalancing. A self-financing portfolio with these distributions has the budget identityTo see this, value the previous stock and bank holdings at the new prices, add the asset dividends, subtract the owner distribution, and observe that the discounted bank holding is unchanged. Rebalancing then alters holdings but not value. An asset dividend reinvested in the portfolio is already in the gain term; it is not also an owner distribution.
For a predictable strategy whose gains are integrable under (bounded holdings in a finite-state market suffice), conditioning the gain increment gives zero. Therefore discounted remaining wealth plus cumulative discounted owner payments is a martingale. Conditioning its terminal value proves the multi-period dividend pricing identityThe relation holds under every equivalent martingale measure for which these integrability conditions hold. Each payment is discounted from its own payment date, not from one common terminal date. The expression inside the expectation is in bank account units; multiplication by returns current currency units.
When the portfolio is liquidated and all its final value is paid out, after liquidation and that value is included in . The displayed identity then involves only future discounted distributions. Without liquidation, the terminal value must remain. A bank account holding with no coupons before redemption has positive value despite having no intervening dividends; omitting its redemption or terminal holding value would plainly give the wrong result. In an infinite horizon, deleting the terminal term instead requires a dividend-price transversality condition, namely convergence of its conditional discounted expectation to zero.
For a traded asset the same proof gives its discounted expected dividends plus terminal sale value. For a replicated claim paid only at , it gives . In a complete market this prices every admissible claim uniquely. In an incomplete market only the portfolio's attainable payout stream has this common value under all measures; an arbitrary unattainable payoff can have different expectations under different measures. For a merely dominated measure the conditional identity holds -almost surely; it makes no assertion on physical states assigned zero mass by . External capital injections must also be counted, as negative owner distributions. Thus the valuation principle follows from the gain martingale and the trading budget, together with the terminal convention and integrability, rather than from unconditional averaging of arbitrary future cash flows.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 22 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Assume on positive prices before maturity and the usual local trading integrability. If its value is held in stock units and bank units , thenfor a self-financing portfolio. The Itô formula diffusion coefficient is , so forces and . Equating drifts yieldsThe physical drift cancels, giving the Black-Scholes equationConversely, if the smooth function satisfies this equation, set and . Substituting into Itô formula gives exactly , so these holdings are self-financing. This checks the holdings as well as the value equation; a partial differential equation solution does not justify arbitrary prescribed holdings. Appropriate admissibility and growth conditions are imposed when using it as an economic price.
For the logarithmic stock payoff, let and condition on . Under the risk-neutral measure,The normal exponential moment and its derivative giveThereforeThe option delta is the displayed stock holding. The bank account value is , so . Directly, and verify the partial differential equation, while verifies the payoff. Lognormal moments give the required pricing integrability. Since , the conditional price is bounded below over this finite horizon, so the resulting claim replication has the usual admissibility property.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 22 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Expected utility of terminal wealth. Let initial wealth be , maturity , and stock-dollar investment . A self-financing strategy in the Black-Scholes model has wealthChoose admissible strategies with nonnegative wealth, and an increasing strictly concave differentiable utility function satisfying the Inada conditions. Assume the required expectations are finite and the optimization is well posed; the resulting budget equation below must have a solution. Write andThis state-price density is the discounted density of the unique equivalent martingale measure. Nonnegative discounted wealth is a supermartingale under that measure, so every admissible terminal wealth obeys the state-price budget constraint .
Conversely a nonnegative terminal claim with finite such cost is financed by its conditional martingale price, which remains nonnegative; Brownian Martingale representation theorem constructs its holdings. Thus market completeness turns dynamic optimization into a terminal-payoff problem. Let be the inverse marginal utility, and choose from . Then the complete-market terminal utility optimizer isFor any feasible , concavity gives the pointwise tangent inequalityTaking expectations and using the budget proves optimality; strict concavity gives uniqueness up to null events. The optimal wealth process isIf its discounted martingale has representation , hold stock units and invest the remainder in the bank account. This derives the strategy, not only the terminal first-order condition.
The equivalent dynamic approach is the Bellman equation for terminal-wealth utility. For a smooth concave value , dynamic programming and Itô formula giveFor , maximizing the concave quadratic gives . For an arbitrary admissible control the Itô drift of is nonpositive; localization and integrability therefore bound its expected terminal utility by . The maximizing control makes the drift zero, giving equality when the verification expectations are valid.
For CRRA utility , , , substitution givesThe optimal stock fraction is constant. Its geometric wealth dynamics stay positive, so it is feasible. For logarithmic utility the fraction is and . Risk aversion controls the risky exposure, while the market price of risk controls its reward.
Pricing claims depending on the path. For a path-dependent contingent claim , the risk-neutral pricing process isFor square-integrable discounted , the Brownian Martingale representation theorem gives . Since , the replicating holding is , with bank units . Thus path dependence does not destroy market completeness; it changes the information needed to determine the price and hedge.
For an arithmetic Asian option, introduce and seek . Because , Itô formula givesThe stock holding is . The state records the already observed average; current stock price alone cannot recover it.
A Geometric Asian option admits an explicit conditional calculation. Let and . Conditional on time , the normal law of has mean and varianceIndeed its random part is , by stochastic Fubini; the Itô isometry gives . Completing the square in a normal exponential integral proves the conditional geometric-average Asian option formulafor . This explicitly includes the known past log-average. Holding that past integral fixed when differentiating the price gives the stock holdingThe normal-density derivative terms cancel because .
For a lookback option use . A floating-strike put pays . Its price obeys the ordinary Black-Scholes equation in , with terminal value . The extra Itô term is ; since is carried by , self-financing requires the running-maximum boundary for a lookback option before maturity. Equivalently its price follows from the upper-hitting probabilities in Question 3:This uses and . For a barrier option, the state must additionally record whether the barrier has already been hit; a no-rebate knockout price has an absorbing zero boundary. These augmentations give tractable PDEs or conditional-expectation computations while retaining the same martingale pricing and claim replication principle.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 22 6 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
The entire term structure is naturally indexed by observation time and maturity. Work under a risk-neutral measure and let be the instantaneous forward rate, with . Define the short rate , the bank account and the zero-coupon bond priceAn arbitrary Gaussian mean and covariance need not make these bond prices consistent. Absence of arbitrage requires the discounted traded bonds to be martingales under a suitable equivalent measure. We derive the constraint explicitly.
Consider the Gaussian forward-rate field with deterministic mean and centered Gaussian random field satisfyingThe maturity kernel is symmetric, and its increments in the first parameter must be positive semidefinite kernels. Assume continuity, separability and sufficient integrability for the following mean-square integrals and maturity derivatives. This covariance gives independent observation-time increments, while permitting correlated fluctuations across all maturities. The filtration contains the history of the whole observed forward curve.
For a fixed maturity , collect the past short rate and the present curve into the integrated Gaussian forward-rate processThen . Its centered Gaussian variance isFor and an observed field coordinate with , the covariance of with it is zero: the integrand isThe uncorrelated jointly Gaussian variables are independent principle therefore makes the increment independent of the earlier field filtration. Its variance is , since the same covariance calculation gives . Conditional Gaussian exponential expectation now givesHence the exact bond-martingale condition isDifferentiating in maturity, using symmetry of the covariance, gives the Gaussian forward-rate covariance drift restrictionThis is necessary and sufficient. For sufficiency, the derivatives of the half-variance identity agree by the displayed restriction. Its integration constant also agrees at , becauseThus the full identity follows for every , and the conditional expectation calculation proves a true martingale, not merely zero formal drift. The initial mean fits the observed initial curve exactly; thereafter the mean adjustment is fixed by the covariance.
If is time-differentiable, the forward drift is . Writingwith deterministic finite- or Hilbert-space factor loadings gives the Heath-Jarrow-Morton modelWith , Itô formula independently verifies bond drift . Finite-factor models give low-rank maturity correlations; a genuine random field or an infinite factor space permits a much richer covariance structure. Gaussian forward rates and short rates may be negative, although the exponential bond prices stay positive. Under a physical measure, a Girsanov theorem market-risk-premium change adds to the forward drift; deterministic premia preserve Gaussianity, whereas arbitrary adapted premia need not.
For a concrete two-parameter example, let be a standard Brownian sheet, so . The restriction givesIndeed . This demonstrates directly how a Gaussian random field determines the compensating forward drift.
For the one-factor constant-volatility case, , the Constant-coefficient Ho-Lee model hasandThese follow by integrating the explicit curve, not by assigning the short-rate drift independently. Exponentially decaying loadings instead give a Gaussian mean-reverting Hull-White model, with bond-rate loading .
A practical advantage is an explicit Gaussian bond-option formula. For a call of strike exercised at on a bond maturing at , use the T-forward measure with numéraire . The forward bond ratio has a lognormal distribution under that measure, with remaining integrated varianceIts martingale property makes the conditional log mean . Evaluating the positive-part lognormal integral givesFor , the limit is . The forward measure accounts for the stochastic short rate; discounting by one deterministic interest rate would generally be wrong. Calibration selects a positive-semidefinite covariance structure fitting observed rate co-movements and option prices, with the no-arbitrage mean restriction imposed afterward. With more independent factors than the available traded bond exposures span, the market is incomplete and additional claims need a specified pricing measure or risk-premium model. The Gaussian field is therefore a flexible curve model with explicit consistency and pricing equations, rather than a claim that all possible rate risks are hedgeable.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 23 3 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
One alternative is a stochastic volatility model, such as the Heston model:The parameters satisfy and , and . The square-root Itô diffusion has a nonnegative solution; is a standard sufficient condition for the positive initial variance not to hit zero. Mean reversion of allows persistent high- and low-volatility episodes, and negative can produce the empirical association between falling prices and rising volatility. Mixtures of conditional return distributions produce richer tails and option implied volatility shapes than constant-volatility geometric Brownian motion.
For data showing volatility clustering and option smiles, this is often a more useful fit. It is not universally superior: more parameters create estimation and calibration uncertainty, the model is more expensive to use, and its continuous price paths still exclude price jumps. With two independent noise directions and only a stock and a bank account, the market is generally incomplete, so a volatility risk premium or an extra traded instrument is needed for unique contingent claim pricing. The alternative improves flexibility at the cost of calibration and hedging complexity.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 23 3 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Assume a frictionless market with no taxes or transaction costs, unrestricted short selling and borrowing/lending at the same constant rate , continuous trading, and absence of arbitrage. The non-dividend-paying stock has geometric Brownian motion dynamics with constant , and the bank account satisfies . A contingent claim with no interim cash flows has sufficiently regular value , meaning before maturity; terminal financial payoff kinks can be handled by the smooth value for earlier times. Trading strategies are adapted, self-financing portfolios, and admissible trading strategies so that doubling strategies are excluded.
The Itô formula givesChoose shares and put the remaining value in the bank account. Its self-financing gain isMatching the contingent claim's gain to this replicating gain cancels the random increment and equates the drifts:This is the Black-Scholes equation. The argument uses the self-financing gain , not a product differential that incorrectly treats a changing as free cash. Rebalancing purchases are financed from the bank account. Conversely, a smooth solution with suitable growth and boundary conditions defines a delta hedge whose value replicates the contingent claim; law of one price identifies this value with the contingent claim price. Here is the current stock price, is time, is proportional volatility, is the risk-free rate, and is the contingent claim price. The physical expected return cancels because exposure to price risk has been hedged.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 23 5 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Under the specified risk-neutral measure, the Itô product rule and giveThus discounted traded zero-coupon bonds have zero drift. Assume the usual integrability and admissibility conditions that make discounted replicating values true martingales, not merely local martingales. If is an attainable financial payoff with , its self-financing portfolio value has terminal value and satisfiesMultiplying by yieldsThis proves the requested conditional pricing formula. In a Brownian filtration, the Martingale representation theorem realizes the discounted conditional expectation as a stochastic integral. If an available bond has nonzero Itô diffusion exposure, its holdings can match that integral, with the remaining value in the bank account, giving replication under the usual square-integrability conditions.
These attainability or market completeness hypotheses matter for a completely arbitrary contingent claim: existence of a risk-neutral measure alone need not imply a unique price for every unspanned financial payoff, and a zero-drift local martingale alone need not satisfy the displayed terminal expectation identity. In the general path-dependent Heath-Jarrow-Morton model, write the value as ; notation is justified only when the current short rate is a sufficient state for the financial payoff and dynamics.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2002 iii Paper 29 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Take bank-account values with , and let the stock multiply independently by or at each step, where . Under the physical probability measure , the up probability is ; the filtration records the successive moves. These assumptions specify the standard binomial market. If lies outside the strict interval , a long or short stock position financed through the bank account gives an arbitrage.
The risk-neutral probability in a binomial market is fixed by , givingFor successor claim values at a node with current stock price , solve the two replication equations. The current stock holding and current cash value areThe cost of this replicating portfolio in a binomial market isApply this backward option pricing recursion from any terminal contingent claim , including claims depending on the whole sequence of moves. It constructs a self-financing portfolio and proves market completeness by induction on the remaining number of periods. Taking successive conditional expectations under the measure with independent up probability gives the unique risk-neutral pricing valueAny other price would give an arbitrage by buying the cheaper of the claim and its replica and selling the dearer.
If is the number of up moves, a particular path has probabilities under and under . Therefore the binomial-market probability density, namely the Radon-Nikodym derivative, isThis last expression makes a function of the terminal stock price. Summing over paths gives , and strict positivity proves equivalence of the two probability measures.
For unrestricted terminal portfolio wealth , its initial replication cost is . Hence feasible wealth satisfies the state-price budget constraint . For the stated exponential utility, and . The binomial exponential-utility terminal wealth iswhereIt satisfies the budget, and its marginal utility is with . The concave supporting-tangent inequality givesTaking expectations under makes the last term zero by the budget. Strict concavity makes equality possible only when in every positive-probability state. The already constructed complete market supplies its replicating strategy, so this proves global optimality and uniqueness. The formula allows negative final wealth, as permitted by the unrestricted trading problem.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2003 iii Paper 32 1 Solution 2026-10-14
The positive state-price density alternative characterizes one-period arbitrage. Interpret as the vector of current asset prices and as their terminal payments. A fixed vector of holdings produces initial cost and terminal payment . The first alternative is a nonpositive-cost investment with a nonnegative payment and strict improvement either initially or on an event of positive probability. A strictly positive state-price density prices every such payment and excludes both forms of arbitrage, as proved below.
If there is a traded bank account costing one and paying a deterministic , the density satisfies . Hence defines an equivalent martingale measure andConversely this pricing relation under an equivalent martingale measure gives . Without such an account, is a pricing density, not necessarily a probability density or even an integrable random variable by itself; the stated requirement is integrability of . This distinction keeps the abstract alternative valid without an unstated asset paying one.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2003 iii Paper 32 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Specify the trading conventions first. Let the bank account have value , with and its next gross return known at time . Write for the discount factor. Let be the ex-dividend asset-price vector, and the vector of cash dividends paid per unit at time ; set for non-dividend-paying assets. Under an equivalent martingale measure , each discounted cumulative asset gainis a martingale. Equivalently, . This is the gain-process form of risk-neutral pricing, rather than a martingale assumption on raw ex-dividend prices.
Let be the -measurable holdings after trading and distributions at time . The previous holdings earn the next price change and dividends. Define the strategy's net cash payment and its residual portfolio wealth byA negative payment is an external infusion; a self-financing portfolio with no consumption has . The discounted budget equation isAssume these gains and payments are integrable under , for example by bounded predictable holdings and integrable discounted asset gains. Thenis a true martingale, by conditioning the displayed one-step gains. Merely assuming a local martingale without appropriate integrability would not justify the conditional equality.
Conditioning on proves the general multi-period dividend pricing identityFor a strategy liquidated at time , and all liquidation proceeds are included in . The terminal value disappears, giving exactly the requested dividend-only relation. That liquidation convention is necessary: holding one unit of the bank account with no payments would otherwise have a positive left side and zero right side.
An attainable claim paid at can be replicated by a strategy with no earlier payments and final liquidation payment . Its time- value is thereforeTwo admissible replicating strategies have the same value by this identity, and the value is the same under every equivalent martingale measure for which the replication gains are true martingales. For unattainable claims this expectation is a possible model price, but the replication argument does not establish a unique price. With density process , the equivalent state-price density form is .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2003 iii Paper 32 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Assume , and sufficient regularity to use the Itô formula. Under the physical measure write and let the bank account be . If is a self-financing portfolio with stock units and bank-account units, thenThe Itô formula gives . Equating diffusion terms forces ; equating drifts and eliminating gives the Black-Scholes equationConversely, if this equation holds, take and . The same comparison shows , so the constructed portfolio is self-financing. This is a local replication equivalence for smooth functions on the state space; global admissibility and a terminal condition specify a unique economically admissible claim price.
With continuous stock-dividend yield , holding stock units earns in addition to their price changes. A self-financing portfolio reinvests that income, soThe same diffusion comparison gives , and the drift comparison yields the Black-Scholes equation with continuous stock dividendsUnder the risk-neutral measure, the ex-dividend stock consequently has drift , while cash is discounted at .
For the last claim, distinguish the terminal payoff function from a time-dependent price. Put . The price with yield is , with a standard normal random variable. In a no-dividend model with interest rate , the stock-transition law is identical but its discount factor is . Thus, whenever the payoff expectation is finite, the dividend-yield discount shift givesEquivalently substitute this expression in the dividend equation: , and the equation reduces exactly to the no-dividend Black-Scholes equation with rate , with the same terminal data.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 34 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let the bank account be , where is the one-period riskless gross return. In the binomial market, is either or , with and both successors having positive physical probability. The information at time consists of the first moves. A trading strategy chooses its holdings using only this information. A self-financing portfolio funds rebalancing from its current value; there is no external contribution.
Absence of arbitrage requires . If , borrowing to buy the stock yields a nonnegative gain, strictly positive on the up branch; if , shorting the stock and investing its price yields the reverse arbitrage. When , define the risk-neutral probability in a binomial marketGiving each successive up move conditional probability defines an equivalent martingale measure , since every finite path has positive probability and .
For a contingent claim with successor values at a node of current stock value , solve the two replication equations. The number of shares and current cash value areThen and , so the replicating strategy costsHold bank-account units over that period. Starting with the terminal payoff and applying these equations backwards supplies an adapted self-financing strategy replicating every path-dependent contingent claim. This proves market completeness. A different claim price would permit an arbitrage by buying the cheaper claim or replica and selling the dearer one. Iterating the backward pricing relation gives the unique risk-neutral pricing formulaThe physical up probability affects real-world frequencies but does not enter this replication price.
For a terminal payoff , write . Its current price is the restriction to the available nodes of the functionIf is convex, each summand is convex in and each weight is positive; summing their defining convexity inequalities proves that is convex. This provides an explicit convex extension between the actual stock nodes, so “convex on the nodes” is unambiguous. If is strictly convex, each positive scaling preserves strict convexity, so is strictly convex as well.
For the replicating portfolio in a binomial market, the stock holding isFor , let . The next down and up holdings are the secant slopes of on the adjacent intervals with endpoints :For any convex function and , its defining inequality at rearranges to . The inequality is strict for a strictly convex function. Applying this to the three stock values orders the two next holdings. Meanwhile the backward pricing relation gives, by subtracting its values at and ,The coefficients are strictly positive and sum to one. Therefore the current share holding lies between the next two holdings:Both inequalities are strict for a strictly convex payoff. For an affine payoff the share holding is constant, explaining the required weak interpretation. These are numbers of shares, not the fraction of portfolio wealth invested in the stock.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 34 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Write , and specify the physical Black-Scholes model as , with constant and bank rate . The physical drift is needed for an expected utility calculation; a pricing model specified only under a risk-neutral measure does not determine the investor's preferences over risky positions. PutHere is the market price of risk, is the density of the risk-neutral measure , and is the state-price density. The Girsanov theorem makes a Brownian motion under .
For a dollar holding in the stock and consumption rate , the portfolio wealth equation isSince , integration by parts gives the useful deflated wealth equation with consumptionFor strategies with a true deflated gain martingale, terminal wealth and consumption obey the state-price budget constraintFor nonnegative wealth and consumption, the admissibility condition can instead give a budget inequality; increasing utilities use the full budget at an optimum. Conversely, suitable integrable payoff and consumption plans with this budget are financeable in the Brownian complete market. To construct the strategy, setBy the Brownian martingale representation theorem, write . The required dollar stock holding is ; substitution in the deflated gain equation verifies financing. Remaining wealth goes into the bank account. For square-integrable data the representation holds directly, and localization handles the customary integrable admissible data.
First take no consumption. For an increasing strictly concave differentiable utility function whose marginal derivative can be inverted, let . Choose so thatThis candidate is not merely a first-order guess. The concave supporting-tangent inequality gives, pointwise,Taking expectations and using the budget proves for every feasible competitor. Finance the optimizer by its risk-neutral pricing value , using the preceding representation to find the holdings.
For a merely concave differentiable utility function, the general formulation is to select from the maximizers of over its wealth domain, and choose the multiplier to satisfy the budget. If increasing utility is not assumed, the equality-budget multiplier may have either sign; the positive-multiplier inverse formula above is for increasing utility. Flat portions allow multiple maximizers; boundaries require one-sided inequalities rather than equality of marginal derivatives. Existence of a multiplier, integrability and an admissible maximizer must be checked. Concavity alone does not guarantee a well-posed problem: with unrestricted dollar positions, linear utility and permits unbounded expected terminal wealth. The explicit utilities below satisfy the needed conditions in their stated domains.
For exponential utility on , and . ThereforeThe budget is equivalently , since . Under , , giving . HenceMatching the Brownian coefficient of with gives the finite-horizon exponential-utility portfolioHold shares and invest in the bank account. This is a dollar amount, not a fixed wealth fraction. The Gaussian exponential formula also gives the optimal expected utilityThis calculation uses unrestricted wealth and an admissibility class permitting the displayed Gaussian terminal wealth, with integrable deflated gains and the relevant exponential moment. A nonnegative-wealth constraint would change the optimizer; no such constraint is imposed on this exponential-utility example.
For both terminal and running utility function, choose and a nonnegative adapted consumption rate to maximize subject to the combined budget. Pointwise maximization of and gives, for interior strictly concave cases,Apply the concave supporting-tangent inequality to and to at every time, then integrate and take expectations. The difference in objectives is at most times the difference in budget expenditures, which is nonpositive. This proves optimality, not just the marginal conditions. The financing value isThe question's consumption rate is denoted here to keep it distinct from interest-rate notation.
For logarithmic utility with , , assume and positive wealth and consumption. The marginal conditions and budget giveEach state-price-weighted payment is deterministic, so conditional valuation immediately gives . Put . Since the Itô formula gives , this value satisfiesComparison with the wealth equation verifies the complete finite-horizon logarithmic investment and consumption strategy:Thus the optimal share holding is , and the remaining value is in the bank account; borrowing or shorting is allowed if that value or the stock holding is negative. Terminal wealth is positive and consumption is positive throughout. Finally , so the optimal objective, if desired explicitly, isFinite-horizon lognormal moments ensure the budget and expected utilities are finite, completing the feasibility and optimality checks.